Auburn at Alabama - 2016 Matchup Preview

Auburn Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide

Saturday, November 26th 2016 (3:30 PM EST)
Alabama -20 (47.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Alabama 30 - Auburn: 12 (SEC)

Tigers (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (27 - 27 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ALA 3rd straight Home Game
ALA is playing their 4th straight game
AUB is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -10.5 (SP+ ALA -16)
Projected Score: AUB: 21 - ALA: 29 (50)
ALA Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
AUB Travel: 127 miles

Crimson Tide (14 - 1) (10 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AUB Players
ALA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Auburn's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Auburn vs Clemson	+7.5	62.0	L 13 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Auburn vs Arkansas State	-13.0	51.0	W 51 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Auburn vs Texas A&M	-4.0	55.5	L 16 - 29	U	N
Sat 9/24	Auburn vs LSU	+4.0	46.5	W 18 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Auburn vs UL Monroe	-34.0	57.5	W 58 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Auburn at Mississippi State	+1.5	55.0	W 38 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Auburn vs Arkansas	-17.0	53.0	W 56 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Auburn at Ole Miss	-2.0	65.5	W 40 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Auburn vs Vanderbilt	-26.0	47.0	W 23 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/12	Auburn at Georgia	-8.0	51.0	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/19	Auburn vs Alabama A&M	-52.0
Sat 11/26	Auburn at Alabama	+20.0	47.0	L 12 - 30	U	Y
Mon 1/2	Auburn vs Oklahoma	+5.5	67.0	L 19 - 35	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

Alabama's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Alabama vs USC	-9.0	51.5	W 52 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Alabama vs Western Kentucky	-24.0	59.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Alabama at Ole Miss	-9.5	53.0	W 48 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/24	Alabama vs Kent State	-41.5	49.5	W 48 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Alabama vs Kentucky	-32.5	54.5	W 34 - 6	U	N
Sat 10/8	Alabama at Arkansas	-13.0	48.5	W 49 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Alabama at Tennessee	-9.0	54.5	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Alabama vs Texas A&M	-16.5	59.0	W 33 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Alabama at LSU	-7.0	46.0	W 10 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Alabama vs Mississippi State	-28.5	52.5	W 51 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Alabama vs Chattanooga	-48.5
Sat 11/26	Alabama vs Auburn	-20.0	47.0	W 30 - 12	U	N
Sat 12/3	Alabama vs Florida	-21.5	40.5	W 54 - 16	O	Y
Sat 12/31	Alabama vs Washington	-14.0	51.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Mon 1/9	Alabama vs Clemson	-6.0	51.0	L 31 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AUB	.17	46%	26.8	48%	3.04	196	40%	174	3.77	.14	47%	20.7	47%	44%	3.01	46.4	1.3	1.5
ALA	.21	46%	29.5	46%	3.13	200	42%	227	3.56	-.01	32%	19.2	30%	31%	2.22	55.7	1.1	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AUB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AUB Offense	13	26.8	27.2	46.1%	3.77	1.3	20	370	196	174	4.4	62%	36%	48%	40%	3%	.17
ALA Defense	15	19.2	11.4	31.8%	2.22	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	57%	30%	31%	2%	-.01

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AUB Defense	13	20.7	26.6	46.6%	3.01	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	47%	44%	2%	.14
ALA Offense	15	29.5	39.3	45.7%	3.56	1.1	22	427	200	227	4.7	54%	44%	46%	42%	2%	.21

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Auburn	13	28:21	19.8	41%	60%	4.8	46.4	1.3	1.5	0	0	1	29.3
Alabama	15	33:32	21.9	37%	50%	5.9	55.7	1.1	1.8	0	0	10	32.8

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AUB Offense	13	62%	48%	45.2	196.4	4.4	28	.12	3.04	81%	0%	0.79
ALA Defense	15	41%	30%	-	-	-	-	-.09	2.33	64%	0%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AUB Defense	13	51%	47%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.24	70%	0%	0.94
ALA Offense	15	54%	46%	42.8	199.9	4.7	33	.16	3.13	79%	0%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AUB Offense	13	36%	40%	13.8	23.5	173.6	7.4	12.6	11	12	.28	1.7	29%	37%	.4	3%	1.8
ALA Defense	15	57%	31%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.05	1.8	41%	27%	.16	2%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AUB Defense	13	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.1	1.3	30%	36%	.22	2%	1.5
ALA Offense	15	44%	42%	20.1	29.7	227.1	7.6	11.3	22	10	.33	1.6	32%	33%	.31	2%	1.8

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Auburn's 2016 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.3 #21
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #49
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.4 #16

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: Alabama: 18.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 15.3 Alabama: 31.7

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 18.35 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2016 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.7 #1
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0 #13
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.6 #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.6

Auburn's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 29
Auburn 21

Projected Total Points: 50

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2016 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 10 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Auburn	20	Alabama	27	Alabama -6.5	Alabama	48.5	Under
2024	11/30	Alabama	28	Auburn	14	Alabama -10.5	Alabama	50.5	Under
2023	11/25	Auburn	24	Alabama	27	Alabama -14.0	Auburn	48.0	Over
2022	11/26	Alabama	49	Auburn	27	Alabama -22	Push	51.0	Over
2021	11/27	Auburn	22	Alabama	24	Alabama -21	Auburn	57.5	Under
2020	11/28	Alabama	42	Auburn	13	Alabama -24.5	Alabama	65.0	Under
2019	11/30	Auburn	48	Alabama	45	Alabama -3.5	Auburn	51.0	Over
2018	11/24	Alabama	52	Auburn	21	Alabama -26	Alabama	53.0	Over
2017	11/25	Auburn	26	Alabama	14	Alabama -5	Auburn	47.5	Under
2016	11/26	Alabama	30	Auburn	12	Alabama -20	Auburn	47.0	Under
2015	11/28	Auburn	13	Alabama	29	Alabama -13	Alabama	47.5	Under
2014	11/29	Alabama	55	Auburn	44	Alabama -7	Alabama	0
2013	11/30	Auburn	34	Alabama	28	Alabama -9.5	Auburn	0
2012	11/24	Alabama	49	Auburn	0
2011	11/26	Auburn	14	Alabama	42
2010	11/26	Alabama	27	Auburn	28
2009	11/27	Auburn	21	Alabama	26
2008	11/29	Alabama	36	Auburn	0
2007	11/24	Auburn	17	Alabama	10
2006	11/18	Alabama	15	Auburn	22
2005	11/19	Auburn	28	Alabama	18
2004	11/20	Alabama	13	Auburn	21
2003	11/22	Auburn	28	Alabama	23
2001	11/17	Auburn	7	Alabama	31
2000	11/17	Alabama	0	Auburn	9

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Alabama	15	6	4 Overs
Auburn	10	6	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 11	9 - 3	4 - 1	5 - 2
Road Teams	11 - 14	3 - 9	2 - 5	1 - 4

(#) AUB at (#) ALA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AUB	ALA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#21	#1
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#7	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Auburn Injury Report

Alabama Injury Report

Auburn on Offense


CategoryCat	AUB Off	ALA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#1
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Auburn Run Game


CategoryCat	AUB Off	ALA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Auburn Pass Game


CategoryCat	AUB Off	ALA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	ALA Off	AUB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#13	#16
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	AUB Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	AUB Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

AUB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Alabama -20.0 (47.0)
Alabama won vs Auburn this year (30-12)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Auburn last year (27-20)
Alabama beat Auburn in 2024 (28-14)
Alabama beat Auburn in 2023 (27-24)

AUB's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ALA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD