Alabama at LSU - 2016 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo

Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU Tigers

LSU logo
Saturday, November 5th 2016 (8:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -7 (46.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Alabama 10 - LSU: 0  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (14 - 1) (10 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ALA coming off BYE
LSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ ALA -6.5)
Projected Score: ALA: 23 - LSU: 23 (46)
ALA Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
ALA Travel: 288 miles
Tigers (8 - 4) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (26 - 17 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Alabama vs USC-9.051.5W 52 - 6OY
Sat 9/10 Alabama vs Western Kentucky-24.059.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 9/17 Alabama at Ole Miss-9.553.0W 48 - 43ON
Sat 9/24 Alabama vs Kent State-41.549.5W 48 - 0UY
Sat 10/1 Alabama vs Kentucky-32.554.5W 34 - 6UN
Sat 10/8 Alabama at Arkansas-13.048.5W 49 - 30OY
Sat 10/15 Alabama at Tennessee-9.054.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 10/22 Alabama vs Texas A&M-16.559.0W 33 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Alabama at LSU-7.046.0W 10 - 0UY
Sat 11/12 Alabama vs Mississippi State-28.552.5W 51 - 3OY
Sat 11/19 Alabama vs Chattanooga-48.5
Sat 11/26 Alabama vs Auburn-20.047.0W 30 - 12UN
Sat 12/3 Alabama vs Florida-21.540.5W 54 - 16OY
Sat 12/31 Alabama vs Washington-14.051.0W 24 - 7UY
Mon 1/9 Alabama vs Clemson-6.051.0L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
LSU's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 LSU vs Wisconsin-9.543.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 9/10 LSU vs Jacksonville State-30.0
Sat 9/17 LSU vs Mississippi State-13.047.0W 23 - 20UN
Sat 9/24 LSU at Auburn-4.046.5L 13 - 18UN
Sat 10/1 LSU vs Missouri-14.051.0W 42 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 LSU vs Southern Miss-21.055.0W 45 - 10UY
Sat 10/22 LSU vs Ole Miss-4.559.0W 38 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 LSU vs Alabama+7.046.0L 0 - 10UN
Sat 11/12 LSU at Arkansas-7.046.5W 38 - 10OY
Sat 11/19 LSU vs Florida-10.538.0L 10 - 16UN
Thu 11/24 LSU at Texas A&M-4.048.5W 54 - 39OY
Sat 12/31 LSU vs Louisville-3.059.0W 29 - 9UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA.2146%29.546%3.1320042%2273.56-.0132%19.230%31%2.2255.71.11.8
LSU.2846%22.850%3.225738%1803.85.1241%19.843%39%3.5465.30.81.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1529.526.345.7%3.561.1224272002274.754%44%46%42%2%.21
LSU Defense1219.816.941.5%3.541.4 - - - - - 43%56%43%39%2%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1519.223.731.8%2.221.8 - - - - - 41%57%30%31%2%-.01
LSU Offense1222.825.746%3.850.8214372571806.161%37%50%38%2%.28

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1533:3221.937%50%5.955.71.11.8001032.8
LSU1231:2020.540%56%8.165.30.81.400228.4
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1554%46%42.8199.94.733.163.1379%0%0.94
LSU Defense1243%43% - - - - .112.8280%0%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1541%30% - - - - -.092.3364%0%0.93
LSU Offense1261%50%42.1256.86.136.283.279%0%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1544%42%20.129.7227.17.611.32210.331.632%33%.312%1.8
LSU Defense1256%39% - - - - - - 10.141.533%28%.192%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1557%31% - - - - - - 19.051.841%27%.162%1.9
LSU Offense1237%38%12.423.2180.47.814.5136.321.932%32%.412%2.1

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alabama's 2016 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.7  #1
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #13
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.6  #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    LSU: 15.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 31.7   LSU: 25.3




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 15.15 NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
LSU's 2016 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.3  #5
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #40
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.0  #2

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2016 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 10 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 23
LSU 23

Projected Total Points: 46
LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.9

LSU's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Alabama20LSU9Alabama -10.5Alabama49.5Under
202411/09LSU13Alabama42Alabama -2.5Alabama57.5Under
202311/04Alabama42LSU28Alabama -3Alabama61.5Over
202211/05LSU32Alabama31Alabama -13.5LSU56.5Over
202111/06Alabama20LSU14Alabama -29.5LSU66.5Under
202012/05LSU17Alabama55Alabama -29Alabama64.5Over
201911/09Alabama41LSU46Alabama -5LSU65.5Over
201811/03LSU0Alabama29Alabama -14Alabama51.5Under
201711/04Alabama24LSU10Alabama -20.5LSU45.5Under
201611/05LSU0Alabama10Alabama -7Alabama46.0Under
201511/07Alabama30LSU16Alabama -7Alabama47.0Under
201411/08LSU13Alabama20Alabama -6Alabama0
201311/09Alabama38LSU17Alabama -9.5Alabama0
201211/03LSU17Alabama21
201111/05Alabama6LSU9
201101/09LSU0Alabama21
201011/06LSU24Alabama21
200911/07Alabama24LSU15
200811/08LSU21Alabama27
200711/03Alabama34LSU41
200611/11LSU28Alabama14
200511/12Alabama13LSU16
200411/13LSU26Alabama10
200311/15Alabama3LSU27
200111/03Alabama21LSU35
200011/03LSU30Alabama28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU1144 Overs
Alabama1597 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 145 - 84 - 31 - 5
Road Teams14 - 128 - 55 - 13 - 4

(#) ALA at (#) LSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALALSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #1 #5
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #1 #3
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #2
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
LSU on Offense
CategoryCatLSU OffALA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #40 #1
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
LSU Run Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
LSU Pass Game
CategoryCatLSU OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

ALA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Alabama 7.0 (46.0)
Alabama won at LSU this year (10-0)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat LSU last year (20-9)
Alabama beat LSU in 2024 (42-13)
Alabama beat LSU in 2023 (42-28)

  
ALA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD