Alabama at Ole Miss - 2016 Matchup Preview

(#19)Alabama Crimson Tide at Ole Miss Rebels(#17)

Saturday, September 17th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -9.5 (53.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Alabama 48 - Ole Miss: 43 (SEC)

Crimson Tide (14 - 1) (10 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 13 (39 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MISS 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -7 (SP+ ALA -19.5)
Projected Score: ALA: 28 - MISS: 24 (52)
ALA Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
ALA Travel: 139 miles

Rebels (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (37 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ALA Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Alabama's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Alabama vs USC	-9.0	51.5	W 52 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Alabama vs Western Kentucky	-24.0	59.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Alabama at Ole Miss	-9.5	53.0	W 48 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/24	Alabama vs Kent State	-41.5	49.5	W 48 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Alabama vs Kentucky	-32.5	54.5	W 34 - 6	U	N
Sat 10/8	Alabama at Arkansas	-13.0	48.5	W 49 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Alabama at Tennessee	-9.0	54.5	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Alabama vs Texas A&M	-16.5	59.0	W 33 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Alabama at LSU	-7.0	46.0	W 10 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Alabama vs Mississippi State	-28.5	52.5	W 51 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Alabama vs Chattanooga	-48.5
Sat 11/26	Alabama vs Auburn	-20.0	47.0	W 30 - 12	U	N
Sat 12/3	Alabama vs Florida	-21.5	40.5	W 54 - 16	O	Y
Sat 12/31	Alabama vs Washington	-14.0	51.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Mon 1/9	Alabama vs Clemson	-6.0	51.0	L 31 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/5	Ole Miss vs Florida State	+5.0	57.5	L 34 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/10	Ole Miss vs Wofford	-44.5
Sat 9/17	Ole Miss vs Alabama	+9.5	53.0	L 43 - 48	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Ole Miss vs Georgia	-6.0	61.0	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Ole Miss vs Memphis	-15.5	71.5	W 48 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Ole Miss at Arkansas	-6.5	65.0	L 30 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/22	Ole Miss at LSU	+4.5	59.0	L 21 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/29	Ole Miss vs Auburn	+2.0	65.5	L 29 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/5	Ole Miss vs Georgia Southern	-20.5	63.0	W 37 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/12	Ole Miss at Texas A&M	+11.0	62.0	W 29 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Ole Miss at Vanderbilt	-9.5	50.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/26	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	-8.0	67.5	L 20 - 55	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA	.24	47%	38.8	51%	3.16	245	40%	210	3.79	-.11	32%	13	29%	32%	1.78	44	1.3	1.8
MISS	.2	46%	32.6	43%	2.93	149	45%	315	3.65	.24	44%	34	44%	42%	3.83	43.3	1.6	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA	#44 (.23)	45% (34)		45% (52)	2.75 (112)	169	45% (31)	222	4.71 (8)	#8 (.05)	37% (12)		38% (15)	37% (19)	2.85 (5)	66.3	1.4	2.1
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)		44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)		35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Offense	15	38.8	39	47.2%	3.79	1.3	21	455	245	210	5.8	55%	43%	51%	40%	17%	.24
MISS Defense	12	34	32.1	44.4%	3.83	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	57%	40%	44%	42%	15%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Defense	15	13	20.8	32%	1.78	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	29%	32%	22%	-.11
MISS Offense	12	32.6	37.1	45.7%	3.65	1.6	25	464	149	315	4.3	43%	55%	43%	45%	16%	.2

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Alabama	15	30:55	21	44%	59%	5.7	44	1.3	1.8	7.9	3.6	10	33.2
Ole Miss	12	25:56	24.8	40%	38%	4.9	43.3	1.6	1.3	5.7	1.7	2	30.4

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Offense	15	55%	51%	42.6	245	5.8	33	.26	3.16	81%	13%	1.06
MISS Defense	12	57%	44%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.09	62%	10%	1.25

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Defense	15	42%	29%	-	-	-	-	-.17	1.66	63%	15%	0.85
MISS Offense	12	43%	43%	35.2	149.4	4.3	17	.11	2.93	65%	7%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Offense	15	43%	40%	17.7	27.8	210.3	7.6	11.9	26	9	.24	1.6	31%	34%	.4	4%	2
MISS Defense	12	40%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.27	1.7	31%	38%	.41	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Defense	15	56%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	-.06	1.6	39%	26%	-.09	7%	1.7
MISS Offense	12	55%	45%	24.1	40.3	314.9	7.8	13.1	27	14	.31	1.6	31%	40%	.38	9%	1.7

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alabama's 2016 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.7 #1
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0 #13
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.6 #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: Ole Miss: 8.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 31.7 Ole Miss: 12.4

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 8.7 NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ole Miss's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4 #25
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #20
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #62

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 38.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 39
Defense: 13 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Alabama's 2016 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 10 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 28
Ole Miss 24

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 22
Alabama 19

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
Alabama 36
Ole Miss 26

Total Points: 62

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 32.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.1
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.1

Ole Miss's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Alabama	24	Ole Miss	10	Alabama -7	Alabama	56.0	Under
2022	11/12	Ole Miss	24	Alabama	30	Alabama -11	Ole Miss	65.5	Under
2021	10/02	Alabama	42	Ole Miss	21	Alabama -15	Alabama	79.5	Under
2020	10/10	Ole Miss	48	Alabama	63	Alabama -24	Ole Miss	74.0	Over
2019	09/28	Alabama	59	Ole Miss	31	Alabama -37.5	Ole Miss	62.5	Over
2018	09/15	Ole Miss	7	Alabama	62	Alabama -22.5	Alabama	71.5	Under
2017	09/30	Alabama	66	Ole Miss	3	Alabama -30	Alabama	56.0	Over
2016	09/17	Ole Miss	43	Alabama	48	Alabama -9.5	Ole Miss	53.0	Over
2015	09/19	Alabama	37	Ole Miss	43	Alabama -8.5	Ole Miss	52.0	Over
2014	10/04	Ole Miss	23	Alabama	17	Alabama -4.5	Ole Miss	0
2013	09/28	Alabama	25	Ole Miss	0	Alabama -16	Alabama	0
2012	09/29	Alabama	33	Ole Miss	14
2011	10/15	Ole Miss	7	Alabama	52
2010	10/16	Alabama	23	Ole Miss	10
2009	10/10	Ole Miss	3	Alabama	22
2008	10/18	Alabama	24	Ole Miss	20
2007	10/13	Ole Miss	24	Alabama	27
2006	10/14	Alabama	26	Ole Miss	23
2005	10/15	Ole Miss	10	Alabama	13
2004	09/11	Alabama	28	Ole Miss	7
2003	10/18	Ole Miss	43	Alabama	28
2002	10/19	Alabama	42	Ole Miss	7
2001	10/13	Ole Miss	27	Alabama	24
2000	10/13	Alabama	45	Ole Miss	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	4	6	5 Overs
Alabama	20	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 9	8 - 3	4 - 2	4 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 15	3 - 8	1 - 4	2 - 4

(#) ALA at (#) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ALA	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#1	#25
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#1	#15
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Alabama Injury Report

Ole Miss Injury Report

Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	ALA Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#13	#62
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	ALA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#20	#1
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	ALA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	ALA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

ALA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 84° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 3
Alabama 9.5 (53.0)
Alabama won at Ole Miss this year (48-43)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Ole Miss in 2023 (24-10)
Alabama beat Ole Miss in 2022 (30-24)

ALA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MISS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD