Texas A&M at Alabama - 2016 Matchup Preview
Texas A&M logo (#4)Texas A&M Aggies at Alabama Crimson Tide(#6)Alabama logo
Saturday, October 22nd 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -16.5 (59.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Alabama 33 - Texas A&M: 14  (SEC)

 
Aggies (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 25 (24 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TA&M coming off BYE
ALA is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -12.5  (SP+ ALA -20)
Projected Score: TA&M: 20 - ALA: 31 (51)
ALA Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
TA&M Travel: 546 miles
Crimson Tide (14 - 1) (10 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 13 (38 - 7 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas A&M's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Texas A&M vs UCLA-1.055.0W 31 - 24UY
Sat 9/10 Texas A&M vs Prairie View A&M-49.5
Sat 9/17 Texas A&M at Auburn+4.055.5W 29 - 16UY
Sat 9/24 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-3.052.0W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/1 Texas A&M at South Carolina-14.050.5W 24 - 13UN
Sat 10/8 Texas A&M vs Tennessee-6.560.5W 45 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Texas A&M at Alabama+16.559.0L 14 - 33UN
Sat 10/29 Texas A&M vs New Mexico State-43.571.0W 52 - 10UN
Sat 11/5 Texas A&M at Mississippi State-13.061.0L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/12 Texas A&M vs Ole Miss-11.062.0L 28 - 29UN
Sat 11/19 Texas A&M vs UTSA-28.056.0W 23 - 10UN
Thu 11/24 Texas A&M vs LSU+4.048.5L 39 - 54ON
Wed 12/28 Texas A&M vs Kansas State-2.556.0L 28 - 33ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Alabama's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Alabama vs USC-9.051.5W 52 - 6OY
Sat 9/10 Alabama vs Western Kentucky-24.059.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 9/17 Alabama at Ole Miss-9.553.0W 48 - 43ON
Sat 9/24 Alabama vs Kent State-41.549.5W 48 - 0UY
Sat 10/1 Alabama vs Kentucky-32.554.5W 34 - 6UN
Sat 10/8 Alabama at Arkansas-13.048.5W 49 - 30OY
Sat 10/15 Alabama at Tennessee-9.054.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 10/22 Alabama vs Texas A&M-16.559.0W 33 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Alabama at LSU-7.046.0W 10 - 0UY
Sat 11/12 Alabama vs Mississippi State-28.552.5W 51 - 3OY
Sat 11/19 Alabama vs Chattanooga-48.5
Sat 11/26 Alabama vs Auburn-20.047.0W 30 - 12UN
Sat 12/3 Alabama vs Florida-21.540.5W 54 - 16OY
Sat 12/31 Alabama vs Washington-14.051.0W 24 - 7UY
Mon 1/9 Alabama vs Clemson-6.051.0L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M.2243%34.844%3.1321241%2553.15.1244%24.544%41%2.4152.71.61.5
ALA.2447%38.851%3.1624540%2103.79-.1132%1329%32%1.78441.31.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)46% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)40% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Offense1334.823.843.4%3.151.6224672122555.748%50%44%41%16%.22
ALA Defense15136.932%1.781.8 - - - - - 42%56%29%32%22%-.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Defense1324.524.343.7%2.411.5 - - - - - 51%47%44%41%20%.12
ALA Offense1538.837.947.2%3.791.3214552452105.855%43%51%40%17%.24

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas A&M1326:3021.639%56%6.252.71.61.58.52.9429.6
Alabama1530:552144%59%5.7441.31.87.93.61033.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense1348%44%37.2211.85.728.213.1361%10%1.15
ALA Defense1542%29% - - - - -.171.6663%15%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense1351%44% - - - - .072.7867%13%0.91
ALA Offense1555%51%42.62455.833.263.1681%13%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense1350%41%19.636.1255.27.113259.251.631%36%.477%2.1
ALA Defense1556%32% - - - - - - 16-.061.639%26%-.097%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense1347%41% - - - - - - 12.21.632%35%.277%1.6
ALA Offense1543%40%17.727.8210.37.611.9269.241.631%34%.44%2

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas A&M's 2016 Expected Record: -
Texas A&M's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.0  #27
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.2  #26
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #47

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M:    Alabama: 18.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 12.0   Alabama: 31.7




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 18.35 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2016 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.7  #1
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #13
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.6  #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 34.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.3

Texas A&M's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 31
Texas A&M 20

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 31
Texas A&M 19

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Alabama 32
Texas A&M 20

Total Points: 52
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 38.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.9
Defense: 13 PPG
Defense at Home: 6.9

Alabama's 2016 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 10 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07Texas A&M20Alabama26Alabama -2.5Alabama45.0Over
202210/08Alabama24Texas A&M20Alabama -24Texas A&M48.0Under
202110/09Texas A&M41Alabama38Alabama -18.5Texas A&M50.5Over
202010/03Alabama52Texas A&M24Alabama -18Alabama54.0Over
201910/12Texas A&M28Alabama47Alabama -17Alabama61.0Over
201809/22Alabama45Texas A&M23Alabama -24Texas A&M58.5Over
201710/07Texas A&M19Alabama27Alabama -26.5Texas A&M56.5Under
201610/22Alabama33Texas A&M14Alabama -16.5Alabama59.0Under
201510/17Texas A&M23Alabama41Alabama -3Alabama54.5Over
201410/18Alabama59Texas A&M0Alabama -12Alabama0
201309/14Texas A&M42Alabama49Alabama -7NA0
201211/10Alabama24Texas A&M29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama1066 Overs
Texas A&M243 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 65 - 53 - 22 - 3
Road Teams6 - 65 - 53 - 22 - 3

(#) TA&M at (#) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTA&MALA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #1
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #13 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Texas A&M on Offense
CategoryCat
TA&M OffALA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #26 #1
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas A&M Run Game
CategoryCat
TA&M OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas A&M Pass Game
CategoryCat
TA&M OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatALA OffTA&M Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffTA&M Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatALA OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 70° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Alabama -16.5 (59.0)
Alabama won vs Texas A&M this year (33-14)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Texas A&M in 2023 (26-20)
Alabama beat Texas A&M in 2022 (24-20)

  
TA&M's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ALA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD