Kentucky at Alabama - 2016 Matchup Preview
Kentucky logo Kentucky Wildcats at Alabama Crimson Tide(#17)Alabama logo
Saturday, October 1st 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -32.5 (54.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Alabama 34 - Kentucky: 6  (SEC)

 
Wildcats (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 31 (25 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ALA 2nd straight Home Game
ALA is playing their 5th straight game
UK is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -19.5  (SP+ ALA -34)
Projected Score: UK: 17 - ALA: 38 (55)
ALA Win prob: 97% | Cover: 46%
UK Travel: 374 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Crimson Tide (14 - 1) (10 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 13 (38 - 7 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kentucky's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Kentucky vs Southern Miss-7.562.0L 35 - 44ON
Sat 9/10 Kentucky at Florida+16.548.5L 7 - 45ON
Sat 9/17 Kentucky vs New Mexico State-21.565.5W 62 - 42ON
Sat 9/24 Kentucky vs South Carolina-1.557.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 10/1 Kentucky at Alabama+32.554.5L 6 - 34UY
Sat 10/8 Kentucky vs Vanderbilt-2.048.5W 20 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Kentucky vs Mississippi State+1.554.5W 40 - 38OY
Sat 10/29 Kentucky at Missouri+4.569.0W 35 - 21UY
Sat 11/5 Kentucky vs Georgia+2.552.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/12 Kentucky at Tennessee+10.558.0L 36 - 49ON
Sat 11/19 Kentucky vs Austin Peay-43.0
Sat 11/26 Kentucky at Louisville+26.070.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 12/31 Kentucky vs Georgia Tech+5.061.0L 18 - 33UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Alabama's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Alabama vs USC-9.051.5W 52 - 6OY
Sat 9/10 Alabama vs Western Kentucky-24.059.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 9/17 Alabama at Ole Miss-9.553.0W 48 - 43ON
Sat 9/24 Alabama vs Kent State-41.549.5W 48 - 0UY
Sat 10/1 Alabama vs Kentucky-32.554.5W 34 - 6UN
Sat 10/8 Alabama at Arkansas-13.048.5W 49 - 30OY
Sat 10/15 Alabama at Tennessee-9.054.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 10/22 Alabama vs Texas A&M-16.559.0W 33 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Alabama at LSU-7.046.0W 10 - 0UY
Sat 11/12 Alabama vs Mississippi State-28.552.5W 51 - 3OY
Sat 11/19 Alabama vs Chattanooga-48.5
Sat 11/26 Alabama vs Auburn-20.047.0W 30 - 12UN
Sat 12/3 Alabama vs Florida-21.540.5W 54 - 16OY
Sat 12/31 Alabama vs Washington-14.051.0W 24 - 7UY
Mon 1/9 Alabama vs Clemson-6.051.0L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK.1943%3046%3.0823436%1863.68.2349%31.353%42%3.5245.82.21.6
ALA.2447%38.851%3.1624540%2103.79-.1132%1329%32%1.78441.31.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)47% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)49% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Offense13302542.9%3.682.2204202341865.459%39%46%36%16%.19
ALA Defense15136.932%1.781.8 - - - - - 42%56%29%32%22%-.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Defense1331.337.449.3%3.521.6 - - - - - 59%39%53%42%14%.23
ALA Offense1538.837.947.2%3.791.3214552452105.855%43%51%40%17%.24

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kentucky1329:512039%75%545.82.21.65.31.6229.5
Alabama1530:552144%59%5.7441.31.87.93.61033.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Offense1359%46%43.1234.25.431.23.0874%11%1.06
ALA Defense1542%29% - - - - -.171.6663%15%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Defense1359%53% - - - - .243.5381%9%0.86
ALA Offense1555%51%42.62455.833.263.1681%13%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Offense1339%36%13.124186.17.814.21712.191.933%30%.195%1.8
ALA Defense1556%32% - - - - - - 16-.061.639%26%-.097%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Defense1339%42% - - - - - - 13.241.730%40%.45%1.7
ALA Offense1543%40%17.727.8210.37.611.9269.241.631%34%.44%2

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kentucky's 2016 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6  #78
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #56
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #93

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky:    Alabama: 18.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: -2.6   Alabama: 31.7




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 18.35 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2016 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.7  #1
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #13
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.6  #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

Kentucky's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 38
Kentucky 17

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 40
Kentucky 15

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Alabama 36
Kentucky 19

Total Points: 55
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 38.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.9
Defense: 13 PPG
Defense at Home: 6.9

Alabama's 2016 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 10 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Kentucky21Alabama49Alabama -10Alabama45.5Over
202011/21Alabama63Kentucky3Alabama -31.5Alabama57.5Over
201610/01Alabama34Kentucky6Alabama -32.5Kentucky54.5Under
201310/12Kentucky7Alabama48Alabama -27Alabama0
200910/03Kentucky20Alabama38
200810/04Alabama17Kentucky14
200410/09Kentucky17Alabama45
200309/13Alabama27Kentucky17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama832 Overs
Kentucky011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 41 - 31 - 10 - 2
Road Teams4 - 43 - 12 - 01 - 1

(#) UK at (#) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUKALA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #1
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #33 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
UK OffALA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #1
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
UK OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatALA OffUK Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #93
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatALA OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 78°
Rematch from Week 5
Alabama -32.5 (54.5)
Alabama won vs Kentucky this year (34-6)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Kentucky in 2023 (49-21)

  
UK's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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UK's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ALA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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ALA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD