Alabama at Tennessee - 2016 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo (#8)Alabama Crimson Tide at Tennessee Volunteers(#12)Tennessee logo
Saturday, October 15th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -9 (54.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Alabama 49 - Tennessee: 10  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (14 - 1) (10 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 13 (39 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ALA 2nd straight Road Game
TENN is playing their 7th straight game
ALA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -5  (SP+ ALA -15.5)
Projected Score: ALA: 35 - TENN: 29 (64)
ALA Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
ALA Travel: 280 miles, 1 hrs behind
Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (38 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Alabama vs USC-9.051.5W 52 - 6OY
Sat 9/10 Alabama vs Western Kentucky-24.059.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 9/17 Alabama at Ole Miss-9.553.0W 48 - 43ON
Sat 9/24 Alabama vs Kent State-41.549.5W 48 - 0UY
Sat 10/1 Alabama vs Kentucky-32.554.5W 34 - 6UN
Sat 10/8 Alabama at Arkansas-13.048.5W 49 - 30OY
Sat 10/15 Alabama at Tennessee-9.054.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 10/22 Alabama vs Texas A&M-16.559.0W 33 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Alabama at LSU-7.046.0W 10 - 0UY
Sat 11/12 Alabama vs Mississippi State-28.552.5W 51 - 3OY
Sat 11/19 Alabama vs Chattanooga-48.5
Sat 11/26 Alabama vs Auburn-20.047.0W 30 - 12UN
Sat 12/3 Alabama vs Florida-21.540.5W 54 - 16OY
Sat 12/31 Alabama vs Washington-14.051.0W 24 - 7UY
Mon 1/9 Alabama vs Clemson-6.051.0L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Tennessee's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Tennessee vs App State-23.058.0W 20 - 13UN
Sat 9/10 Tennessee vs Virginia Tech-9.052.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 9/17 Tennessee vs Ohio-27.557.5W 28 - 19UN
Sat 9/24 Tennessee vs Florida-8.042.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 10/1 Tennessee at Georgia-2.551.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 10/8 Tennessee at Texas A&M+6.560.5L 38 - 45ON
Sat 10/15 Tennessee vs Alabama+9.054.5L 10 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Tennessee at South Carolina-14.052.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 11/5 Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech-44.0
Sat 11/12 Tennessee vs Kentucky-10.558.0W 49 - 36OY
Sat 11/19 Tennessee vs Missouri-14.569.5W 63 - 37OY
Sat 11/26 Tennessee at Vanderbilt-10.050.0L 34 - 45ON
Fri 12/30 Tennessee vs Nebraska-3.059.0W 38 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA.2447%38.851%3.1624540%2103.79-.1132%1329%32%1.78441.31.8
TENN.247%36.447%3.2820544%2383.37.1744%28.848%37%2.6356.521.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)48% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)36% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1538.83947.2%3.791.3214552452105.855%43%51%40%17%.24
TENN Defense1328.82643.6%2.631.9 - - - - - 53%45%48%37%18%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense151320.832%1.781.8 - - - - - 42%56%29%32%22%-.11
TENN Offense1336.437.646.7%3.372224442052385.255%44%47%44%17%.2

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1530:552144%59%5.7441.31.87.93.61033.2
Tennessee1327:2421.541%22%6.256.521.97.72.3334.7
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1555%51%42.62455.833.263.1681%13%1.06
TENN Defense1353%48% - - - - .192.9568%12%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1542%29% - - - - -.171.6663%15%0.85
TENN Offense1355%47%39.8205.25.231.163.2875%11%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1543%40%17.727.8210.37.611.9269.241.631%34%.44%2
TENN Defense1345%37% - - - - - - 11.171.634%31%.226%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1556%32% - - - - - - 16-.061.639%26%-.097%1.7
TENN Offense1344%44%18.329.2238.58.2132812.271.729%35%.296%1.8

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alabama's 2016 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.7  #1
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #13
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.6  #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    Tennessee: 10.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 31.7   Tennessee: 16.3




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 10.65 NR
Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tennessee's 2016 Expected Record: -
Tennessee's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.3  #15
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.9  #15
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #44

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 38.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 39
Defense: 13 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Alabama's 2016 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 10 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 35
Tennessee 29

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 37
Tennessee 31

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Alabama 33
Tennessee 27

Total Points: 60
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 36.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Tennessee's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Alabama37Tennessee20Alabama -8.5Alabama60.5Under
202410/19Tennessee24Alabama17Alabama -3.5Tennessee57.5Under
202310/21Alabama34Tennessee20Alabama -8.5Alabama47.5Over
202210/15Tennessee52Alabama49Alabama -9Tennessee68.0Over
202110/23Alabama52Tennessee24Alabama -24.5Alabama68.0Over
202010/24Tennessee17Alabama48Alabama -21.5Alabama67.0Under
201910/19Alabama35Tennessee13Alabama -35Tennessee62.0Under
201810/20Tennessee21Alabama58Alabama -29.5Alabama57.5Over
201710/21Alabama45Tennessee7Alabama -36.5Alabama51.5Over
201610/15Tennessee10Alabama49Alabama -9Alabama54.5Over
201510/24Alabama19Tennessee14Alabama -14.5Tennessee48.5Under
201410/25Tennessee20Alabama34Alabama -15.5Tennessee0
201310/26Alabama45Tennessee10Alabama -26.5Alabama0
201210/20Tennessee13Alabama44
201110/22Alabama37Tennessee6
201010/23Tennessee10Alabama41
200910/24Alabama12Tennessee10
200810/25Tennessee9Alabama29
200710/20Alabama41Tennessee17
200610/21Tennessee16Alabama13
200510/22Alabama6Tennessee3
200410/23Tennessee17Alabama13
200310/25Alabama43Tennessee51
200210/26Tennessee14Alabama34
200110/20Alabama24Tennessee35
200010/20Tennessee20Alabama10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee756 Overs
Alabama1985 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 108 - 55 - 23 - 3
Road Teams10 - 165 - 83 - 32 - 5

(#) ALA at (#) TENN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALATENN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #1 #15
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #1 #14
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
ALA OffTENN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #44
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffTENN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffTENN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCatTENN OffALA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #15 #1
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCatTENN OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

ALA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 84° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Alabama 9.0 (54.5)
Alabama won at Tennessee this year (49-10)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Alabama last year (24-17)
Alabama beat Tennessee in 2023 (34-20)
Tennessee beat Alabama in 2022 (52-49)

  
ALA's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ALA's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TENN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TENN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD