Alabama at Florida - 2016 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Florida Gators

Florida logo
Saturday, December 3rd 2016 (4:00 PM EST)
Alabama -21.5 (40.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Alabama 54 - Florida: 16  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (14 - 1) (10 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FLA is playing their 6th straight game
ALA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -8  (SP+ ALA -16.5)

Projected Score: ALA: 25 - FLA: 23 (48)
ALA Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
ALA Travel: 185 miles, 1 hrs behind
Gators (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (29 - 19 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Alabama vs USC-9.051.5W 52 - 6OY
Sat 9/10 Alabama vs Western Kentucky-24.059.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 9/17 Alabama at Ole Miss-9.553.0W 48 - 43ON
Sat 9/24 Alabama vs Kent State-41.549.5W 48 - 0UY
Sat 10/1 Alabama vs Kentucky-32.554.5W 34 - 6UN
Sat 10/8 Alabama at Arkansas-13.048.5W 49 - 30OY
Sat 10/15 Alabama at Tennessee-9.054.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 10/22 Alabama vs Texas A&M-16.559.0W 33 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Alabama at LSU-7.046.0W 10 - 0UY
Sat 11/12 Alabama vs Mississippi State-28.552.5W 51 - 3OY
Sat 11/19 Alabama vs Chattanooga-48.5
Sat 11/26 Alabama vs Auburn-20.047.0W 30 - 12UN
Sat 12/3 Alabama vs Florida-21.540.5W 54 - 16OY
Sat 12/31 Alabama vs Washington-14.051.0W 24 - 7UY
Mon 1/9 Alabama vs Clemson-6.051.0L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Florida's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Florida vs Massachusetts-37.051.5W 24 - 7UN
Sat 9/10 Florida vs Kentucky-16.548.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/17 Florida vs North Texas-35.052.5W 32 - 0UN
Sat 9/24 Florida at Tennessee+8.042.5L 28 - 38ON
Sat 10/1 Florida at Vanderbilt-8.540.5W 13 - 6UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Florida vs Missouri-13.051.0W 40 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Florida vs Georgia-7.543.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/5 Florida at Arkansas-3.544.0L 10 - 31UN
Sat 11/12 Florida vs South Carolina-16.038.5W 20 - 7UN
Sat 11/19 Florida at LSU+10.538.0W 16 - 10UY
Sat 11/26 Florida at Florida State+5.047.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 12/3 Florida vs Alabama+21.540.5L 16 - 54ON
Mon 1/2 Florida vs Iowa-2.041.0W 30 - 3UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA.2146%29.546%3.1320042%2273.56-.0132%19.230%31%2.2255.71.11.8
FLA.1239%21.639%2.7612738%2073.07.0237%2437%34%2.9252.61.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1529.526.345.7%3.561.1224272002274.754%44%46%42%2%.21
FLA Defense142418.736.7%2.921.8 - - - - - 50%48%37%34%2%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1519.223.731.8%2.221.8 - - - - - 41%57%30%31%2%-.01
FLA Offense1421.62939.3%3.071.2173341272073.550%49%39%38%2%.12

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1533:3221.937%50%5.955.71.11.8001032.8
Florida1430:5816.736%52%6.552.61.21.800432.9
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1554%46%42.8199.94.733.163.1379%0%0.94
FLA Defense1450%37% - - - - .022.6267%0%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1541%30% - - - - -.092.3364%0%0.93
FLA Offense1450%39%36.4126.93.519.072.7676%0%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1544%42%20.129.7227.17.611.32210.331.632%33%.312%1.8
FLA Defense1448%34% - - - - - - 14.081.537%26%.12%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1557%31% - - - - - - 19.051.841%27%.162%1.9
FLA Offense1449%38%16.428.9207.17.212.72010.171.634%25%.152%1.9

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alabama's 2016 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.7  #1
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #13
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.6  #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    Florida: 7.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 31.7   Florida: 15.4




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 7.7 NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4  #20
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #84
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.0  #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2016 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 10 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 25
Florida 23


Projected Total Points: 48
Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

Florida's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/18Florida29Alabama31Alabama -14Florida59.5Over
202012/19Florida46Alabama52Alabama -17.5Florida74.5Over
201612/03Florida16Alabama54Alabama -21.5Alabama40.5Over
201512/05Alabama29Florida15Alabama -17Florida38.0Over
201409/20Alabama42Florida21Alabama -16Alabama0
201110/01Florida10Alabama38
201010/02Alabama31Florida6
200912/05Alabama32Florida13
200812/06Florida31Alabama20
200609/30Florida28Alabama13
200510/01Alabama31Florida3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida234 Overs
Alabama920 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 43 - 21 - 12 - 1
Road Teams4 - 72 - 31 - 21 - 1

(#) ALA at (#) FLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALAFLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #1 #20
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #1 #16
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
ALA OffFLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffFLA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffFLA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida on Offense
CategoryCatFLA OffALA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #84 #1
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatFLA OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

ALA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia Dome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Alabama 21.5 (40.5)
Alabama won at Florida this year (54-16)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ALA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FLA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD