UNLV at Hawai'i - 2026 Matchup Preview
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UNLV Rebels at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Hawai
Saturday, September 5th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex - Honolulu, HI  (Mountain West)

 
Rebels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (10 - 4)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (35 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#26)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: UNLV -1  (SP+ UNLV -2.5)
Projected Score: UNLV: 29 - HAW: 28 (57)
UNLV Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
UNLV Travel: 2756 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Rainbow Warriors (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (22 - 29)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 3.9 (#35)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 10)
 
UNLV's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29UNLV vs Memphis+0.5————
Sat 9/5UNLV at Hawai'i-1————
Sat 9/12UNLV at North Texas+5————
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/26UNLV at Akron-12.5————
Sat 10/3UNLV vs California-1.5————
Sat 10/10UNLV vs North Dakota State-5.5————
Sat 10/17UNLV at Air Force-7————
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/31UNLV vs Northern Illinois-20.5————
Sat 11/7UNLV vs Wyoming-13.5————
Sat 11/14UNLV at New Mexico+0.5————
Sat 11/21UNLV at San José State-14.5————
Sat 11/28UNLV vs Nevada-20.5————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Hawai'i's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29Hawai'i at Stanford-1————
Sat 9/5Hawai'i vs UNLV+1————
Sat 9/12Hawai'i vs New Mexico State-17————
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/26Hawai'i at Wyoming-5————
Sat 10/3Hawai'i vs San José State-16.5————
Sat 10/10Hawai'i at Arizona State+10————
Sat 10/17Hawai'i vs New Mexico-1————
Sat 10/24Hawai'i at Northern Illinois-12————
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/7Hawai'i at UTEP-11————
Sat 11/14Hawai'i vs North Dakota State-2————
Sat 11/21Hawai'i at Nevada-12.5————
Sat 11/28Hawai'i vs Sacramento State-7————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#15 (.3)47% (19)34.148% (19)3.19 (21)19646% (26)2514.45 (18)#107 (.21)44% (103)2845% (102)43% (95)3.78 (78)66.21.21.7
HAW#62 (.18)41% (88)2938% (118)2.8 (96)10544% (49)2913.77 (61)#74 (.17)42% (70)24.143% (74)41% (60)3.35 (39)65.81.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HAW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1434.134.746.8%4.451.2234471962515.649%49%48%46%16%.3
HAW Defense1324.11741.7%3.351.2 - - - - - 46%52%43%41%16%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense142829.344.3%3.781.7 - - - - - 47%50%45%43%15%.21
HAW Offense13293141.2%3.771.3203951052913.737%62%38%44%12%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1430:4223.145%58%7.666.21.21.74.72.1528.2
Hawai'i1331:5720.545%60%7.765.81.31.24.82.2329.9
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1449% (71)48% (19)35.3195.95.633 (30).26 (8)3.19 (21)71% (76)10% (103)1.09 (22)
HAW Defense1346% (22)43% (74) - - - - .1 (67)3.21 (120)81% (123)9% (77)0.97 (77)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1447% (39)45% (102) - - - - .23 (130)3.15 (112)62% (14)9% (103)1.11 (127)
HAW Offense1337% (133)38% (118)28.1104.73.78 (122).02 (118)2.8 (96)59% (131)7% (11)0.91 (91)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1449% (67)46% (26)19.930.3250.98.312.624 (42)9 (34).37 (33)1.6 (51)30% (52)36% (18).47 (15)6% (51)2.1 (54)
HAW Defense1352% (112)41% (60) - - - - - - 8 (55).26 (75)1.6 (79)34% (31)31% (87).43 (125)7% (43)2.2 (121)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1450% (93)43% (95) - - - - - - 14 (6).25 (70)1.6 (69)31% (73)31% (88).2 (27)6% (52)1.9 (28)
HAW Offense1362% (3)44% (49)26.941.5290.6710.830 (14)12 (127).31 (47)1.6 (61)34% (113)33% (29).37 (41)5% (39)2.2 (18)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -0.18  #77
UNLV's Offense Rating: 15.80  #44
UNLV's Defense Rating: 20.98  #108
2026 Talent Rating: 622.00  #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #103
UNLV's 2026 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
UNLV's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3  #57
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8  #25
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8  #89

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -0.18   Hawai'i: 1.155

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 4.3   Hawai'i: 1.7




Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: 1.155  #87
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 10.56  #89
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 19.95  #98
2026 Talent Rating: 516.00  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #103
Hawai'i's 2026 Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9
Hawai'i's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7  #68
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #66
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #69

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

UNLV's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 29
Hawai'i 28

Projected Total Points: 57
Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Hawai'i's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/21UNLV38Hawai'i10UNLV -2.5UNLV64.5Under
202411/09Hawai'i27UNLV29UNLV -12.0Hawai'i51.5Over
202309/30UNLV44Hawai'i20UNLV -10.5UNLV58.5Over
202211/19Hawai'i31UNLV25UNLV -11Hawai'i56.5Under
202111/13UNLV27Hawai'i13Hawai'i -3.5UNLV55.5Under
202012/12Hawai'i38UNLV21Hawai'i -19.5UNLV60.0Under
201911/16UNLV7Hawai'i21Hawai'i -6.5Hawai'i72.5Under
201811/17Hawai'i35UNLV28Hawai'i -6Hawai'i71.0Under
201711/04UNLV31Hawai'i23UNLV -7UNLV59.5Under
201610/15Hawai'i38UNLV41Hawai'i -10UNLV54.0Over
201511/07UNLV41Hawai'i21UNLV -6UNLV53.5Over
201411/22Hawai'i37UNLV35Hawai'i -8UNLV0
201310/12UNLV39Hawai'i37UNLV -7Hawai'i0
201211/24Hawai'i48UNLV10
201109/17UNLV40Hawai'i20
201012/04Hawai'i59UNLV21
200909/19UNLV34Hawai'i33
200709/15UNLV14Hawai'i49
200609/16Hawai'i42UNLV13
200309/19UNLV33Hawai'i22
200012/01Hawai'i32UNLV34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Hawai'i954 Overs
UNLV1287 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 58 - 55 - 43 - 1
Road Teams5 - 165 - 81 - 34 - 5

(#77) UNLV at (#87) HAW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNLVHAW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #77 #87
SP+SP+ #57 #68
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #92 #117
Blue ChipsBC% #103 #103
UNLV Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Mullen could run new MWC w/ resources
(3/3) QB Jackson Arnold (Aub) in, still have A. Orji
(3/3) RB Jai'Den Thomas one of G6 best, good depth
(3/3) WR rebuild, 3 portals, have some talent, lack exp
(3/3) OL 3 starters, 4 portal adds, should be good
(3/3) DL looks really suspect but only took 1 portal?
(3/3) DBs by far most exp'd, 4 decent starters w depth
UNLV Injury Report
Hawai'i Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Chang great job LY 9-4 but road rec 4-18
(3/3) QB Alejado is back, great Fr season, a top G6 QB
(3/3) RB Barfield (#2 LY) back, depth is ? right now
(3/3) WR lost a lot, Ashlock big/good, Uiliata good as Fr
(3/3) OL a big ? 2/3 starters back, have depth though
(3/3) Def was OK LY but lost a lot, not much portal help
(3/3) DL added 4, maybe FCS guys hit? 4 have exp
(3/3) DBs strength of Def, Palmer good CB, 2 good S
Hawai'i Injury Report
UNLV on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffHAW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #19 #70
ExplosiveExp #25 #87
PPAPPA #15 #74
PowerPwr #44 #98
SP+SP+ #25 #69
Pts POPPO #18 #39
HavocHav #80 #61
UNLV Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffHAW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #19 #74
Run ExplRExp #22 #77
PPAExp #8 #67
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #21 #120
Stuff RateStuff #64 #116
TackleTak - NR
UNLV Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffHAW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #26 #60
Pass ExplPExl #51 #79
PPAExp #33 #75
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #103 #77
DB HavocDB #51 #43
Hawai'i on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCatHAW OffUNLV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #88 #103
ExplosiveExp #27 #112
PPAPPA #62 #107
PowerPwr #89 #108
SP+SP+ #66 #89
Pts POPPO #61 #78
HavocHav #15 #86
Hawai'i Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
HAW OffUNLV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #118 #102
Run ExplRExp #91 #127
PPAExp #118 #130
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #96 #112
Stuff RateStuff #99 #102
TackleTak - NR
Hawai'i Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCatHAW OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #49 #95
Pass ExplPExl #61 #69
PPAExp #47 #70
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #11 #103
DB HavocDB #39 #52
Program Comparison
HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Hawai'i last year (38-10)
UNLV beat Hawai'i in 2024 (29-27)
UNLV beat Hawai'i in 2023 (44-20)

  
UNLV's OC Corey Dennis (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold (Tr)13621563%1309626.1
Alex Orji33100%370012.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas1481034127.070
Jaylon Glover6438416.043
Jackson Arnold (Tr)11231182.856
Kayden McGee75618.025
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tastean Reddicks30391013.037
Taeshaun Lyons15234315.672
Jai'Den Thomas3823316.127
Amorion Walker (Tr)15201113.441

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Pope803213
Blesyng Alualu-Tuiolemotu615011
Landyn Cleveland (Tr)332012
Tre Fulton331014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lucas Conti224310
Jake Pope803213
Elias Rudolph102200
Mark Iheanachor (Tr)41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quandarius Keyes141006
Tre Fulton331014
Jake Pope803213

HAW's OC Anthony Arceneaux (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Micah Alejado28543066%31062497.2
Tama Uiliata1250%340017.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Barfield8037144.641
Micah Alejado8110511.330
Devon Rice (Tr)269433.613
Tama Uiliata2804.06
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Pofele Ashlock76827810.947
Cam Barfield2725739.559
Tama Uiliata2823108.330
Devon Tauaefa1410707.634

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC Dennis Thurman (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamih Otis543040
Elijah Palmer5170010
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina378430
Wynden Ho'Ohuli242011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina378430
Luther McCoy183240
Noah Wily11100
Jamih Otis543040
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Palmer5170010
Matagi Thompson160003
Caleb Brown (Tr)20001