Nevada at UNLV - 2026 Matchup Preview

Nevada Wolf Pack at UNLV Rebels

Saturday, November 28th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Allegiant Stadium - Las Vegas, NV (Mountain West)

Wolf Pack (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Choate (6 - 19)
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (16 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#91)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)

UNLV is playing their 5th straight game
NEV is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -20.5 (SP+ UNLV -18)
Projected Score: NEV: 17 - UNLV: 38 (55)
UNLV Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
NEV Travel: 2599 miles

Rebels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (10 - 4)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (37 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#26)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
NEV Players
UNLV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nevada's 2026 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Nevada vs Western Kentucky	+12.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/12	Nevada vs Montana State	-7.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/19	Nevada at Middle Tennessee	+1.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/26	Nevada vs Air Force	+6	—	—	—	—
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/10	Nevada at UTEP	+4	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/17	Nevada at North Dakota State	+18	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/24	Nevada vs San José State	-1.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/31	Nevada at UCLA	+22	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/7	Nevada vs New Mexico	+14	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/14	Nevada at Northern Illinois	+3	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/21	Nevada vs Hawai'i	+12.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/28	Nevada at UNLV	+20.5	—	—	—	—

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule

UNLV's 2026 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/29	UNLV vs Memphis	+0.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/5	UNLV at Hawai'i	-1	—	—	—	—
Sat 9/12	UNLV at North Texas	+5	—	—	—	—
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/26	UNLV at Akron	-12.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/3	UNLV vs California	-1.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/10	UNLV vs North Dakota State	-5.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 10/17	UNLV at Air Force	-7	—	—	—	—
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/31	UNLV vs Northern Illinois	-20.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/7	UNLV vs Wyoming	-13.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/14	UNLV at New Mexico	+0.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/21	UNLV at San José State	-14.5	—	—	—	—
Sat 11/28	UNLV vs Nevada	-20.5	—	—	—	—

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV	#129 (.02)	37% (124)	17.6	37% (123)	2.83 (86)	155	36% (118)	147	2.67 (133)	#94 (.19)	44% (93)	27.5	44% (85)	43% (96)	4.15 (112)	45.2	2.3	1.3
UNLV	#15 (.3)	47% (19)	34.1	48% (19)	3.19 (21)	196	46% (26)	251	4.45 (18)	#107 (.21)	44% (103)	28	45% (102)	43% (95)	3.78 (78)	66.2	1.2	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Offense	12	17.6	15.5	36.6%	2.67	2.3	17	302	155	147	4.5	56%	42%	37%	36%	17%	.02
UNLV Defense	14	28	29.7	44.3%	3.78	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	50%	45%	43%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Defense	12	27.5	29.8	43.5%	4.15	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	44%	43%	14%	.19
UNLV Offense	14	34.1	36.8	46.8%	4.45	1.2	23	447	196	251	5.6	49%	49%	48%	46%	16%	.3

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nevada	12	30:19	17.3	32%	54%	5.3	45.2	2.3	1.3	5.3	1.6	3	30.4
UNLV	14	30:42	23.1	45%	58%	7.6	66.2	1.2	1.7	4.7	2.1	5	28.2

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Offense	12	56% (23)	37% (123)	34.6	155.3	4.5	9 (132)	.07 (92)	2.83 (86)	72% (68)	11% (114)	1.04 (36)
UNLV Defense	14	47% (39)	45% (102)	-	-	-	-	.23 (130)	3.15 (112)	62% (14)	9% (103)	1.11 (127)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Defense	12	50% (66)	44% (85)	-	-	-	-	.22 (126)	3.08 (104)	72% (77)	9% (93)	1.05 (109)
UNLV Offense	14	49% (71)	48% (19)	35.3	195.9	5.6	33 (30)	.26 (8)	3.19 (21)	71% (76)	10% (103)	1.09 (22)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Offense	12	42% (114)	36% (118)	15.2	25.7	147.2	5.7	9.7	10 (121)	17 (134)	-.02 (135)	1.4 (124)	34% (109)	24% (130)	-.05 (136)	6% (86)	1.6 (136)
UNLV Defense	14	50% (93)	43% (95)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (6)	.25 (70)	1.6 (69)	31% (73)	31% (88)	.2 (27)	6% (52)	1.9 (28)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Defense	12	48% (71)	43% (96)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (75)	.18 (38)	1.3 (2)	32% (65)	28% (38)	.26 (56)	6% (86)	1.8 (16)
UNLV Offense	14	49% (67)	46% (26)	19.9	30.3	250.9	8.3	12.6	24 (42)	9 (34)	.37 (33)	1.6 (51)	30% (52)	36% (18)	.47 (15)	6% (51)	2.1 (54)

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -18.91 #136
Nevada's Offense Rating: 0.88 #132
Nevada's Defense Rating: 24.79 #131
2026 Talent Rating: 492.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #64
Nevada's 2026 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Nevada's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.4 #116
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #133
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #81

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -18.91 UNLV: 4.56

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -13.4 UNLV: 4.3

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 4.56 #77
UNLV's Offense Rating: 15.80 #44
UNLV's Defense Rating: 20.98 #108
2026 Talent Rating: 622.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #103
UNLV's 2026 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
UNLV's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #57
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #25
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #89

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Nevada's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
UNLV 38
Nevada 17

Projected Total Points: 55

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

UNLV's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Nevada	17	UNLV	42	UNLV -7.5	UNLV	53.0	Over
2024	11/30	UNLV	38	Nevada	14	UNLV -17.5	UNLV	54.5	Under
2023	10/14	Nevada	27	UNLV	45	UNLV -7.5	UNLV	51.5	Over
2022	11/26	UNLV	27	Nevada	22	UNLV -12.5	Nevada	49.0	Push
2021	10/29	Nevada	51	UNLV	20	Nevada -19	Nevada	58.0	Over
2020	10/31	UNLV	19	Nevada	37	Nevada -10.5	Nevada	0
2019	11/30	Nevada	30	UNLV	33	Nevada -6.5	UNLV	52.0	Over
2018	11/24	UNLV	34	Nevada	29	Nevada -14	UNLV	60.5	Over
2017	11/25	Nevada	23	UNLV	16	Nevada -3	Nevada	70.0	Under
2016	11/26	UNLV	10	Nevada	45	UNLV -7	Nevada	59.0	Under
2015	10/03	Nevada	17	UNLV	23	Nevada -11.5	UNLV	57.0	Under
2014	11/29	UNLV	27	Nevada	49	Nevada -10	Nevada	0
2013	10/26	Nevada	22	UNLV	27	Nevada -3.5	UNLV	0
2012	10/13	UNLV	37	Nevada	42
2011	10/08	Nevada	37	UNLV	0
2010	10/02	UNLV	26	Nevada	44
2009	10/03	Nevada	63	UNLV	28
2008	09/27	UNLV	27	Nevada	49
2007	09/29	Nevada	27	UNLV	20
2006	09/30	UNLV	3	Nevada	31
2005	09/17	Nevada	22	UNLV	14
2004	10/02	UNLV	48	Nevada	13
2003	10/04	Nevada	12	UNLV	16
2002	10/05	UNLV	21	Nevada	17
2001	10/06	Nevada	12	UNLV	27
2000	10/06	UNLV	38	Nevada	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UNLV	13	7	5 Overs
Nevada	13	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 14	4 - 9	3 - 5	1 - 4
Road Teams	14 - 12	9 - 4	4 - 1	5 - 3

(#136) NEV at (#77) UNLV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NEV	UNLV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#136	#77
SP+SP+	#116	#57
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#120	#92
Blue ChipsBC%	#64	#103

Nevada Notes(3/3) Vibes: Not sure what we're doing here or why
(3/3) Off a tire fire LY, OC fired, QB benched. Ugly
(3/3) QB Jones played LY as Fr but not well. Is he #1?
(3/3) RB are small and below avg. Anyone emerge?
(3/3) WR added 2 prod FCS (Cheers + Doss) could help
(3/3) OL surprisingly good on paper, 3 starters, depth
(3/3) DE Dylan Labarbera a monster, why still here?
(3/3) DL unit could be Avg, DT's have size, LB are ?
(3/3) DBs have 2 good Safeties, 3 exp'd CBs.
Nevada Injury Report

UNLV Notes(3/3) Vibes: Mullen could run new MWC w/ resources
(3/3) QB Jackson Arnold (Aub) in, still have A. Orji
(3/3) RB Jai'Den Thomas one of G6 best, good depth
(3/3) WR rebuild, 3 portals, have some talent, lack exp
(3/3) OL 3 starters, 4 portal adds, should be good
(3/3) DL looks really suspect but only took 1 portal?
(3/3) DBs by far most exp'd, 4 decent starters w depth
UNLV Injury Report

Nevada on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	NEV Off	UNLV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#124	#103
ExplosiveExp	#102	#112
PPAPPA	#129	#107
PowerPwr	#132	#108
SP+SP+	#133	#89
Pts POPPO	#133	#78
HavocHav	#107	#86

Nevada Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	NEV Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#123	#102
Run ExplRExp	#36	#127
PPAExp	#92	#130
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#86	#112
Stuff RateStuff	#79	#102
TackleTak	-	NR

Nevada Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	NEV Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#118	#95
Pass ExplPExl	#124	#69
PPAExp	#135	#70
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#114	#103
DB HavocDB	#86	#52

UNLV on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UNLV Off	NEV Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#19	#93
ExplosiveExp	#25	#39
PPAPPA	#15	#94
PowerPwr	#44	#131
SP+SP+	#25	#81
Pts POPPO	#18	#112
HavocHav	#80	#100

UNLV Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UNLV Off	NEV Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#19	#85
Run ExplRExp	#22	#109
PPAExp	#8	#126
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#21	#104
Stuff RateStuff	#64	#110
TackleTak	-	NR

UNLV Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UNLV Off	NEV Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#26	#96
Pass ExplPExl	#51	#2
PPAExp	#33	#38
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#103	#93
DB HavocDB	#51	#86

Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

NEV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Nevada last year (42-17)
UNLV beat Nevada in 2024 (38-14)
UNLV beat Nevada in 2023 (45-27)

NEV's OC Bret Bartalone (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carter Jones	111	173	64%	1001	6	8	5.8
AJ Bianco	27	45	60%	188	1	1	4.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Herschel Turner	69	353	0	5.1	64
Ky Woods	19	103	0	5.4	28
Dominic Kelley	23	60	1	2.6	10
Carter Jackson	8	41	0	5.1	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaceon Doss (Tr)	29	657	5	22.7	84
Donnie Cheers (Tr)	44	585	5	13.3	67
Marshaun Brown	16	164	1	10.3	22
Gary Givens III	12	145	1	12.1	31

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC Kane Ioane (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dylan Labarbera	88	17	7	3	0
Jeremy Naborne	35	4	2	2	0
Joshua Scott (Tr)	29	0	0	0	4
Larry Turner-Gooden	28	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Dylan Labarbera	88	17	7	3
Jeremy Naborne	35	4	2	2
Poasa Utu (Tr)	8	2	2	1
Myles Williams	3	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Bryson Snelling	14	0	4
Joshua Scott (Tr)	29	0	4
Bishop Turner	21	1	2

UNLV's OC Corey Dennis (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jackson Arnold (Tr)	136	215	63%	1309	6	2	6.1
Alex Orji	3	3	100%	37	0	0	12.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jai'Den Thomas	148	1034	12	7.0	70
Jaylon Glover	64	384	1	6.0	43
Jackson Arnold (Tr)	112	311	8	2.8	56
Kayden McGee	7	56	1	8.0	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tastean Reddicks	30	391	0	13.0	37
Taeshaun Lyons	15	234	3	15.6	72
Jai'Den Thomas	38	233	1	6.1	27
Amorion Walker (Tr)	15	201	1	13.4	41

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jake Pope	80	3	2	1	3
Blesyng Alualu-Tuiolemotu	61	5	0	1	1
Landyn Cleveland (Tr)	33	2	0	1	2
Tre Fulton	33	1	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lucas Conti	22	4	3	1	0
Jake Pope	80	3	2	1	3
Elias Rudolph	10	2	2	0	0
Mark Iheanachor (Tr)	4	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quandarius Keyes	14	1	0	0	6
Tre Fulton	33	1	0	1	4
Jake Pope	80	3	2	1	3