California at UNLV - 2026 Matchup Preview
California logo California Golden Bears at UNLV RebelsUNLV logo
Saturday, October 3rd 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Allegiant Stadium - Las Vegas, NV

 
Golden Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tosh Lupoi (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (24 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#134)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
CAL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -3  (SP+ UNLV -8)
Projected Score: CAL: 28 - UNLV: 31 (59)
UNLV Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
CAL Travel: 2768 miles
Rebels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (10 - 4)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (37 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#13)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 California vs UCLA-5
Sat 9/12 California at Syracuse-5.5
Sat 9/19 California vs Wagner-24
Fri 9/25 California vs Clemson+5.5
Sat 10/3 California at UNLV+3
Sat 10/10 California vs Virginia Tech-5
Sat 10/17 California vs Wake Forest+3
Fri 10/23 California at SMU+13.5
Fri 10/30 California at NC State+9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 California at Virginia+10.5
Sat 11/21 California vs Stanford-8
Sat 11/28 California vs Pittsburgh+5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for California's Schedule
UNLV's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 UNLV vs California-3

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL#98 (.12)41% (95)25.338% (119)2.64 (120)8343% (57)2753.7 (66)#71 (.17)42% (79)27.247% (118)38% (34)3.69 (71)64.61.21.1
UNLV#15 (.3)47% (19)34.148% (19)3.19 (21)19646% (26)2514.45 (18)#107 (.21)44% (103)2845% (102)43% (95)3.78 (78)66.21.21.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1325.323.740.6%3.71.220358832752.839%60%38%43%16%.12
UNLV Defense142829.744.3%3.781.7 - - - - - 47%50%45%43%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1327.229.642.3%3.691.1 - - - - - 46%51%47%38%15%.17
UNLV Offense1434.136.846.8%4.451.2234471962515.649%49%48%46%16%.3

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1330:1419.940%52%7.864.61.21.14.61.5027.1
UNLV1430:4223.145%58%7.666.21.21.74.72.1528.2
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1339% (131)38% (119)29.682.52.821 (78)-.04 (133)2.64 (120)70% (81)10% (74)0.89 (102)
UNLV Defense1447% (39)45% (102) - - - - .23 (130)3.15 (112)62% (14)9% (103)1.11 (127)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1346% (27)47% (118) - - - - .21 (122)3.32 (129)85% (131)8% (116)0.98 (82)
UNLV Offense1449% (71)48% (19)35.3195.95.633 (30).26 (8)3.19 (21)71% (76)10% (103)1.09 (22)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1360% (6)43% (57)24.838.8275.37.111.120 (61)10 (119).23 (78)1.5 (108)32% (77)33% (32).36 (49)7% (105)1.9 (113)
UNLV Defense1450% (93)43% (95) - - - - - - 14 (6).25 (70)1.6 (69)31% (73)31% (88).2 (27)6% (52)1.9 (28)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1351% (101)38% (34) - - - - - - 8 (55).14 (23)1.4 (10)32% (64)26% (23).16 (15)7% (22)1.7 (9)
UNLV Offense1449% (67)46% (26)19.930.3250.98.312.624 (42)9 (34).37 (33)1.6 (51)30% (52)36% (18).47 (15)6% (51)2.1 (54)

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 4.22  #47
California's Offense Rating: 13.03  #51
California's Defense Rating: 13.81  #43
2026 Talent Rating: 884.00  #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
California's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
California's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2  #80
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #77
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #72

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
California: 4.22   UNLV: 3.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: -3.2   UNLV: 4.3




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 3.725  #66
UNLV's Offense Rating: 13.48  #49
UNLV's Defense Rating: 20.33  #88
2026 Talent Rating: 742.00  #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
UNLV's 2026 Expected Record: 10.7 - 3.3
UNLV's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3  #57
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8  #25
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8  #89

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 513.78
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

California's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 31
California 28

Projected Total Points: 59
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

UNLV's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/18UNLV24California13UNLV -3UNLV45.0Under
202209/10California20UNLV14California -12UNLV49.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV120 Overs
California102 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#47) CAL at (#66) UNLV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCALUNLV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #47 #66
SP+SP+ #80 #57
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #29 #67
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #101
California on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat
CAL OffUNLV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #95 #103
ExplosiveExp #65 #112
PPAPPA #98 #107
PowerPwr #51 #88
SP+SP+ #77 #89
Pts POPPO #66 #78
HavocHav #91 #86
California Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat
CAL OffUNLV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #119 #102
Run ExplRExp #102 #127
PPAExp #133 #130
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #120 #112
Stuff RateStuff #58 #102
TackleTak - NR
California Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat
CAL OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #57 #95
Pass ExplPExl #108 #69
PPAExp #78 #70
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #74 #103
DB HavocDB #105 #52
UNLV on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatUNLV OffCAL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #19 #79
ExplosiveExp #25 #31
PPAPPA #15 #71
PowerPwr #49 #43
SP+SP+ #25 #72
Pts POPPO #18 #71
HavocHav #80 #80
UNLV Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffCAL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #19 #118
Run ExplRExp #22 #82
PPAExp #8 #122
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #21 #129
Stuff RateStuff #64 #134
TackleTak - NR
UNLV Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatUNLV OffCAL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #26 #34
Pass ExplPExl #51 #10
PPAExp #33 #23
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #103 #116
DB HavocDB #51 #22
Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
UNLV beat California in 2024 (24-13)

  
CAL's OC Jordan Somerville (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele31549164%34461897.0
Jackson Brousseau (Tr)12820164%1354936.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashten Emory (Tr)11956944.856
Adam Mohammed (Tr)10652354.925
Byron Cardwell4826715.622
Anthony League113813.58
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Hendricks (Tr)711037714.667
Ian Strong (Tr)52762514.745
Dorian Thomas (Tr)56560410.034
Mason Mini35387411.151

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Michael Hutchings (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Sidney475113
Aiden Manutai442012
Aaron Hampton411100
Jasiah Wagoner281010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Wayne265350
Joshua Pierce (Tr)142210
Cameron Sidney475113
Aaron Hampton411100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Derek Wilkins120018
Cameron Sidney475113
Isaiah Crosby241003

UNLV's OC Corey Dennis (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold (Tr)13621563%1309626.1
Alex Orji33100%370012.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas1481034127.070
Jaylon Glover6438416.043
Jackson Arnold (Tr)11231182.856
Kayden McGee75618.025
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tastean Reddicks30391013.037
Taeshaun Lyons15234315.672
Jai'Den Thomas3823316.127
Amorion Walker (Tr)15201113.441

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Pope803213
Jaheem Joseph738403
Blesyng Alualu-Tuiolemotu615011
Tre Fulton331014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheem Joseph738403
Lucas Conti224310
Cohen Fuller274241
Jake Pope803213
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quandarius Keyes141006
Tre Fulton331014
Jake Pope803213