Hawai'i at Arizona State - 2026 Matchup Preview

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Arizona State Sun Devils

Saturday, October 10th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe, AZ

Rainbow Warriors (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (22 - 29)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (26 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#94)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ASU 3rd straight Home Game
HAW coming off BYE
Our Line: Arizona State -10 (SP+ ASU -2)
Projected Score: HAW: 22 - ASU: 32 (53)
ASU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
HAW Travel: 2913 miles, 3 hrs behind

Sun Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 5.7 (#55)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
HAW Players
ASU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Hawai'i's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/29	Hawai'i at Stanford	-1
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Hawai'i at Arizona State	+10

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule

Arizona State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Arizona State vs Morgan State	-29.5
Sat 9/12	Arizona State at Texas A&M	+20
Sat 9/19	Arizona State vs Kansas	-5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Arizona State vs Baylor	-4.5
Sat 10/10	Arizona State vs Hawai'i	-10
Sat 10/17	Arizona State at Texas Tech	+23.5
Sat 10/24	Arizona State vs Kansas State	-1
Sat 10/31	Arizona State at BYU	+13.5
Sat 11/7	Arizona State vs Colorado	-10
Sat 11/14	Arizona State at UCF	+0.5
Sat 11/21	Arizona State vs Oklahoma State	-11.5
Sat 11/28	Arizona State at Arizona	+5.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HAW	#62 (.18)	41% (88)	29	38% (118)	2.8 (96)	105	44% (49)	291	3.77 (61)	#74 (.17)	42% (70)	24.1	43% (74)	41% (60)	3.35 (39)	65.8	1.3	1.2
ASU	#91 (.14)	40% (99)	25.8	43% (75)	2.86 (82)	193	39% (101)	224	3.37 (103)	#35 (.1)	41% (58)	24.5	42% (63)	40% (51)	3.46 (51)	57.8	1.6	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HAW		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ASU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HAW Offense	13	29	25.8	41.2%	3.77	1.3	20	395	105	291	3.7	37%	62%	38%	44%	12%	.18
ASU Defense	13	24.5	21.4	40.8%	3.46	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	42%	40%	19%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HAW Defense	13	24.1	35.4	41.7%	3.35	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	43%	41%	16%	.17
ASU Offense	13	25.8	24.7	40.2%	3.37	1.6	21	417	193	224	5.1	51%	47%	43%	39%	17%	.14

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Hawai'i	13	31:57	20.5	45%	60%	7.7	65.8	1.3	1.2	4.8	2.2	3	29.9
Arizona State	13	31:33	21.1	33%	58%	7.2	57.8	1.6	1.2	6.6	2.6	0	27.7

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HAW Offense	13	37% (133)	38% (118)	28.1	104.7	3.7	8 (122)	.02 (118)	2.8 (96)	59% (131)	7% (11)	0.91 (91)
ASU Defense	13	45% (16)	42% (63)	-	-	-	-	.03 (28)	2.72 (36)	71% (63)	11% (40)	0.92 (47)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HAW Defense	13	46% (22)	43% (74)	-	-	-	-	.1 (67)	3.21 (120)	81% (123)	9% (77)	0.97 (77)
ASU Offense	13	51% (54)	43% (75)	38	192.9	5.1	18 (78)	.11 (72)	2.86 (82)	63% (118)	10% (87)	0.97 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HAW Offense	13	62% (3)	44% (49)	26.9	41.5	290.6	7	10.8	30 (14)	12 (127)	.31 (47)	1.6 (61)	34% (113)	33% (29)	.37 (41)	5% (39)	2.2 (18)
ASU Defense	13	54% (123)	40% (51)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (55)	.17 (32)	1.5 (39)	32% (58)	28% (56)	.2 (28)	8% (11)	2.1 (98)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HAW Defense	13	52% (112)	41% (60)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (55)	.26 (75)	1.6 (79)	34% (31)	31% (87)	.43 (125)	7% (43)	2.2 (121)
ASU Offense	13	47% (89)	39% (101)	19.3	33.1	223.7	6.8	11.6	20 (86)	9 (20)	.25 (68)	1.6 (46)	32% (79)	28% (88)	.26 (86)	7% (105)	1.9 (99)

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -4.39 #88
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 10.56 #89
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 19.95 #99
2026 Talent Rating: 516.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #103
Hawai'i's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Hawai'i's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #68
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #66
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #69

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -4.39 Arizona State: 8.71

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: 1.7 Arizona State: 3.9

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 8.71 #44
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 12.53 #73
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 9.01 #29
2026 Talent Rating: 894.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #36
Arizona State's 2026 Expected Record: 6.3 - 5.7
Arizona State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #60
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #59
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #44

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 824
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Hawai'i's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona State 32
Hawai'i 22

Projected Total Points: 53

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Arizona State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2006	12/24	Hawai'i	41	Arizona State	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona State	0	0	0 Overs
Hawai'i	1	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#88) HAW at (#44) ASU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	HAW	ASU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#88	#44
SP+SP+	#68	#60
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#117	#36
Blue ChipsBC%	#103	#36

Hawai'i Notes(3/3) Vibes: Chang great job LY 9-4 but road rec 4-18
(3/3) QB Alejado is back, great Fr season, a top G6 QB
(3/3) RB Barfield (#2 LY) back, depth is ? right now
(3/3) WR lost a lot, Ashlock big/good, Uiliata good as Fr
(3/3) OL a big ? 2/3 starters back, have depth though
(3/3) Def was OK LY but lost a lot, not much portal help
(3/3) DL added 4, maybe FCS guys hit? 4 have exp
(3/3) DBs strength of Def, Palmer good CB, 2 good S
Hawai'i Injury Report

Arizona State Notes(2/17) Vibes: Good, Staff back, Off could be real fun
(2/17) Portal haul great, underrated esp WR & LB/DE
(2/4) Staff continuity w OC/DC combo for 3 years
(2/4) QB Boley (UK) was OK as Fr. Talented depth
(2/4) RBs portals Gillis & Avit, or K Brown? Options
(2/4) WR 3 big portals w Harris & Miller should be good
(2/4) OL lots of ? with few proven answers. 2 portals?
(2/4) DE good w two big portals, DT inexp'd & unproven
(2/4) LB 2 portal adds, there's exp here but avg perf
(2/4) CBs have big ?, S more proven w exp'd portal adds
Arizona State Injury Report

Hawai'i on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat	HAW Off	ASU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#88	#58
ExplosiveExp	#27	#53
PPAPPA	#62	#35
PowerPwr	#89	#29
SP+SP+	#66	#44
Pts POPPO	#61	#51
HavocHav	#15	#15

Hawai'i Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat	HAW Off	ASU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#118	#63
Run ExplRExp	#91	#47
PPAExp	#118	#28
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#96	#36
Stuff RateStuff	#99	#34
TackleTak	-	NR

Hawai'i Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat	HAW Off	ASU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#49	#51
Pass ExplPExl	#61	#39
PPAExp	#47	#32
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#11	#40
DB HavocDB	#39	#11

Arizona State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	HAW Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#99	#70
ExplosiveExp	#60	#87
PPAPPA	#91	#74
PowerPwr	#73	#99
SP+SP+	#59	#69
Pts POPPO	#103	#39
HavocHav	#99	#61

Arizona State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	HAW Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#75	#74
Run ExplRExp	#63	#77
PPAExp	#72	#67
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#82	#120
Stuff RateStuff	#88	#116
TackleTak	-	NR

Arizona State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	HAW Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#101	#60
Pass ExplPExl	#46	#79
PPAExp	#68	#75
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#87	#77
DB HavocDB	#105	#43

Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

HAW's OC Anthony Arceneaux (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Micah Alejado	285	430	66%	3106	24	9	7.2
Tama Uiliata	1	2	50%	34	0	0	17.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Barfield	80	371	4	4.6	41
Micah Alejado	81	105	1	1.3	30
Devon Rice (Tr)	26	94	3	3.6	13
Tama Uiliata	2	8	0	4.0	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Pofele Ashlock	76	827	8	10.9	47
Cam Barfield	27	257	3	9.5	59
Tama Uiliata	28	231	0	8.3	30
Devon Tauaefa	14	107	0	7.6	34

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC Dennis Thurman (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamih Otis	54	3	0	4	0
Elijah Palmer	51	7	0	0	10
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina	37	8	4	3	0
Wynden Ho'Ohuli	24	2	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina	37	8	4	3
Luther McCoy	18	3	2	4
Noah Wily	1	1	1	0
Jamih Otis	54	3	0	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Elijah Palmer	51	7	10
Matagi Thompson	16	0	3
Caleb Brown (Tr)	2	0	1

ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cutter Boley (Tr)	198	301	66%	2160	15	12	7.2
Kanyon Floyd	1	1	100%	19	0	0	19.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marquis Gillis (Tr)	183	1145	7	6.3	75
David Avit (Tr)	125	687	8	5.5	34
Jason Brown Jr.	15	137	1	9.1	44
Kyson Brown	18	106	0	5.9	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omarion Miller (Tr)	44	807	8	18.3	70
Reed Harris (Tr)	39	673	5	17.3	57
Derek Eusebio	22	341	2	15.5	68
Jalen Moss	16	273	1	17.1	51

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Owen Long (Tr)	148	5	2	0	5
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)	72	1	0	3	7
Jessiah Mcgrew (Tr)	67	0	0	0	4
Adrian Wilson	57	1	0	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Emar'Rion Winston (Tr)	24	6	4	4	0
Jalen Thompson (Tr)	29	6	3	8	1
Owen Long (Tr)	148	5	2	0	5
C.J. Fite	29	7	1	4	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Montana Warren	40	2	2	8
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)	72	1	3	7
Adrian Wilson	57	1	1	6