Hawai'i at Wyoming - 2026 Matchup Preview
Hawai

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Wyoming Cowboys

Wyoming logo
Saturday, September 26th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
War Memorial Stadium - Laramie, WY  (Mountain West)

 
Rainbow Warriors (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (22 - 29)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (26 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 3.9 (#35)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 10)
HAW coming off BYE
WYO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Hawai'i -5  (SP+ HAW -13)
Projected Score: HAW: 27 - WYO: 22 (48)
HAW Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
HAW Travel: 3322 miles, 4 hrs behind
Cowboys (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (21 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#66)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Hawai'i's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29Hawai'i at Stanford-1————
Sat 9/5Hawai'i vs UNLV+1————
Sat 9/12Hawai'i vs New Mexico State-17————
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/26Hawai'i at Wyoming-5————
Sat 10/3Hawai'i vs San José State-16.5————
Sat 10/10Hawai'i at Arizona State+10————
Sat 10/17Hawai'i vs New Mexico-1————
Sat 10/24Hawai'i at Northern Illinois-12————
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/7Hawai'i at UTEP-11————
Sat 11/14Hawai'i vs North Dakota State-2————
Sat 11/21Hawai'i at Nevada-12.5————
Sat 11/28Hawai'i vs Sacramento State-7————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
Wyoming's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Wyoming at Colorado State+0.5————
Sat 9/12Wyoming vs Northern Colorado-15————
Sat 9/19Wyoming at Central Michigan+3.5————
Sat 9/26Wyoming vs Hawai'i+5————
Sat 10/3Wyoming at North Dakota State+10.5————
Sat 10/10Wyoming at San José State-4————
Sat 10/17Wyoming vs Northern Illinois-9.5————
Sat 10/24Wyoming vs Air Force-1.5————
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/7Wyoming at UNLV+13.5————
Sat 11/14Wyoming at UTEP-3.5————
Sat 11/21Wyoming vs New Mexico+6.5————
Sat 11/28Wyoming vs UConn+4————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW#62 (.18)41% (88)2938% (118)2.8 (96)10544% (49)2913.77 (61)#74 (.17)42% (70)24.143% (74)41% (60)3.35 (39)65.81.31.2
WYO#123 (.05)38% (116)1638% (117)2.74 (108)13239% (103)1832.9 (127)#22 (.07)38% (24)20.540% (47)37% (20)2.77 (11)56.31.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WYO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Offense132925.841.2%3.771.3203951052913.737%62%38%44%12%.18
WYO Defense1220.518.338%2.771.3 - - - - - 55%44%40%37%13%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Defense1324.135.441.7%3.351.2 - - - - - 46%52%43%41%16%.17
WYO Offense121620.738.1%2.91.5183151321834.147%51%38%39%19%.05

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Hawai'i1331:5720.545%60%7.765.81.31.24.82.2329.9
Wyoming1228:3117.734%52%6.656.31.51.34.41.3325.5
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Offense1337% (133)38% (118)28.1104.73.78 (122).02 (118)2.8 (96)59% (131)7% (11)0.91 (91)
WYO Defense1255% (120)40% (47) - - - - .09 (60)3 (94)74% (93)8% (121)0.93 (53)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Defense1346% (22)43% (74) - - - - .1 (67)3.21 (120)81% (123)9% (77)0.97 (77)
WYO Offense1247% (93)38% (117)32.4131.84.19 (107).02 (119)2.74 (108)56% (135)10% (91)0.96 (67)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Offense1362% (3)44% (49)26.941.5290.6710.830 (14)12 (127).31 (47)1.6 (61)34% (113)33% (29).37 (41)5% (39)2.2 (18)
WYO Defense1244% (17)37% (20) - - - - - - 10 (75).13 (18)1.6 (92)34% (26)27% (25).17 (22)6% (86)1.9 (42)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Defense1352% (112)41% (60) - - - - - - 8 (55).26 (75)1.6 (79)34% (31)31% (87).43 (125)7% (43)2.2 (121)
WYO Offense1251% (51)39% (103)17.9321835.710.213 (86)12 (108).12 (121)1.4 (132)35% (122)25% (118).16 (119)9% (132)1.8 (123)

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -4.39  #87
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 10.56  #89
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 19.95  #98
2026 Talent Rating: 516.00  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #103
Hawai'i's 2026 Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9
Hawai'i's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7  #68
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #66
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #69

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -4.39   Wyoming: -6.245

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: 1.7   Wyoming: -11.3




Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -6.245  #97
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 6.95  #106
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 18.14  #84
2026 Talent Rating: 572.00  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Wyoming's 2026 Expected Record: 5.9 - 6.1
Wyoming's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3  #110
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #129
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Hawai'i's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Hawai'i 27
Wyoming 22

Projected Total Points: 48
Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.7
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wyoming's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Hawai'i27Wyoming7Hawai'i -8.5Hawai'i45.0Under
202311/18Wyoming42Hawai'i9Wyoming -13.5Wyoming45.5Over
202210/29Hawai'i20Wyoming27Wyoming -11.5Hawai'i50.5Under
202111/27Wyoming14Hawai'i38Wyoming -13Hawai'i48.5Over
202010/30Wyoming31Hawai'i7Hawai'i -2.5Wyoming60.0Under
201810/06Hawai'i17Wyoming13Hawai'i -1Hawai'i55.0Under
201709/23Wyoming28Hawai'i21Wyoming -5.5Wyoming54.5Under
201410/12Hawai'i38Wyoming28Hawai'i -5Hawai'i47.0Over
201311/23Wyoming59Hawai'i56Wyoming -6.5Hawai'i0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wyoming533 Overs
Hawai'i465 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 27 - 25 - 22 - 0
Road Teams2 - 72 - 70 - 22 - 5

(#87) HAW at (#97) WYO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatHAWWYO
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #87 #97
SP+SP+ #68 #110
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #117 #101
Blue ChipsBC% #103 #88
Hawai'i Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Chang great job LY 9-4 but road rec 4-18
(3/3) QB Alejado is back, great Fr season, a top G6 QB
(3/3) RB Barfield (#2 LY) back, depth is ? right now
(3/3) WR lost a lot, Ashlock big/good, Uiliata good as Fr
(3/3) OL a big ? 2/3 starters back, have depth though
(3/3) Def was OK LY but lost a lot, not much portal help
(3/3) DL added 4, maybe FCS guys hit? 4 have exp
(3/3) DBs strength of Def, Palmer good CB, 2 good S
Hawai'i Injury Report
Wyoming Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Up? This off could be better/fun.
(3/3) Started LY 2-0, finished 2-8 (2-6 in MWC)
(3/3) QB Hughes (W&M) was really great add, mobile
(3/3) RB Holman (FCS) + Hubbard (WVU) good adds
(3/3) WR is a problem, only 1 has 100 yds. Weak
(3/3) OL has 4 decent looking starters, 3 portals.
(3/3) DL relying on 4 FCS portals, but have some depth
(3/3) DBs have decent CBs, exp at S. 5 portal adds
(3/3) Wyo is trying, adding interesting portals
Wyoming Injury Report
Hawai'i on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
HAW OffWYO Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #88 #24
ExplosiveExp #27 #47
PPAPPA #62 #22
PowerPwr #89 #84
SP+SP+ #66 #55
Pts POPPO #61 #11
HavocHav #15 #119
Hawai'i Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
HAW OffWYO Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #118 #47
Run ExplRExp #91 #53
PPAExp #118 #60
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #96 #94
Stuff RateStuff #99 #105
TackleTak - NR
Hawai'i Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
HAW OffWYO Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #49 #20
Pass ExplPExl #61 #92
PPAExp #47 #18
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #11 #121
DB HavocDB #39 #86
Wyoming on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatWYO OffHAW Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #116 #70
ExplosiveExp #117 #87
PPAPPA #123 #74
PowerPwr #106 #98
SP+SP+ #129 #69
Pts POPPO #127 #39
HavocHav #124 #61
Wyoming Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffHAW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #117 #74
Run ExplRExp #67 #77
PPAExp #119 #67
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #108 #120
Stuff RateStuff #116 #116
TackleTak - NR
Wyoming Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatWYO OffHAW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #103 #60
Pass ExplPExl #132 #79
PPAExp #121 #75
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #91 #77
DB HavocDB #132 #43
Program Comparison
WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Hawai'i beat Wyoming last year (27-7)
Wyoming beat Hawai'i in 2023 (42-9)

  
HAW's OC Anthony Arceneaux (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Micah Alejado28543066%31062497.2
Tama Uiliata1250%340017.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Barfield8037144.641
Micah Alejado8110511.330
Devon Rice (Tr)269433.613
Tama Uiliata2804.06
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Pofele Ashlock76827810.947
Cam Barfield2725739.559
Tama Uiliata2823108.330
Devon Tauaefa1410707.634

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC Dennis Thurman (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamih Otis543040
Elijah Palmer5170010
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina378430
Wynden Ho'Ohuli242011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina378430
Luther McCoy183240
Noah Wily11100
Jamih Otis543040
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Palmer5170010
Matagi Thompson160003
Caleb Brown (Tr)20001

WYO's OC Christian Taylor (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tyler Hughes (Tr)20430866%23302037.6
Mason Drube203853%187014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Markell Holman (Tr)22799974.432
Tyler Hughes (Tr)155670114.366
Samuel Harris10055215.550
Diore Hubbard (Tr)9633543.529
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Markell Holman (Tr)3931428.127
Samuel Harris16184011.552
Diore Hubbard (Tr)1615609.869
Eric Richardson10112111.241

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Aaron Bohl (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jones Thomas461004
Ethan Stuhlsatz402001
Desman Hearns283005
Travis Franklin Jr. (Tr)250004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Dunkley (Tr)42100
Esaia Bogar122101
Jones Thomas461004
Ian Bell20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desman Hearns283005
Jones Thomas461004
Travis Franklin Jr. (Tr)250004