Hawai'i at Stanford - 2026 Matchup Preview
Hawai

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Stanford Cardinal

Stanford logo
Saturday, August 29th 2026 (12:00 AM EDT)
Stanford Stadium - Stanford, CA

 
Rainbow Warriors (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (22 - 29)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (26 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#94)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Hawai'i -1  (SP+ HAW -13.5)
Projected Score: HAW: 27 - STAN: 26 (53)
HAW Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
HAW Travel: 2400 miles, 3 hrs behind
Cardinal (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tavita Pritchard (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 29 (25 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#88)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
Hawai'i's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 Hawai'i at Stanford-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Hawai'i at Arizona State+10

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
Stanford's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 Stanford vs Hawai'i+1
Fri 9/4 Stanford vs Miami+26.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Stanford at Duke+14.5
Sat 9/26 Stanford vs Georgia Tech+11
Sat 10/3 Stanford at Wake Forest+15
Sat 10/10 Stanford at Notre Dame+34
Sat 10/17 Stanford vs Elon-18.5
Fri 10/23 Stanford vs NC State+10.5
Sat 10/31 Stanford at Louisville+20
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Stanford at Virginia Tech+7
Sat 11/21 Stanford at California+10.5
Sat 11/28 Stanford vs SMU+16.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW#62 (.18)41% (88)2938% (118)2.8 (96)10544% (49)2913.77 (61)#74 (.17)42% (70)24.143% (74)41% (60)3.35 (39)65.81.31.2
STAN#120 (.06)36% (127)18.837% (126)2.63 (121)8637% (117)2223.02 (122)#73 (.17)42% (80)29.242% (70)43% (84)3.46 (51)54.11.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
STAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Offense132925.841.2%3.771.3203951052913.737%62%38%44%12%.18
STAN Defense1229.22642.5%3.461.1 - - - - - 42%57%42%43%15%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Defense1324.135.441.7%3.351.2 - - - - - 46%52%43%41%16%.17
STAN Offense1218.825.236.3%3.021.417308862222.646%51%37%37%17%.06

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Hawai'i1331:5720.545%60%7.765.81.31.24.82.2329.9
Stanford1229:4917.438%58%654.11.41.14.91.9125.4
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Offense1337% (133)38% (118)28.1104.73.78 (122).02 (118)2.8 (96)59% (131)7% (11)0.91 (91)
STAN Defense1242% (2)42% (70) - - - - -.02 (11)2.88 (69)74% (89)9% (99)0.88 (25)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Defense1346% (22)43% (74) - - - - .1 (67)3.21 (120)81% (123)9% (77)0.97 (77)
STAN Offense1246% (99)37% (126)32.385.52.68 (119)-.03 (131)2.63 (121)82% (6)10% (84)0.75 (134)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Offense1362% (3)44% (49)26.941.5290.6710.830 (14)12 (127).31 (47)1.6 (61)34% (113)33% (29).37 (41)5% (39)2.2 (18)
STAN Defense1257% (135)43% (84) - - - - - - 3 (132).34 (110)1.6 (84)33% (39)34% (117).35 (95)6% (73)2 (48)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Defense1352% (112)41% (60) - - - - - - 8 (55).26 (75)1.6 (79)34% (31)31% (87).43 (125)7% (43)2.2 (121)
STAN Offense1251% (46)37% (117)18.732.62226.811.914 (106)12 (60).2 (98)1.5 (65)33% (92)25% (123).19 (113)7% (117)2 (82)

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -4.39  #88
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 10.56  #89
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 19.95  #99
2026 Talent Rating: 516.00  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #103
Hawai'i's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Hawai'i's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7  #68
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #66
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #69

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -4.39   Stanford: -2.275

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: 1.7   Stanford: -11.8




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -2.275  #71
Stanford's Offense Rating: 9.32  #93
Stanford's Defense Rating: 12.07  #43
2026 Talent Rating: 894.00  #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 10  #39
Stanford's 2026 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Stanford's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.8  #112
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.4  #117
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #78

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 905.41
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9


Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Hawai'i's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Hawai'i 27
Stanford 26

Projected Total Points: 53
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.2
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Stanford's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/23Hawai'i23Stanford20Hawai'i -1.5Hawai'i53.5Under
202309/01Hawai'i24Stanford37Stanford -2Stanford54.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford111 Overs
Hawai'i111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#88) HAW at (#71) STAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatHAWSTAN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #88 #71
SP+SP+ #68 #112
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #117 #36
Blue ChipsBC% #103 #39
Hawai'i Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Chang great job LY 9-4 but road rec 4-18
(3/3) QB Alejado is back, great Fr season, a top G6 QB
(3/3) RB Barfield (#2 LY) back, depth is ? right now
(3/3) WR lost a lot, Ashlock big/good, Uiliata good as Fr
(3/3) OL a big ? 2/3 starters back, have depth though
(3/3) Def was OK LY but lost a lot, not much portal help
(3/3) DL added 4, maybe FCS guys hit? 4 have exp
(3/3) DBs strength of Def, Palmer good CB, 2 good S
Hawai'i Injury Report
Stanford Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Low, love GM Luck but no NIL/portals
(2/24) HC Pritchard was OC w Shaw when era fell off
(2/7) Def should improve, but this Offense is ass
(2/6) OC Heffernan (UVA OL) 1st time calling plays
(2/6) Who is QB? Rizk (UCF), Warren (UM) have exp
(2/6) RB Ford back, huge retain. Depth has some talent
(2/6) WR not great. Can Nico Brown (Yale) boost unit?
(2/6) OL a disaster LY. Most back, can they improve?
(2/6) Front 7 has some nice parts, LB Rose a great one
(2/6) Secondary should improve, decent CB duo
Stanford Injury Report
Hawai'i on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
HAW OffSTAN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #88 #80
ExplosiveExp #27 #94
PPAPPA #62 #73
PowerPwr #89 #43
SP+SP+ #66 #78
Pts POPPO #61 #51
HavocHav #15 #94
Hawai'i Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
HAW OffSTAN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #118 #70
Run ExplRExp #91 #25
PPAExp #118 #11
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #96 #69
Stuff RateStuff #99 #90
TackleTak - NR
Hawai'i Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
HAW OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #49 #84
Pass ExplPExl #61 #84
PPAExp #47 #110
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #11 #99
DB HavocDB #39 #73
Stanford on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatSTAN OffHAW Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #127 #70
ExplosiveExp #103 #87
PPAPPA #120 #74
PowerPwr #93 #99
SP+SP+ #117 #69
Pts POPPO #122 #39
HavocHav #105 #61
Stanford Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
STAN OffHAW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #126 #74
Run ExplRExp #134 #77
PPAExp #131 #67
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #121 #120
Stuff RateStuff #63 #116
TackleTak - NR
Stanford Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatSTAN OffHAW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #117 #60
Pass ExplPExl #65 #79
PPAExp #98 #75
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #84 #77
DB HavocDB #117 #43
Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Hawai'i beat Stanford last year (23-20)
Stanford beat Hawai'i in 2023 (37-24)

  
HAW's OC Anthony Arceneaux (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Micah Alejado28543066%31062497.2
Tama Uiliata1250%340017.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Barfield8037144.641
Micah Alejado8110511.330
Devon Rice (Tr)269433.613
Tama Uiliata2804.06
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Pofele Ashlock76827810.947
Cam Barfield2725739.559
Tama Uiliata2823108.330
Devon Tauaefa1410707.634

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC Dennis Thurman (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamih Otis543040
Elijah Palmer5170010
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina378430
Wynden Ho'Ohuli242011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina378430
Luther McCoy183240
Noah Wily11100
Jamih Otis543040
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Palmer5170010
Matagi Thompson160003
Caleb Brown (Tr)20001

STAN's OC Terry Heffernan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Charlie Mirer2367%22107.3
Micah Ford010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Ford14564344.475
Sedrick Irvin4111812.915
Tuna Altahir155503.79
Caleb Hampton112902.68
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nico Brown (Tr)7110851115.364
Caden High37414111.234
Micah Ford11119010.854
Benjamin Blackburn9109112.126

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Kris Richard (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Rose1068333
Scotty Edwards544311
Jahsiah Galvan502012
Jaivion Green383016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Rose1068333
Ernest Cooper235301
Scotty Edwards544311
Zach Johnson283221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaivion Green383016
Brandon Nicholson271106
Matt Rose1068333