UNLV at San José State - 2026 Matchup Preview
UNLV logo

UNLV Rebels at San José State Spartans

San José State logo
Saturday, November 21st 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Spartan Stadium - San Jose, CA  (Mountain West)

 
Rebels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (10 - 4)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (35 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#26)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 9)
UNLV 2nd straight Road Game
SJSU is playing their 8th straight game
UNLV is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -14.5  (SP+ UNLV -18.5)
Projected Score: UNLV: 37 - SJSU: 22 (59)
UNLV Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
UNLV Travel: 380 miles
Spartans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (10 - 15)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (26 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 8.7 (#83)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
UNLV's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29UNLV vs Memphis+0.5————
Sat 9/5UNLV at Hawai'i-1————
Sat 9/12UNLV at North Texas+5————
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/26UNLV at Akron-12.5————
Sat 10/3UNLV vs California-1.5————
Sat 10/10UNLV vs North Dakota State-5.5————
Sat 10/17UNLV at Air Force-7————
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/31UNLV vs Northern Illinois-20.5————
Sat 11/7UNLV vs Wyoming-13.5————
Sat 11/14UNLV at New Mexico+0.5————
Sat 11/21UNLV at San José State-14.5————
Sat 11/28UNLV vs Nevada-20.5————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
San José State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29San José State at USC+38.5————
Fri 9/4San José State at Eastern Michigan+7.5————
Sat 9/12San José State vs Cal Poly-8.5————
Sat 9/19San José State vs Fresno State+12.5————
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/3San José State at Hawai'i+16.5————
Sat 10/10San José State vs Wyoming+4————
Sat 10/17San José State at UTEP+3————
Sat 10/24San José State at Nevada+1.5————
Sat 10/31San José State vs New Mexico+13————
Sat 11/7San José State vs Northern Illinois-3————
Sat 11/14San José State at Air Force+10————
Sat 11/21San José State vs UNLV+14.5————
Sat 11/28San José State vs North Dakota State+12————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#15 (.3)47% (19)34.148% (19)3.19 (21)19646% (26)2514.45 (18)#107 (.21)44% (103)2845% (102)43% (95)3.78 (78)66.21.21.7
SJSU#67 (.18)44% (54)21.447% (28)3.06 (46)12041% (72)2832.77 (130)#98 (.2)42% (77)32.542% (67)43% (81)4.04 (107)54.82.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SJSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1434.134.746.8%4.451.2234471962515.649%49%48%46%16%.3
SJSU Defense1232.529.542.1%4.041.2 - - - - - 54%44%42%43%12%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense142829.344.3%3.781.7 - - - - - 47%50%45%43%15%.21
SJSU Offense1221.425.843.5%2.772.3204031202834.638%60%47%41%15%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1430:4223.145%58%7.666.21.21.74.72.1528.2
San José State1227:4720.143%26%5.854.82.31.24.31.5127.2
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1449% (71)48% (19)35.3195.95.633 (30).26 (8)3.19 (21)71% (76)10% (103)1.09 (22)
SJSU Defense1254% (117)42% (67) - - - - .11 (70)3.02 (97)80% (121)8% (123)0.9 (37)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1447% (39)45% (102) - - - - .23 (130)3.15 (112)62% (14)9% (103)1.11 (127)
SJSU Offense1238% (132)47% (28)26.1120.14.614 (107).12 (65)3.06 (46)71% (78)6% (2)0.94 (78)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1449% (67)46% (26)19.930.3250.98.312.624 (42)9 (34).37 (33)1.6 (51)30% (52)36% (18).47 (15)6% (51)2.1 (54)
SJSU Defense1244% (21)43% (81) - - - - - - 7 (38).34 (109)1.8 (128)31% (85)28% (55).32 (84)5% (118)2.1 (114)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1450% (93)43% (95) - - - - - - 14 (6).25 (70)1.6 (69)31% (73)31% (88).2 (27)6% (52)1.9 (28)
SJSU Offense1260% (5)41% (72)22.840.6283.2712.517 (30)17 (34).22 (81)1.5 (106)32% (86)32% (48).29 (72)9% (135)1.8 (125)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -0.18  #77
UNLV's Offense Rating: 15.80  #44
UNLV's Defense Rating: 20.98  #108
2026 Talent Rating: 622.00  #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #103
UNLV's 2026 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
UNLV's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3  #57
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8  #25
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8  #89

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -0.18   San José State: -12.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 4.3   San José State: -14.3




San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -12.685  #133
San José State's Offense Rating: 4.30  #120
San José State's Defense Rating: 25.37  #132
2026 Talent Rating: 478.00  #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #73
San José State's 2026 Expected Record: 4.3 - 8.7
San José State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3  #118
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6  #108
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #115

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

UNLV's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 37
San José State 22

Projected Total Points: 59
San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.8
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

San José State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/22San José State16UNLV27UNLV -7.5UNLV59.5Under
202311/25UNLV31San José State37UNLV -3.5San José State58.5Over
202210/07San José State40UNLV7San José State -6.5San José State51.5Under
202110/21UNLV20San José State27San José State -6San José State44.0Over
202011/14San José State34UNLV17San José State -17.0Push62.0Under
201911/23UNLV38San José State35San José State -7UNLV65.5Over
201810/27San José State50UNLV37San José State -2.5San José State57.5Over
201709/30UNLV41San José State13UNLV -16.5UNLV63.0Under
201610/29San José State30UNLV24UNLV -3San José State55.0Under
201510/10UNLV27San José State33San José State -3San José State50.0Over
201410/04San José State33UNLV10San José State -10.5San José State0
201311/02UNLV24San José State34San José State -2.5San José State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San José State985 Overs
UNLV335 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 56 - 54 - 12 - 4
Road Teams5 - 75 - 64 - 21 - 4

(#77) UNLV at (#133) SJSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNLVSJSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #77 #133
SP+SP+ #57 #118
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #92 #122
Blue ChipsBC% #103 #73
UNLV Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Mullen could run new MWC w/ resources
(3/3) QB Jackson Arnold (Aub) in, still have A. Orji
(3/3) RB Jai'Den Thomas one of G6 best, good depth
(3/3) WR rebuild, 3 portals, have some talent, lack exp
(3/3) OL 3 starters, 4 portal adds, should be good
(3/3) DL looks really suspect but only took 1 portal?
(3/3) DBs by far most exp'd, 4 decent starters w depth
UNLV Injury Report
San José State Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Bad, this roster is really awful on paper
(3/3) Def awful LY, DC fired. Off went fast to protect OL
(3/3) QB Weaver (Haw) most exp'd, Amisone is mobile
(3/3) RB + WR pretty bleak. Need depth to rise
(3/3) OL likely bad again, only 2 starters, 3 portals
(3/3) DL is small, has 5 w exp, could they be avg?
(3/3) DBs look pretty awful, lack bodies, exp, talent
(3/3) Finished 1-6 last year, going south quickly
San José State Injury Report
UNLV on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffSJSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #19 #77
ExplosiveExp #25 #98
PPAPPA #15 #98
PowerPwr #44 #132
SP+SP+ #25 #115
Pts POPPO #18 #107
HavocHav #80 #129
UNLV Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffSJSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #19 #67
Run ExplRExp #22 #37
PPAExp #8 #70
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #21 #97
Stuff RateStuff #64 #128
TackleTak - NR
UNLV Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #26 #81
Pass ExplPExl #51 #128
PPAExp #33 #109
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #103 #123
DB HavocDB #51 #118
San José State on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCatSJSU OffUNLV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #54 #103
ExplosiveExp #58 #112
PPAPPA #67 #107
PowerPwr #120 #108
SP+SP+ #108 #89
Pts POPPO #130 #78
HavocHav #67 #86
San José State Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffUNLV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #28 #102
Run ExplRExp #78 #127
PPAExp #65 #130
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #46 #112
Stuff RateStuff #85 #102
TackleTak - NR
San José State Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCatSJSU OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #72 #95
Pass ExplPExl #106 #69
PPAExp #81 #70
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #2 #103
DB HavocDB #135 #52
Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
UNLV beat San José State in 2024 (27-16)
San José State beat UNLV in 2023 (37-31)

  
UNLV's OC Corey Dennis (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold (Tr)13621563%1309626.1
Alex Orji33100%370012.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas1481034127.070
Jaylon Glover6438416.043
Jackson Arnold (Tr)11231182.856
Kayden McGee75618.025
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tastean Reddicks30391013.037
Taeshaun Lyons15234315.672
Jai'Den Thomas3823316.127
Amorion Walker (Tr)15201113.441

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Pope803213
Blesyng Alualu-Tuiolemotu615011
Landyn Cleveland (Tr)332012
Tre Fulton331014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lucas Conti224310
Jake Pope803213
Elias Rudolph102200
Mark Iheanachor (Tr)41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quandarius Keyes141006
Tre Fulton331014
Jake Pope803213

SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Weaver (Tr)6310560%628636.0
Tama Amisone265052%205034.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jabari Bates2719227.187
Tama Amisone3416014.723
Luke Weaver (Tr)277302.713
Viliami Teu177014.19
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Anderson24361015.052
Tuli Tagovailoa-Amosa98409.329
Cooper Hoch54308.613
Jabari Bates112012.012

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Bojay Filimoeatu (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Powell373020
Justin Stearns253110
Solomone Langi192110
Noa Siaosi111110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aizik Mahuka (Tr)72100
Etu Finau52111
Solomone Langi192110
Noa Siaosi111110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Buxton (Tr)110002
Runye Norton00001
Etu Finau52111