UNLV at New Mexico - 2026 Matchup Preview
UNLV logo

UNLV Rebels at New Mexico Lobos

New Mexico logo
Saturday, November 14th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
University Stadium - Albuquerque, NM  (Mountain West)

 
Rebels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (10 - 4)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (35 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#26)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 9)
UNM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: New Mexico -0.5  (SP+ UNLV -3.5)

Projected Score: UNLV: 27 - UNM: 28 (55)
UNM Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
UNLV Travel: 484 miles, 1 hrs behind
Lobos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Eck (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 3.5 (#40)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
UNLV's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29UNLV vs Memphis+0.5
Sat 9/5UNLV at Hawai'i-1
Sat 9/12UNLV at North Texas+5
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/26UNLV at Akron-12.5
Sat 10/3UNLV vs California-1.5
Sat 10/10UNLV vs North Dakota State-5.5
Sat 10/17UNLV at Air Force-7
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/31UNLV vs Northern Illinois-20.5
Sat 11/7UNLV vs Wyoming-13.5
Sat 11/14UNLV at New Mexico+0.5
Sat 11/21UNLV at San José State-14.5
Sat 11/28UNLV vs Nevada-20.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
New Mexico's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5New Mexico vs Central Michigan-10.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/19New Mexico at Oklahoma+24.5
Sat 9/26New Mexico at New Mexico State-13.5
Sat 10/3New Mexico vs UTEP-17.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/17New Mexico at Hawai'i+1
Sat 10/24New Mexico vs North Dakota State-3.5
Sat 10/31New Mexico at San José State-13
Sat 11/7New Mexico at Nevada-14
Sat 11/14New Mexico vs UNLV-0.5
Sat 11/21New Mexico at Wyoming-6.5
Sat 11/28New Mexico vs Air Force-10

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#15 (.3)47% (19)34.148% (19)3.19 (21)19646% (26)2514.45 (18)#107 (.21)44% (103)2845% (102)43% (95)3.78 (78)66.21.21.7
UNM#65 (.18)42% (78)27.143% (77)3.15 (32)15242% (69)2053.96 (44)#47 (.11)40% (50)22.340% (49)40% (58)3.12 (24)48.51.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1434.134.746.8%4.451.2234471962515.649%49%48%46%16%.3
UNM Defense1322.318.740%3.121.3 - - - - - 47%52%40%40%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense142829.344.3%3.781.7 - - - - - 47%50%45%43%15%.21
UNM Offense1327.128.341.8%3.961.8193571522054.353%45%43%42%14%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1430:4223.145%58%7.666.21.21.74.72.1528.2
New Mexico1330:0319.439%66%5.848.51.81.35.92.8328.4
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1449% (71)48% (19)35.3195.95.633 (30).26 (8)3.19 (21)71% (76)10% (103)1.09 (22)
UNM Defense1347% (35)40% (49) - - - - .04 (36)2.63 (21)83% (128)11% (32)0.97 (74)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1447% (39)45% (102) - - - - .23 (130)3.15 (112)62% (14)9% (103)1.11 (127)
UNM Offense1353% (41)43% (77)35.7152.44.322 (49).14 (54)3.15 (32)75% (45)9% (67)0.99 (59)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1449% (67)46% (26)19.930.3250.98.312.624 (42)9 (34).37 (33)1.6 (51)30% (52)36% (18).47 (15)6% (51)2.1 (54)
UNM Defense1352% (108)40% (58) - - - - - - 9 (100).24 (64)1.5 (42)34% (33)28% (42).27 (59)6% (52)1.9 (38)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1450% (93)43% (95) - - - - - - 14 (6).25 (70)1.6 (69)31% (73)31% (88).2 (27)6% (52)1.9 (28)
UNM Offense1345% (97)42% (69)17.526.9204.87.611.717 (61)10 (119).27 (63)1.6 (50)30% (50)30% (71).33 (59)5% (22)1.9 (112)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -0.18  #77
UNLV's Offense Rating: 15.80  #44
UNLV's Defense Rating: 20.98  #108
2026 Talent Rating: 622.00  #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #103
UNLV's 2026 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
UNLV's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3  #57
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8  #25
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8  #89

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -0.18   New Mexico: 2.73

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 4.3   New Mexico: 0.9




New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: 2.73  #78
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 12.81  #70
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 18.25  #85
2026 Talent Rating: 526.00  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #64
New Mexico's 2026 Expected Record: 7.5 - 3.5
New Mexico's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9  #73
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #82
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #66

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 486.6
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

UNLV's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 28
UNLV 27


Projected Total Points: 55
New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

New Mexico's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01UNLV35New Mexico40UNLV -3.5New Mexico61.5Over
202311/04New Mexico14UNLV56UNLV -10UNLV61.0Over
202209/30UNLV31New Mexico20UNLV -14New Mexico44.0Over
202111/06New Mexico17UNLV31New Mexico -1.5UNLV45.0Over
201810/06UNLV14New Mexico50UNLV -8New Mexico62.5Over
201711/17New Mexico35UNLV38New Mexico -3UNLV55.5Over
201411/01UNLV28New Mexico31UNLV -1New Mexico62.0Under
201309/28New Mexico42UNLV56New Mexico -1UNLV0
201211/03UNLV35New Mexico7
201111/12New Mexico21UNLV14
201009/25UNLV45New Mexico10
200910/24New Mexico17UNLV34
200811/08UNLV27New Mexico20
200711/24New Mexico27UNLV6
200610/14UNLV36New Mexico39
200509/05New Mexico24UNLV22
200410/16UNLV20New Mexico24
200311/01New Mexico35UNLV37
200210/12UNLV16New Mexico25
200111/10New Mexico27UNLV17
200011/10UNLV18New Mexico14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico1046 Overs
UNLV1141 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 120 - 80 - 70 - 1
Road Teams12 - 98 - 01 - 07 - 0

(#77) UNLV at (#78) UNM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNLVUNM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #77 #78
SP+SP+ #57 #73
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #92 #116
Blue ChipsBC% #103 #64
UNLV Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Mullen could run new MWC w/ resources
(3/3) QB Jackson Arnold (Aub) in, still have A. Orji
(3/3) RB Jai'Den Thomas one of G6 best, good depth
(3/3) WR rebuild, 3 portals, have some talent, lack exp
(3/3) OL 3 starters, 4 portal adds, should be good
(3/3) DL looks really suspect but only took 1 portal?
(3/3) DBs by far most exp'd, 4 decent starters w depth
UNLV Injury Report
New Mexico Notes
(3/3) Vibes: Eck a fast rising HC, have talent, lack exp
(3/3) OL has 4 solid starters returning, depth is light
(3/3) DL looks OK, 5 with exp + 3 portals. Big DTs
(3/3) DBs have good exp, 4 portal adds. Lack dudes
(3/3) Big crootin class of 25, solid future foundation
(3/3) QB Jack Layne back, decent LY but TD/TO is ?
(3/3) RB rebuild, have 2 w exp but not a lot of prod
(3/3) WR Williams (FCS) + Omeire portals help rebuild
New Mexico Injury Report
UNLV on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffUNM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #19 #50
ExplosiveExp #25 #58
PPAPPA #15 #47
PowerPwr #44 #85
SP+SP+ #25 #66
Pts POPPO #18 #24
HavocHav #80 #36
UNLV Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffUNM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #19 #49
Run ExplRExp #22 #74
PPAExp #8 #36
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #21 #21
Stuff RateStuff #64 #18
TackleTak - NR
UNLV Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffUNM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #26 #58
Pass ExplPExl #51 #42
PPAExp #33 #64
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #103 #32
DB HavocDB #51 #52
New Mexico on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatUNM OffUNLV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #78 #103
ExplosiveExp #55 #112
PPAPPA #65 #107
PowerPwr #70 #108
SP+SP+ #82 #89
Pts POPPO #44 #78
HavocHav #45 #86
New Mexico Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
UNM OffUNLV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #77 #102
Run ExplRExp #59 #127
PPAExp #54 #130
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #32 #112
Stuff RateStuff #11 #102
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatUNM OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #69 #95
Pass ExplPExl #50 #69
PPAExp #63 #70
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #67 #103
DB HavocDB #22 #52
Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Top G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat UNLV last year (40-35)
UNLV beat New Mexico in 2023 (56-14)

  
UNLV's OC Corey Dennis (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold (Tr)13621563%1309626.1
Alex Orji33100%370012.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas1481034127.070
Jaylon Glover6438416.043
Jackson Arnold (Tr)11231182.856
Kayden McGee75618.025
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tastean Reddicks30391013.037
Taeshaun Lyons15234315.672
Jai'Den Thomas3823316.127
Amorion Walker (Tr)15201113.441

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Paul Guenther (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Pope803213
Blesyng Alualu-Tuiolemotu615011
Landyn Cleveland (Tr)332012
Tre Fulton331014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lucas Conti224310
Jake Pope803213
Elias Rudolph102200
Mark Iheanachor (Tr)41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quandarius Keyes141006
Tre Fulton331014
Jake Pope803213

UNM's OC Luke Schleusner (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Layne21332765%248613107.6
Luke Moga (Tr)3560%580011.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Scottre Humphrey7734954.561
Kiefer Sibley4527456.145
Jack Layne8715241.754
Luke Moga (Tr)349016.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Miles Williams (Tr)41524212.846
Troy Omeire (Tr)32521516.368
Cade Keith20253312.745
Shawn Miller15199113.342

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaxton Eck1287232
Tavian Combs721103
Mercury Swaim527212
Frankie Edwards471000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mercury Swaim527212
Darren Agu304221
Jaxton Eck1287232
Jalen McIver103211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drew Speech100008
Kevin Longstreet40004
Ormanie Arnold (Tr)150003