Utah State at Oregon State - 2026 Matchup Preview

Utah State Aggies at Oregon State Beavers

Saturday, November 21st 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Reser Stadium - Corvallis, OR (Pac-12)

Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (25 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#56)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)

USU 2nd straight Road Game
ORST is playing their 4th straight game
USU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Utah State -5 (SP+ USU -13)
Projected Score: USU: 30 - ORST: 25 (54)
USU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
USU Travel: 609 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Beavers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach JaMarcus Shephard (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (22 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 8.1 (#76)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)

Matchup
Schedules
USU Players
ORST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Utah State vs Idaho State	-16
Sat 9/12	Utah State at Washington	+30.5
Sat 9/19	Utah State at Utah	+26.5
Sat 9/26	Utah State vs Troy	-3
Sat 10/3	Utah State at Boise State	+12.5
Fri 10/9	Utah State vs Washington State	+4.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Utah State at Texas State	+10
Sat 10/31	Utah State vs Colorado State	-8
Sat 11/7	Utah State vs Fresno State	+0.5
Sat 11/14	Utah State at San Diego State	+10.5
Sat 11/21	Utah State at Oregon State	-5
Sat 11/28	Utah State vs TBD	-16

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule

Oregon State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Oregon State at Houston	+23.5
Sat 9/12	Oregon State vs Texas Tech	+39.5
Sat 9/19	Oregon State vs Montana	-8.5
Sat 9/26	Oregon State at UTEP	+4
Sat 10/3	Oregon State at Colorado State	+4.5
Sat 10/10	Oregon State vs San Diego State	+13
Sat 10/17	Oregon State vs Washington State	+12
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/30	Oregon State at Fresno State	+13.5
Sat 11/7	Oregon State vs Texas State	+12.5
Sat 11/14	Oregon State at Boise State	+20.5
Sat 11/21	Oregon State vs Utah State	+5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	#47 (.2)	41% (91)	30.9	42% (89)	2.87 (81)	163	41% (85)	247	4.49 (16)	#112 (.22)	43% (91)	28.7	45% (99)	42% (70)	3.77 (76)	60.2	0.8	1.3
ORST	#124 (.05)	42% (68)	17.6	44% (67)	2.82 (89)	127	42% (68)	225	2.89 (128)	#77 (.18)	38% (25)	29.4	41% (51)	36% (18)	3.41 (46)	49.9	1.7	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Offense	13	30.9	25.2	40.9%	4.49	0.8	21	410	163	247	4.8	47%	52%	42%	41%	16%	.2
ORST Defense	12	29.4	25.3	38.3%	3.41	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	41%	36%	17%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Defense	13	28.7	37	43.4%	3.77	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	45%	42%	13%	.22
ORST Offense	12	17.6	21.7	42.3%	2.89	1.7	20	353	127	225	3.8	46%	52%	44%	42%	16%	.05

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah State	13	27:14	20.6	35%	54%	7.6	60.2	0.8	1.3	4.9	2.2	1	28.2
Oregon State	12	31:52	20.4	36%	40%	5.9	49.9	1.7	0.8	5.3	1.3	0	28.3

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Offense	13	47% (95)	42% (89)	34.2	162.9	4.8	25 (40)	.19 (31)	2.87 (81)	71% (75)	11% (119)	1.16 (9)
ORST Defense	12	49% (59)	41% (51)	-	-	-	-	.07 (52)	2.6 (17)	68% (43)	10% (57)	0.94 (57)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Defense	13	47% (28)	45% (99)	-	-	-	-	.21 (124)	3.18 (116)	70% (61)	7% (127)	1.04 (105)
ORST Offense	12	46% (98)	44% (67)	33.9	127.3	3.8	15 (60)	.01 (120)	2.82 (89)	77% (30)	9% (61)	0.73 (135)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Offense	13	52% (45)	41% (85)	18.6	31	246.9	8	13.3	26 (14)	5 (7)	.24 (70)	1.5 (67)	33% (98)	31% (56)	.36 (47)	5% (28)	2.1 (60)
ORST Defense	12	49% (81)	36% (18)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (55)	.31 (98)	2 (136)	33% (44)	29% (69)	.44 (126)	7% (15)	2.5 (136)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Defense	13	52% (111)	42% (70)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (38)	.24 (62)	1.5 (24)	29% (112)	33% (114)	.37 (107)	6% (57)	1.9 (26)
ORST Offense	12	52% (36)	42% (68)	21.7	35.9	225.4	6.3	10.4	14 (61)	13 (127)	.11 (123)	1.3 (133)	31% (68)	28% (96)	.05 (131)	7% (110)	1.7 (134)

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -11.69 #110
Utah State's Offense Rating: 7.36 #89
Utah State's Defense Rating: 24.05 #123
2026 Talent Rating: 546.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Utah State's 2026 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Utah State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.1 #79
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #53
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #98

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -11.69 Oregon State: -12.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -3.1 Oregon State: -15.9

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -12.615 #118
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 0.53 #130
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 19.86 #89
2026 Talent Rating: 566.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #66
Oregon State's 2026 Expected Record: 2.9 - 8.1
Oregon State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #126
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0 #125
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #96

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Utah State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Utah State 30
Oregon State 25

Projected Total Points: 54

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Oregon State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	12/18	Oregon State	13	Utah State	24	Oregon State -7	Utah State	68.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon State	0	0	0 Overs
Utah State	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#110) USU at (#118) ORST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USU	ORST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#110	#118
SP+SP+	#79	#126
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#102	#96
Blue ChipsBC%	#99	#66

Utah State Injury Report

Oregon State Notes(2/2) Reset w/ Shephard in new P12 after Brey fired
(2/2) Special Teams were a disaster in '25, must fix
Oregon State Injury Report

Utah State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	USU Off	ORST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#91	#25
ExplosiveExp	#18	#133
PPAPPA	#47	#77
PowerPwr	#89	#89
SP+SP+	#53	#96
Pts POPPO	#16	#46
HavocHav	#87	#36

Utah State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	USU Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#89	#51
Run ExplRExp	#9	#57
PPAExp	#31	#52
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#81	#17
Stuff RateStuff	#91	#22
TackleTak	-	NR

Utah State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	USU Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#85	#18
Pass ExplPExl	#67	#136
PPAExp	#70	#98
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#119	#57
DB HavocDB	#28	#15

Oregon State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ORST Off	USU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#68	#91
ExplosiveExp	#135	#65
PPAPPA	#124	#112
PowerPwr	#130	#123
SP+SP+	#125	#98
Pts POPPO	#128	#76
HavocHav	#89	#114

Oregon State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ORST Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#67	#99
Run ExplRExp	#135	#105
PPAExp	#120	#124
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#89	#116
Stuff RateStuff	#24	#108
TackleTak	-	NR

Oregon State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ORST Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#68	#70
Pass ExplPExl	#133	#24
PPAExp	#123	#62
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#61	#127
DB HavocDB	#110	#57

Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

USU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Anthony Garcia	6	7	86%	79	4	0	11.3
McCae Hillstead (Tr)	4	5	80%	33	0	0	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Javen Jacobs	65	429	5	6.6	58
Sesi Vailahi (Tr)	42	152	2	3.6	14
Noah White	25	93	0	3.7	20
Anthony Garcia	11	75	1	6.8	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Javon Robinson (Tr)	58	599	4	10.3	46
Javen Jacobs	43	379	3	8.8	30
Anthony Garcia	20	348	2	17.4	74
Eli Wood (Tr)	16	205	2	12.8	38

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Nick Howell (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brevin Hamblin	110	3	2	0	8
Bronson Olevao	88	8	4	6	3
Carson Tujague	71	4	1	5	1
Tyree Morris	46	6	4	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyree Morris	46	6	4	1	1
Chris Joe	41	6	4	3	1
Bronson Olevao	88	8	4	6	3
Brevin Hamblin	110	3	2	0	8

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brevin Hamblin	110	3	2	0	8
Bronson Olevao	88	8	4	6	3
Noah Flores	26	1	1	0	2

ORST's OC Mitch Dahlen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Maalik Murphy	160	276	58%	1802	9	8	6.5
Brady Jones (Tr)	19	40	48%	136	1	3	3.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cornell Hatcher Jr.	52	292	2	5.6	42
AJ Newberry (Tr)	18	57	3	3.2	16
Kourdey Glass	2	7	0	3.5	7
Jake Reichle	3	6	1	2.0	3

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
D.C. Temple	17	143	2	8.4	19
Eddie Freauff	12	139	1	11.6	30
Karson Boschma	4	89	1	22.3	28
Malachi Durant	3	27	1	9.0	11

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Mike MacIntyre (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aiden Sullivan	72	7	1	5	1
Takari Hickle	38	5	2	5	0
Sailasa Vadrawale	31	1	0	1	5
Tyree Blake	29	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Takari Hickle	38	5	2	5	0
Aiden Sullivan	72	7	1	5	1
Jaylen Hill	2	1	1	0	1
Malachi Durant	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Sailasa Vadrawale	31	1	1	5
Trey Glasper	23	2	0	5
Mason White	28	1	0	2