Oregon State at UTEP - 2026 Matchup Preview
Oregon State logo   Oregon State Beavers at UTEP Miners  UTEP logo
Saturday, September 26th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Sun Bowl Stadium - El Paso, TX

 
Beavers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach JaMarcus Shephard (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (12 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 8.1 (#76)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
ORST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UTEP -4  (SP+ ORST -1.5)
Projected Score: ORST: 23 - UTEP: 27 (50)
UTEP Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ORST Travel: 1264 miles, 1 hrs behind
Miners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (5 - 19)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#80)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Oregon State at Houston+23.5
Sat 9/12 Oregon State vs Texas Tech+39.5
Sat 9/19 Oregon State vs Montana-8.5
Sat 9/26 Oregon State at UTEP+4
Sat 10/3 Oregon State at Colorado State+4.5
Sat 10/10 Oregon State vs San Diego State+13
Sat 10/17 Oregon State vs Washington State+12
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/30 Oregon State at Fresno State+13.5
Sat 11/7 Oregon State vs Texas State+12.5
Sat 11/14 Oregon State at Boise State+20.5
Sat 11/21 Oregon State vs Utah State+5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
UTEP's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 UTEP at Oklahoma+36.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 UTEP at Michigan+32.5
Sat 9/26 UTEP vs Oregon State-4

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST#124 (.05)42% (68)17.644% (67)2.82 (89)12742% (68)2252.89 (128)#77 (.18)38% (25)29.441% (51)36% (18)3.41 (46)49.91.70.8
UTEP#130 (.02)33% (135)23.336% (129)2.14 (133)11631% (135)2163.42 (97)#45 (.11)39% (42)30.437% (13)42% (75)3.85 (85)57.121
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTEP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Offense1217.611.842.3%2.891.7203531272253.846%52%44%42%16%.05
UTEP Defense1230.426.839.3%3.851 - - - - - 54%45%37%42%16%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Defense1229.435.238.3%3.410.8 - - - - - 49%49%41%36%17%.18
UTEP Offense1223.32433%3.422173321162163.744%54%36%31%19%.02

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon State1231:5220.436%40%5.949.91.70.85.31.3028.3
UTEP1225:3816.830%54%5.957.1216.82.3128.5
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Offense1246% (98)44% (67)33.9127.33.815 (60).01 (120)2.82 (89)77% (30)9% (61)0.73 (135)
UTEP Defense1254% (112)37% (13) - - - - .02 (23)2.63 (22)64% (21)11% (32)0.98 (80)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Defense1249% (59)41% (51) - - - - .07 (52)2.6 (17)68% (43)10% (57)0.94 (57)
UTEP Offense1244% (113)36% (129)31.3115.63.714 (99).05 (105)2.14 (133)60% (127)11% (107)1.17 (5)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Offense1252% (36)42% (68)21.735.9225.46.310.414 (61)13 (127).11 (123)1.3 (133)31% (68)28% (96).05 (131)7% (110)1.7 (134)
UTEP Defense1245% (25)42% (75) - - - - - - 5 (123).24 (65)1.4 (21)32% (50)27% (31).12 (10)5% (110)1.5 (1)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Defense1249% (81)36% (18) - - - - - - 8 (55).31 (98)2 (136)33% (44)29% (69).44 (126)7% (15)2.5 (136)
UTEP Offense1254% (27)31% (135)18.734.2216.36.311.621 (61)20 (136).03 (130)1.7 (17)34% (115)24% (125).21 (104)8% (128)2.1 (31)

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -14.33  #118
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 0.53  #130
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 19.86  #89
2026 Talent Rating: 566.00  #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #66
Oregon State's 2026 Expected Record: 2.9 - 8.1
Oregon State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9  #126
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #125
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #96

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -14.33   UTEP: -10.915

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -15.9   UTEP: -17.5




UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -10.915  #93
UTEP's Offense Rating: -0.16  #135
UTEP's Defense Rating: 14.17  #52
2026 Talent Rating: 728.00  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #66
UTEP's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
UTEP's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.5  #129
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2  #111
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3  #127

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 487.2
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17


Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Oregon State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UTEP 27
Oregon State 23

Projected Total Points: 50
UTEP Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.8

UTEP's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTEP000 Overs
Oregon State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#118) ORST at (#93) UTEP
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatORSTUTEP
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #118 #93
SP+SP+ #126 #129
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #96 #69
Blue ChipsBC% #66 #66
Oregon State Notes
(2/2) Reset w/ Shephard in new P12 after Brey fired
(2/2) Special Teams were a disaster in '25, must fix
Oregon State Injury Report
Oregon State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ORST OffUTEP Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #68 #42
ExplosiveExp #135 #46
PPAPPA #124 #45
PowerPwr #130 #52
SP+SP+ #125 #127
Pts POPPO #128 #85
HavocHav #89 #67
Oregon State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ORST OffUTEP Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #67 #13
Run ExplRExp #135 #80
PPAExp #120 #23
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #89 #22
Stuff RateStuff #24 #21
TackleTak - NR
Oregon State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ORST OffUTEP Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #68 #75
Pass ExplPExl #133 #21
PPAExp #123 #65
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #61 #32
DB HavocDB #110 #110
UTEP on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCatUTEP OffORST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #135 #25
ExplosiveExp #2 #133
PPAPPA #130 #77
PowerPwr #135 #89
SP+SP+ #111 #96
Pts POPPO #97 #46
HavocHav #123 #36
UTEP Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
UTEP OffORST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #129 #51
Run ExplRExp #5 #57
PPAExp #105 #52
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #133 #17
Stuff RateStuff #124 #22
TackleTak - NR
UTEP Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCatUTEP OffORST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #135 #18
Pass ExplPExl #17 #136
PPAExp #130 #98
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #107 #57
DB HavocDB #128 #15
Program Comparison
UTEP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ORST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ORST's OC Mitch Dahlen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maalik Murphy16027658%1802986.5
Brady Jones (Tr)194048%136133.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cornell Hatcher Jr.5229225.642
AJ Newberry (Tr)185733.216
Kourdey Glass2703.57
Jake Reichle3612.03
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
D.C. Temple1714328.419
Eddie Freauff12139111.630
Karson Boschma489122.328
Malachi Durant32719.011

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Mike MacIntyre (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aiden Sullivan727151
Takari Hickle385250
Sailasa Vadrawale311015
Tyree Blake292001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Takari Hickle385250
Aiden Sullivan727151
Jaylen Hill21101
Malachi Durant10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sailasa Vadrawale311015
Trey Glasper232005
Mason White281002

UTEP's OC Joe Pappalardo (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
EJ Colson (Tr)21029671%21421647.2
Shay Smith3838%14001.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
EJ Colson (Tr)10828732.730
Lamar Sperling (Tr)3923416.063
Elijah McCoy154703.112
Kam Thomas163602.317
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Schuchts21232311.064
Jaylan Brown10103010.334
Judah Ezinwa476019.033
Royal Capell (Tr)104704.713

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC Bobby Daly (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Micah Davey1148130
Jayden Wilson928160
Xavier Smith602014
Solo Barnes592114
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shakaun Bowser233210
Ekow Taylor122220
Micah Davey1148130
Solo Barnes592114
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Content586016
Xavier Smith602014
Solo Barnes592114