Oregon State at Colorado State - 2026 Matchup Preview

Oregon State Beavers at Colorado State Rams

Saturday, October 3rd 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Canvas Stadium - Fort Collins, CO (Pac-12)

Beavers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach JaMarcus Shephard (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (12 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 8.1 (#76)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)

ORST 2nd straight Road Game
CSU is playing their 5th straight game
ORST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Colorado State -4.5 (SP+ CSU -0)
Projected Score: ORST: 22 - CSU: 26 (48)
CSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
ORST Travel: 964 miles, 1 hrs behind

Rams (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jim Mora (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (20 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#68)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)

Matchup
Schedules
ORST Players
CSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Oregon State at Houston	+23.5
Sat 9/12	Oregon State vs Texas Tech	+39.5
Sat 9/19	Oregon State vs Montana	-8.5
Sat 9/26	Oregon State at UTEP	+4
Sat 10/3	Oregon State at Colorado State	+4.5
Sat 10/10	Oregon State vs San Diego State	+13
Sat 10/17	Oregon State vs Washington State	+12
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/30	Oregon State at Fresno State	+13.5
Sat 11/7	Oregon State vs Texas State	+12.5
Sat 11/14	Oregon State at Boise State	+20.5
Sat 11/21	Oregon State vs Utah State	+5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule

Colorado State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Colorado State vs Wyoming	-1
Sat 9/12	Colorado State vs Southern Utah	-10.5
Sat 9/19	Colorado State vs BYU	+26.5
Sat 9/26	Colorado State at UTSA	+13.5
Sat 10/3	Colorado State vs Oregon State	-4.5
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/15	Colorado State at Texas State	+15.5
Sat 10/24	Colorado State vs San Diego State	+11
Sat 10/31	Colorado State at Utah State	+8
Sat 11/7	Colorado State vs Boise State	+13.5
Sat 11/14	Colorado State at Washington State	+15
Sat 11/21	Colorado State at Fresno State	+11.5
Sat 11/28	Colorado State vs TBD	-10.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST	#124 (.05)	42% (68)	17.6	44% (67)	2.82 (89)	127	42% (68)	225	2.89 (128)	#77 (.18)	38% (25)	29.4	41% (51)	36% (18)	3.41 (46)	49.9	1.7	0.8
CSU	#95 (.13)	40% (98)	18.5	44% (66)	2.97 (63)	108	38% (110)	216	3.52 (87)	#117 (.24)	45% (118)	30.8	46% (106)	46% (116)	4.03 (103)	56.3	1.7	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Offense	12	17.6	11.8	42.3%	2.89	1.7	20	353	127	225	3.8	46%	52%	44%	42%	16%	.05
CSU Defense	12	30.8	27.1	45.3%	4.03	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	46%	46%	13%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Defense	12	29.4	35.2	38.3%	3.41	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	41%	36%	17%	.18
CSU Offense	12	18.5	19.9	40.3%	3.52	1.7	18	324	108	216	3.6	45%	54%	44%	38%	19%	.13

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon State	12	31:52	20.4	36%	40%	5.9	49.9	1.7	0.8	5.3	1.3	0	28.3
Colorado State	12	26:50	18.3	33%	47%	5.8	56.3	1.7	1.3	3.8	1.3	1	26

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Offense	12	46% (98)	44% (67)	33.9	127.3	3.8	15 (60)	.01 (120)	2.82 (89)	77% (30)	9% (61)	0.73 (135)
CSU Defense	12	57% (131)	46% (106)	-	-	-	-	.17 (105)	3.26 (123)	77% (109)	7% (129)	0.94 (59)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Defense	12	49% (59)	41% (51)	-	-	-	-	.07 (52)	2.6 (17)	68% (43)	10% (57)	0.94 (57)
CSU Offense	12	45% (107)	44% (66)	30.3	108.3	3.6	13 (70)	.09 (79)	2.97 (63)	59% (132)	12% (121)	0.9 (96)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Offense	12	52% (36)	42% (68)	21.7	35.9	225.4	6.3	10.4	14 (61)	13 (127)	.11 (123)	1.3 (133)	31% (68)	28% (96)	.05 (131)	7% (110)	1.7 (134)
CSU Defense	12	42% (7)	46% (116)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (31)	.38 (120)	1.7 (123)	27% (129)	35% (125)	.34 (94)	6% (57)	1.9 (31)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Defense	12	49% (81)	36% (18)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (55)	.31 (98)	2 (136)	33% (44)	29% (69)	.44 (126)	7% (15)	2.5 (136)
CSU Offense	12	54% (29)	38% (110)	20.3	32.8	215.9	6.6	10.7	15 (103)	12 (7)	.2 (97)	1.5 (91)	35% (126)	28% (87)	.25 (89)	7% (110)	2 (85)

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -14.33 #118
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 0.53 #130
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 19.86 #89
2026 Talent Rating: 566.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
Oregon State's 2026 Expected Record: 2.9 - 8.1
Oregon State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #126
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0 #125
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #96

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -14.33 Colorado State: -10.62

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -15.9 Colorado State: -15.6

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -10.62 #100
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 6.87 #94
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 22.51 #111
2026 Talent Rating: 676.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #59
Colorado State's 2026 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Colorado State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6 #124
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #120
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #105

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Oregon State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Colorado State 26
Oregon State 22

Projected Total Points: 48

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.9
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Colorado State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	Oregon State	39	Colorado State	31	Oregon State -10	Colorado State	47.0	Over
2017	08/26	Colorado State	58	Oregon State	27	Colorado State -4	Colorado State	60.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado State	1	2	2 Overs
Oregon State	1	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#118) ORST at (#100) CSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ORST	CSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#118	#100
SP+SP+	#126	#124
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#96	#78
Blue ChipsBC%	#66	#59

Oregon State Notes(2/2) Reset w/ Shephard in new P12 after Brey fired
(2/2) Special Teams were a disaster in '25, must fix
Oregon State Injury Report

Colorado State Notes(2/4) New staff under Mora, OC Tracy was PGC (UConn)
(2/4) QB1 Curry (PT LY) vs Farrar (UConn transfer)
(2/4) RB could get huge boost if D. Robinson is healthy
(2/4) WR has 4 guys with exp but none very productive
(2/4) OL huge ? only 4 have any exp, 5 portal adds
(2/4) DL took 5 portals, run def grades are awful
(2/4) LBs decent unit. Diomande (UConn) huge add
(2/4) DBs 5 portals, decent parts to work with
(2/4) Roster TO w 37 portals in/38 out + 22 croots
Colorado State Injury Report

Oregon State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ORST Off	CSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#68	#118
ExplosiveExp	#135	#77
PPAPPA	#124	#117
PowerPwr	#130	#111
SP+SP+	#125	#105
Pts POPPO	#128	#103
HavocHav	#89	#116

Oregon State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ORST Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#67	#106
Run ExplRExp	#135	#59
PPAExp	#120	#105
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#89	#123
Stuff RateStuff	#24	#121
TackleTak	-	NR

Oregon State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ORST Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#68	#116
Pass ExplPExl	#133	#123
PPAExp	#123	#120
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#61	#129
DB HavocDB	#110	#57

Colorado State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	CSU Off	ORST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#98	#25
ExplosiveExp	#98	#133
PPAPPA	#95	#77
PowerPwr	#94	#89
SP+SP+	#120	#96
Pts POPPO	#87	#46
HavocHav	#125	#36

Colorado State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	CSU Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#66	#51
Run ExplRExp	#96	#57
PPAExp	#79	#52
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#63	#17
Stuff RateStuff	#76	#22
TackleTak	-	NR

Colorado State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	CSU Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#110	#18
Pass ExplPExl	#91	#136
PPAExp	#97	#98
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#121	#57
DB HavocDB	#110	#15

Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

ORST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Oregon State beat Colorado State in 2024 (39-31)

ORST's OC Mitch Dahlen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Maalik Murphy	160	276	58%	1802	9	8	6.5
Brady Jones (Tr)	19	40	48%	136	1	3	3.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cornell Hatcher Jr.	52	292	2	5.6	42
AJ Newberry (Tr)	18	57	3	3.2	16
Kourdey Glass	2	7	0	3.5	7
Jake Reichle	3	6	1	2.0	3

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
D.C. Temple	17	143	2	8.4	19
Eddie Freauff	12	139	1	11.6	30
Karson Boschma	4	89	1	22.3	28
Malachi Durant	3	27	1	9.0	11

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Mike MacIntyre (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aiden Sullivan	72	7	1	5	1
Takari Hickle	38	5	2	5	0
Sailasa Vadrawale	31	1	0	1	5
Tyree Blake	29	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Takari Hickle	38	5	2	5	0
Aiden Sullivan	72	7	1	5	1
Jaylen Hill	2	1	1	0	1
Malachi Durant	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Sailasa Vadrawale	31	1	1	5
Trey Glasper	23	2	0	5
Mason White	28	1	0	2

CSU's OC Pryce Tracy (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Darius Curry	70	107	65%	740	5	7	6.9
Ksaan Farrar (Tr)	11	18	61%	84	0	0	4.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Brown	32	262	2	8.2	49
Oliver Lundberg-Coleman	23	138	1	6.0	17
Terrence Smith Jr. (Tr)	14	75	1	5.4	21
Durell Robinson (Tr)	3	57	1	19.0	54

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tommy Maher	32	358	0	11.2	35
Javonte Vereen (Tr)	21	305	5	14.5	50
Lavon Brown	22	244	0	11.1	31
Jordan Mosley (Tr)	8	168	1	21.0	75

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Tyson Summers (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Oumar Diomande (Tr)	116	8	5	5	1
Jace Bellah	58	1	0	2	0
Elijah Mc-Cantos (Tr)	52	1	0	0	2
Jaseim Mitchell	29	3	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Oumar Diomande (Tr)	116	8	5	5	1
Stephon Wright (Tr)	28	4	2	3	2
Robby Harrison (Tr)	16	2	1	1	0
DeAndre Gill	12	2	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
C.J. Blocker	23	0	1	3
AJ Noland	19	0	4	2
Elijah Mc-Cantos (Tr)	52	1	0	2