Louisville at Syracuse - 2026 Matchup Preview
Louisville logo Louisville Cardinals at Syracuse OrangeSyracuse logo
Saturday, October 17th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Carrier Dome - Syracuse, NY

 
Cardinals (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (28 - 12)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (23 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#41)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LOU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -15.5  (SP+ LOU -25.5)
Projected Score: LOU: 33 - SYR: 18 (51)
LOU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
LOU Travel: 604 miles
Orange (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (22 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#115)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisville's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Louisville at Ole Miss+12.5
Fri 9/11 Louisville vs Villanova-34
Sat 9/19 Louisville vs SMU-1.5
Sat 9/26 Louisville vs Wake Forest-7
Sat 10/3 Louisville at NC State-1
Fri 10/9 Louisville vs Florida State-5.5
Sat 10/17 Louisville at Syracuse-15.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Louisville vs Stanford-18
Fri 11/6 Louisville at Georgia Tech-1
Sat 11/14 Louisville at North Carolina-9
Sat 11/21 Louisville vs Pittsburgh-5
Sat 11/28 Louisville at Kentucky-5.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Syracuse's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Syracuse vs New Hampshire-16
Sat 9/12 Syracuse vs California+5.5
Thu 9/17 Syracuse at Pittsburgh+18
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Syracuse at UConn+5.5
Sat 10/10 Syracuse at Virginia+18.5
Sat 10/17 Syracuse vs Louisville+15.5
Sat 10/24 Syracuse at North Carolina+9
Fri 10/30 Syracuse vs SMU+16.5
Fri 11/6 Syracuse vs Clemson+13.5
Sat 11/14 Syracuse at NC State+17
Sat 11/21 Syracuse at Boston College+5.5
Sat 11/28 Syracuse vs Notre Dame+31.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU#84 (.15)45% (44)29.950% (8)2.75 (105)16441% (74)2213.62 (77)#15 (.05)37% (16)21.238% (15)37% (19)3.38 (43)63.21.31.5
SYR#127 (.03)38% (117)20.241% (95)2.61 (124)12335% (125)2172.98 (123)#129 (.28)45% (120)34.945% (98)46% (120)4.15 (113)54.91.90.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SYR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1329.92344.7%3.621.3203851642215.144%53%50%41%17%.15
SYR Defense1234.928.845.4%4.150.8 - - - - - 47%52%45%46%13%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1321.225.536.7%3.381.5 - - - - - 46%53%38%37%17%.05
SYR Offense1220.221.837.7%2.981.9193401232173.447%52%41%35%19%.03

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1330:1219.635%64%6.963.21.31.55.92.4232.4
Syracuse1230:2819.435%47%6.254.91.90.84.81.6027.6
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1344% (111)50% (8)32.31645.125 (70).21 (21)2.75 (105)65% (108)10% (98)1.08 (28)
SYR Defense1247% (29)45% (98) - - - - .11 (78)2.92 (77)64% (24)8% (112)1.04 (107)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1346% (17)38% (15) - - - - .07 (51)2.74 (41)75% (97)11% (38)0.95 (63)
SYR Offense1247% (89)41% (95)36.2123.13.412 (88) (122)2.61 (124)70% (83)11% (105)0.87 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1353% (35)41% (74)20.632.2220.66.910.718 (75)9 (60).13 (119)1.4 (131)28% (21)27% (104).14 (124)6% (90)1.9 (107)
SYR Defense1252% (114)46% (120) - - - - - - 5 (55).44 (131)1.5 (60)29% (106)33% (108).48 (132)5% (99)2.1 (90)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1353% (120)37% (19) - - - - - - 14 (6).06 (6)1.4 (7)34% (24)24% (8).11 (9)7% (38)1.9 (23)
SYR Offense1252% (42)35% (125)19.234217.36.411.317 (30)15 (132).1 (124)1.6 (52)33% (94)24% (124).12 (128)8% (129)2.1 (44)

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 8.63  #30
Louisville's Offense Rating: 14.86  #36
Louisville's Defense Rating: 11.23  #31
2026 Talent Rating: 750.00  #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 7%  #46
Louisville's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Louisville's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4  #25
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #39
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8  #29

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 8.63   Syracuse: -5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 12.4   Syracuse: -13.1




Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -5  #67
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 12.62  #56
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 19.52  #81
2026 Talent Rating: 832.00  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 6  #49
Syracuse's 2026 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Syracuse's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.1  #115
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8  #115
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Louisville's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 33
Syracuse 18

Projected Total Points: 51
Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.8
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

Syracuse's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/03Syracuse31Louisville7Louisville -6.0Syracuse55.0Under
202111/13Louisville41Syracuse3Louisville -3Louisville55.5Under
202011/20Louisville30Syracuse0Louisville -20.5Louisville55.5Under
201911/23Louisville56Syracuse34Louisville -9Louisville64.0Over
201811/09Syracuse54Louisville23Syracuse -20Syracuse68.5Over
201711/18Louisville56Syracuse10Louisville -15Louisville69.0Under
201609/09Syracuse28Louisville62Louisville -13Louisville69.0Over
201511/07Louisville41Syracuse17Louisville -12Louisville50.5Over
201410/03Syracuse6Louisville28Louisville -3.5Louisville0
201211/10Syracuse45Louisville26
201110/29Louisville27Syracuse10
201011/06Syracuse20Louisville28
200911/14Louisville10Syracuse9
200811/01Syracuse28Louisville21
200709/22Louisville35Syracuse38
200610/21Syracuse13Louisville28
200511/26Louisville41Syracuse17
200309/13Syracuse20Louisville30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Syracuse524 Overs
Louisville1374 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 67 - 26 - 01 - 2
Road Teams6 - 122 - 72 - 10 - 6

(#30) LOU at (#67) SYR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLOUSYR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #30 #67
SP+SP+ #25 #115
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #64 #40
Blue ChipsBC% #46 #49
Louisville on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LOU OffSYR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #44 #120
ExplosiveExp #90 #106
PPAPPA #84 #129
PowerPwr #36 #81
SP+SP+ #39 #106
Pts POPPO #77 #113
HavocHav #93 #114
Louisville Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LOU OffSYR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #8 #98
Run ExplRExp #28 #107
PPAExp #21 #78
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #105 #77
Stuff RateStuff #122 #42
TackleTak - NR
Louisville Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LOU OffSYR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #74 #120
Pass ExplPExl #131 #60
PPAExp #119 #131
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #98 #112
DB HavocDB #90 #99
Syracuse on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatSYR OffLOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #117 #16
ExplosiveExp #96 #26
PPAPPA #127 #15
PowerPwr #56 #31
SP+SP+ #115 #29
Pts POPPO #123 #43
HavocHav #125 #33
Syracuse Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
SYR OffLOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #95 #15
Run ExplRExp #115 #63
PPAExp #122 #51
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #124 #41
Stuff RateStuff #69 #52
TackleTak - NR
Syracuse Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatSYR OffLOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #125 #19
Pass ExplPExl #52 #7
PPAExp #124 #6
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #105 #38
DB HavocDB #129 #38
Program Comparison
SYR 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
LOU's OC Brian Brohm (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Lincoln Kienholz (Tr)111479%139109.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Keyjuan Brown9670467.367
Braxton Jennings3720015.422
Marquise Davis (Tr)3420025.923
Shaun Boykins3719015.126
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Richardson (Tr)47810717.275
Jackson Voth (Tr)48536411.235
Brody Foley (Tr)36521714.572
Lawayne McCoy (Tr)27403314.934

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Ron English (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Angelo Hutchinson843025
Koen Entringer (Tr)734013
Clev Lubin5913873
Corey Gordon533002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clev Lubin5913873
Tyler Thompson (Tr)268711
Adonijah Green316440
Antonio Watts427323
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Angelo Hutchinson843025
Tayon Holloway424104
Clev Lubin5913873

SYR's OC Jeff Nixon (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Amari Odom (Tr)18929165%25941988.9
Malachi Nelson (Tr)10419055%1163896.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Amari Odom (Tr)12034772.924
Tylik Hill2412905.415
Braden Davis8812011.433
Joseph Filardi308712.926
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cole Weaver (Tr)45642114.336
Noah Meyers (Tr)32357311.262
Darien Williams9112112.435
Tyshawn Russell884010.528

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Vince Kehres (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris D'Appolonia (Tr)594124
Gary Bryant III535110
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)488663
Antoine Deslauriers483102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)488663
Jamie Tremble103320
Jartavius Flounoy (Tr)226311
Braheem Long Jr.422202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Peal392007
Demetres Samuel Jr.371007
Nazir Ward (Tr)353106