SMU at Syracuse - 2026 Matchup Preview
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at Syracuse OrangeSyracuse logo
Friday, October 30th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Carrier Dome - Syracuse, NY

 
Mustangs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (38 - 17)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#35)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SYR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: SMU -16.5  (SP+ SMU -26.5)

Projected Score: SMU: 35 - SYR: 18 (53)
SMU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
SMU Travel: 1322 miles, 1 hrs behind
Orange (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (22 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#115)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/7 SMU at Florida State-1.5
Sat 9/12 SMU vs UC Davis-35
Sat 9/19 SMU at Louisville+1.5
Sat 9/26 SMU vs Missouri State-31
Sat 10/3 SMU vs Boston College-18.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 SMU vs Virginia-6
Fri 10/23 SMU vs California-13.5
Fri 10/30 SMU at Syracuse-16.5
Fri 11/6 SMU vs Virginia Tech-16
Sat 11/14 SMU vs Wake Forest-8
Sat 11/21 SMU at Notre Dame+17.5
Sat 11/28 SMU at Stanford-14

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Syracuse's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Syracuse vs New Hampshire-16
Sat 9/12 Syracuse vs California+5.5
Thu 9/17 Syracuse at Pittsburgh+18
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Syracuse at UConn+5.5
Sat 10/10 Syracuse at Virginia+18.5
Sat 10/17 Syracuse vs Louisville+15.5
Sat 10/24 Syracuse at North Carolina+9
Fri 10/30 Syracuse vs SMU+16.5
Fri 11/6 Syracuse vs Clemson+13.5
Sat 11/14 Syracuse at NC State+17
Sat 11/21 Syracuse at Boston College+5.5
Sat 11/28 Syracuse vs Notre Dame+31.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#30 (.23)43% (64)32.242% (93)2.9 (75)13444% (39)2833.89 (53)#9 (.03)40% (52)20.538% (18)43% (90)2.79 (12)70.81.52.2
SYR#127 (.03)38% (117)20.241% (95)2.61 (124)12335% (125)2172.98 (123)#129 (.28)45% (120)34.945% (98)46% (120)4.15 (113)54.91.90.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SYR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1332.229.842.6%3.891.5214171342834.443%55%42%44%17%.23
SYR Defense1234.928.845.4%4.150.8 - - - - - 47%52%45%46%13%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1320.522.240.2%2.792.2 - - - - - 43%55%38%43%19%.03
SYR Offense1220.221.837.7%2.981.9193401232173.447%52%41%35%19%.03

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1326:5220.741%67%770.81.52.26.32.8327.6
Syracuse1230:2819.435%47%6.254.91.90.84.81.6027.6
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1343% (119)42% (93)30.8133.94.425 (70).11 (70)2.9 (75)79% (19)10% (74)1 (56)
SYR Defense1247% (29)45% (98) - - - - .11 (78)2.92 (77)64% (24)8% (112)1.04 (107)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1343% (8)38% (18) - - - - -.08 (5)2.76 (46)59% (8)10% (45)0.78 (4)
SYR Offense1247% (89)41% (95)36.2123.13.412 (88) (122)2.61 (124)70% (83)11% (105)0.87 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1355% (20)44% (39)23.535.4283.1812.126 (14)13 (108).4 (23)1.6 (37)32% (72)32% (47).39 (37)7% (114)2.1 (34)
SYR Defense1252% (114)46% (120) - - - - - - 5 (55).44 (131)1.5 (60)29% (106)33% (108).48 (132)5% (99)2.1 (90)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1355% (130)43% (90) - - - - - - 18 (6).19 (42)1.5 (32)32% (57)33% (109).29 (68)8% (7)1.9 (44)
SYR Offense1252% (42)35% (125)19.234217.36.411.317 (30)15 (132).1 (124)1.6 (52)33% (94)24% (124).12 (128)8% (129)2.1 (44)

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 9.94  #26
SMU's Offense Rating: 15.10  #33
SMU's Defense Rating: 10.16  #27
2026 Talent Rating: 758.00  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 9%  #42
SMU's 2026 Expected Record: 8.7 - 4.3
SMU's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.4  #23
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #22
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5  #25

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU: 9.94   Syracuse: -5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 13.4   Syracuse: -13.1




Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -5  #67
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 12.62  #56
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 19.52  #81
2026 Talent Rating: 832.00  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 6  #49
Syracuse's 2026 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Syracuse's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.1  #115
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8  #115
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 35
Syracuse 18


Projected Total Points: 53
Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.8
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

Syracuse's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04SMU31Syracuse18SMU -17.5Syracuse56.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Syracuse010 Overs
SMU101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#26) SMU at (#67) SYR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUSYR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #26 #67
SP+SP+ #23 #115
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #63 #40
Blue ChipsBC% #42 #49
SMU on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
SMU OffSYR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #64 #120
ExplosiveExp #15 #106
PPAPPA #30 #129
PowerPwr #33 #81
SP+SP+ #22 #106
Pts POPPO #53 #113
HavocHav #99 #114
SMU Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
SMU OffSYR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #93 #98
Run ExplRExp #56 #107
PPAExp #70 #78
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #75 #77
Stuff RateStuff #82 #42
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
SMU OffSYR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #39 #120
Pass ExplPExl #37 #60
PPAExp #23 #131
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #74 #112
DB HavocDB #114 #99
Syracuse on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatSYR OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #117 #52
ExplosiveExp #96 #27
PPAPPA #127 #9
PowerPwr #56 #27
SP+SP+ #115 #25
Pts POPPO #123 #12
HavocHav #125 #15
Syracuse Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
SYR OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #95 #18
Run ExplRExp #115 #4
PPAExp #122 #5
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #124 #46
Stuff RateStuff #69 #23
TackleTak - NR
Syracuse Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatSYR OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #125 #90
Pass ExplPExl #52 #32
PPAExp #124 #42
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #105 #45
DB HavocDB #129 #7
Program Comparison
SYR 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
SMU beat Syracuse last year (31-18)

  
SMU's OC Rob Likens (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kevin Jennings30045466%364126138.0
Charlie Fiser44100%30007.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kendrick Raphael (Tr)233952134.133
Derrick McFall3518945.448
Dramekco Green259013.615
Kevin Jennings705440.826
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Yamir Knight54637511.861
Yannick Smith (Tr)44583513.359
Jalen Cooper19321216.975
Kendrick Raphael (Tr)3424517.242

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Booker693142
Alex Kilgore604002
Jarvis Lee Jr.5512442
Terry Webb467624
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terry Webb467624
Marques White (Tr)4311531
Jarvis Lee Jr.5512442
Ira Singleton (Tr)173360
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Miyazono445208
Marcellus Barnes Jr.322006
Terry Webb467624

SYR's OC Jeff Nixon (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Amari Odom (Tr)18929165%25941988.9
Malachi Nelson (Tr)10419055%1163896.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Amari Odom (Tr)12034772.924
Tylik Hill2412905.415
Braden Davis8812011.433
Joseph Filardi308712.926
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cole Weaver (Tr)45642114.336
Noah Meyers (Tr)32357311.262
Darien Williams9112112.435
Tyshawn Russell884010.528

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Vince Kehres (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris D'Appolonia (Tr)594124
Gary Bryant III535110
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)488663
Antoine Deslauriers483102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)488663
Jamie Tremble103320
Jartavius Flounoy (Tr)226311
Braheem Long Jr.422202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Peal392007
Demetres Samuel Jr.371007
Nazir Ward (Tr)353106