Syracuse at NC State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Syracuse logo Syracuse Orange at NC State WolfpackNC State logo
Saturday, November 14th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Carter-Finley Stadium - Raleigh, NC

 
Orange (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (17 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#115)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NCST 3rd straight Home Game
NCST is playing their 4th straight game
SYR is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: NC State -17  (SP+ NCST -18)

Projected Score: SYR: 20 - NCST: 37 (57)
NCST Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
SYR Travel: 519 miles
Wolfpack (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (95 - 70)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#62)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Syracuse's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Syracuse vs New Hampshire-16
Sat 9/12 Syracuse vs California+5.5
Thu 9/17 Syracuse at Pittsburgh+18
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Syracuse at UConn+5.5
Sat 10/10 Syracuse at Virginia+18.5
Sat 10/17 Syracuse vs Louisville+15.5
Sat 10/24 Syracuse at North Carolina+9
Fri 10/30 Syracuse vs SMU+16.5
Fri 11/6 Syracuse vs Clemson+13.5
Sat 11/14 Syracuse at NC State+17
Sat 11/21 Syracuse at Boston College+5.5
Sat 11/28 Syracuse vs Notre Dame+31.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule
NC State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 NC State at Virginia+3.5
Sat 9/12 NC State vs Richmond-30.5
Sat 9/19 NC State at Vanderbilt+12
Sat 9/26 NC State vs App State-20.5
Sat 10/3 NC State vs Louisville+1
Sat 10/10 NC State vs Wake Forest-3.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/23 NC State at Stanford-9.5
Fri 10/30 NC State vs California-9
Fri 11/6 NC State vs Duke-5.5
Sat 11/14 NC State vs Syracuse-17
Sat 11/21 NC State at Florida State+3
Sat 11/28 NC State at North Carolina-5.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SYR#127 (.03)38% (117)20.241% (95)2.61 (124)12335% (125)2172.98 (123)#129 (.28)45% (120)34.945% (98)46% (120)4.15 (113)54.91.90.8
NCST#20 (.28)44% (50)30.244% (64)2.94 (68)14744% (44)2464.69 (8)#102 (.21)39% (39)27.238% (19)40% (55)3.7 (72)53.811.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SYR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SYR Offense1220.21737.7%2.981.9193401232173.447%52%41%35%19%.03
NCST Defense1327.22139.2%3.71.2 - - - - - 43%56%38%40%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SYR Defense1234.940.245.4%4.150.8 - - - - - 47%52%45%46%13%.28
NCST Offense1330.235.343.8%4.691203931472464.547%51%44%44%16%.28

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Syracuse1230:2819.435%47%6.254.91.90.84.81.6027.6
NC State1329:5620.441%50%5.553.811.25.11.5127.9
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SYR Offense1247% (89)41% (95)36.2123.13.412 (88) (122)2.61 (124)70% (83)11% (105)0.87 (115)
NCST Defense1343% (6)38% (19) - - - - .12 (80)2.87 (64)65% (25)8% (109)1.09 (124)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SYR Defense1247% (29)45% (98) - - - - .11 (78)2.92 (77)64% (24)8% (112)1.04 (107)
NCST Offense1347% (86)44% (64)32.5147.14.527 (40).19 (33)2.94 (68)73% (61)10% (98)1.1 (19)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SYR Offense1252% (42)35% (125)19.234217.36.411.317 (30)15 (132).1 (124)1.6 (52)33% (94)24% (124).12 (128)8% (129)2.1 (44)
NCST Defense1356% (134)40% (55) - - - - - - 9 (75).3 (90)1.7 (117)35% (21)31% (91).38 (111)7% (46)2.1 (83)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SYR Defense1252% (114)46% (120) - - - - - - 5 (55).44 (131)1.5 (60)29% (106)33% (108).48 (132)5% (99)2.1 (90)
NCST Offense1351% (49)44% (44)21.531.8245.77.711.426 (33)10 (119).39 (25)1.6 (33)31% (65)32% (49).4 (32)6% (51)2.1 (53)

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -1.90  #67
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 12.62  #56
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 19.52  #81
2026 Talent Rating: 832.00  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 6%  #49
Syracuse's 2026 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Syracuse's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.1  #115
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8  #115
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -1.90   NC State: 9.66

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -13.1   NC State: 4.8




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 9.66  #27
NC State's Offense Rating: 18.15  #21
NC State's Defense Rating: 13.63  #42
2026 Talent Rating: 830.00  #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 10  #39
NC State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
NC State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8  #55
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #45
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.2

Syracuse's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 37
Syracuse 20


Projected Total Points: 57
NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

NC State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12NC State17Syracuse24Syracuse -1Syracuse51.5Under
202210/15Syracuse24NC State9Syracuse -3Syracuse42.5Under
202111/20NC State41Syracuse17NC State -11NC State49.5Over
202011/28Syracuse29NC State36NC State -17.5Syracuse50.5Over
201910/10NC State16Syracuse10NC State -4.5NC State56.0Under
201810/27Syracuse51NC State41NC State -2Syracuse65.0Over
201709/30NC State33Syracuse25NC State -14Syracuse62.0Under
201611/12Syracuse20NC State35NC State -7NC State62.0Under
201511/21NC State42Syracuse29NC State -17Syracuse55.0Over
201411/01Syracuse17NC State24Syracuse -5NC State0
201310/12NC State10Syracuse24NC State -4.5Syracuse0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State744 Overs
Syracuse475 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 55 - 63 - 42 - 2
Road Teams5 - 66 - 52 - 24 - 3

(#67) SYR at (#27) NCST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSYRNCST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #67 #27
SP+SP+ #115 #55
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #40 #42
Blue ChipsBC% #49 #39
Syracuse on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
SYR OffNCST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #117 #39
ExplosiveExp #96 #134
PPAPPA #127 #102
PowerPwr #56 #42
SP+SP+ #115 #64
Pts POPPO #123 #72
HavocHav #125 #86
Syracuse Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
SYR OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #95 #19
Run ExplRExp #115 #124
PPAExp #122 #80
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #124 #64
Stuff RateStuff #69 #65
TackleTak - NR
Syracuse Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
SYR OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #125 #55
Pass ExplPExl #52 #117
PPAExp #124 #90
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #105 #109
DB HavocDB #129 #46
NC State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatNCST OffSYR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #50 #120
ExplosiveExp #13 #106
PPAPPA #20 #129
PowerPwr #21 #81
SP+SP+ #45 #106
Pts POPPO #8 #113
HavocHav #74 #114
NC State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
NCST OffSYR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #64 #98
Run ExplRExp #19 #107
PPAExp #33 #78
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #68 #77
Stuff RateStuff #112 #42
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatNCST OffSYR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #44 #120
Pass ExplPExl #33 #60
PPAExp #25 #131
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #98 #112
DB HavocDB #51 #99
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

SYR 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Syracuse beat NC State in 2024 (24-17)

  
SYR's OC Jeff Nixon (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Amari Odom (Tr)18929165%25941988.9
Malachi Nelson (Tr)10419055%1163896.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Amari Odom (Tr)12034772.924
Tylik Hill2412905.415
Braden Davis8812011.433
Joseph Filardi308712.926
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cole Weaver (Tr)45642114.336
Noah Meyers (Tr)32357311.262
Darien Williams9112112.435
Tyshawn Russell884010.528

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Vince Kehres (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris D'Appolonia (Tr)594124
Gary Bryant III535110
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)488663
Antoine Deslauriers483102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)488663
Jamie Tremble103320
Jartavius Flounoy (Tr)226311
Braheem Long Jr.422202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Peal392007
Demetres Samuel Jr.371007
Nazir Ward (Tr)353106

NCST's OC Kurt Roper (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Bailey27339769%31052597.8
Will Wilson3560%16013.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Scott10659545.669
Davion Gause (Tr)6125834.225
CJ Bailey8921562.430
Will Wilson43146103.416
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Victor Snow (Tr)62815813.175
Davion Dozier (Tr)20448522.468
Teddy Hoffmann25349314.055
Keenan Jackson28281210.033

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC D. J. Eliot (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Asaad Brown Jr.640002
King Mack (Tr)581113
Ronnie Royal III492001
Jackson Vick452006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Harvey Dyson III3110701
Chase Bond116220
Joseph Adedire62100
King Mack (Tr)581113
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Vick452006
Brian Nelson II291006
King Mack (Tr)581113