Notre Dame at Syracuse - 2026 Matchup Preview
Notre Dame logo Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Syracuse OrangeSyracuse logo
Saturday, November 28th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Carrier Dome - Syracuse, NY

 
Fighting Irish (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (43 - 12)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (38 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#134)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
SYR is playing their 9th straight game
ND is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Notre Dame -31.5  (SP+ ND -37.5)

Projected Score: ND: 43 - SYR: 12 (55)
ND Win prob: 97% | Cover: 39%
ND Travel: 523 miles
Orange (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (22 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#115)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Notre Dame's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Notre Dame at North Carolina-25
Sat 10/10 Notre Dame vs Stanford-34
Sat 10/17 Notre Dame at BYU-9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Notre Dame vs Miami-6
Sat 11/14 Notre Dame vs Boston College-34
Sat 11/21 Notre Dame vs SMU-17.5
Sat 11/28 Notre Dame at Syracuse-31.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Syracuse's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Syracuse vs New Hampshire-16
Sat 9/12 Syracuse vs California+5.5
Thu 9/17 Syracuse at Pittsburgh+18
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Syracuse at UConn+5.5
Sat 10/10 Syracuse at Virginia+18.5
Sat 10/17 Syracuse vs Louisville+15.5
Sat 10/24 Syracuse at North Carolina+9
Fri 10/30 Syracuse vs SMU+16.5
Fri 11/6 Syracuse vs Clemson+13.5
Sat 11/14 Syracuse at NC State+17
Sat 11/21 Syracuse at Boston College+5.5
Sat 11/28 Syracuse vs Notre Dame+31.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#4 (.36)49% (10)4247% (25)3.05 (50)20451% (6)2554.79 (6)#12 (.04)36% (13)17.638% (20)36% (16)2.58 (6)53.10.81.9
SYR#127 (.03)38% (117)20.241% (95)2.61 (124)12335% (125)2172.98 (123)#129 (.28)45% (120)34.945% (98)46% (120)4.15 (113)54.91.90.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SYR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Offense124238.249%4.790.8234602042555.953%45%47%51%13%.36
SYR Defense1234.928.845.4%4.150.8 - - - - - 47%52%45%46%13%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Defense1217.61736.4%2.581.9 - - - - - 43%56%38%36%18%.04
SYR Offense1220.221.837.7%2.981.9193401232173.447%52%41%35%19%.03

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Notre Dame1229:1722.548%55%5.553.10.81.95.82.8732.5
Syracuse1230:2819.435%47%6.254.91.90.84.81.6027.6
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Offense1253% (38)47% (25)34.8204.45.938 (11).25 (11)3.05 (50)62% (122)8% (36)1.16 (8)
SYR Defense1247% (29)45% (98) - - - - .11 (78)2.92 (77)64% (24)8% (112)1.04 (107)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Defense1243% (7)38% (20) - - - - .04 (37)2.74 (39)71% (66)9% (77)0.89 (32)
SYR Offense1247% (89)41% (95)36.2123.13.412 (88) (122)2.61 (124)70% (83)11% (105)0.87 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Offense1245% (95)51% (6)18.126.8255.19.514.125 (33)6 (34).45 (10)1.7 (25)29% (37)44% (2).65 (3)5% (35)2 (65)
SYR Defense1252% (114)46% (120) - - - - - - 5 (55).44 (131)1.5 (60)29% (106)33% (108).48 (132)5% (99)2.1 (90)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Defense1256% (133)36% (16) - - - - - - 21 (1).09 (8)1.6 (93)36% (9)26% (24).17 (17)9% (3)2.1 (84)
SYR Offense1252% (42)35% (125)19.234217.36.411.317 (30)15 (132).1 (124)1.6 (52)33% (94)24% (124).12 (128)8% (129)2.1 (44)

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 29.01  #2
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 30.81  #2
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -2.34  #2
2026 Talent Rating: 1178.00  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 57%  #8
Notre Dame's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Notre Dame's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.4  #5
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #4
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3  #13

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 884
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 29.01   Syracuse: -5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 24.4   Syracuse: -13.1




Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -5  #67
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 12.62  #56
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 19.52  #81
2026 Talent Rating: 832.00  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 6  #49
Syracuse's 2026 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Syracuse's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.1  #115
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8  #115
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.2
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Notre Dame's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 43
Syracuse 12


Projected Total Points: 55
Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.8
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

Syracuse's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Notre Dame70Syracuse7Notre Dame -36.5Notre Dame51.5Over
202210/29Syracuse24Notre Dame41Syracuse -1.0Notre Dame48.0Over
202012/05Notre Dame45Syracuse21Notre Dame -34.5Syracuse51.0Over
201811/17Notre Dame36Syracuse3Notre Dame -10Notre Dame64.5Under
201610/01Syracuse33Notre Dame50Notre Dame -12Notre Dame74.5Over
201409/27Syracuse15Notre Dame31Notre Dame -13Notre Dame0
200811/22Notre Dame23Syracuse24
200511/19Notre Dame34Syracuse10
200312/06Syracuse38Notre Dame12
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Syracuse214 Overs
Notre Dame751 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 42 - 42 - 20 - 2
Road Teams4 - 54 - 22 - 02 - 2

(#2) ND at (#67) SYR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNDSYR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #2 #67
SP+SP+ #5 #115
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #2 #40
Blue ChipsBC% #8 #49
Notre Dame Notes
(1/25) Freeman, Denbrock, QB Carr all back. Big year.
(1/25) Losing DB coach Mickens is a big loss
Notre Dame Injury Report
Notre Dame on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffSYR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #10 #120
ExplosiveExp #3 #106
PPAPPA #4 #129
PowerPwr #2 #81
SP+SP+ #4 #106
Pts POPPO #6 #113
HavocHav #36 #114
Notre Dame Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffSYR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #25 #98
Run ExplRExp #8 #107
PPAExp #11 #78
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #50 #77
Stuff RateStuff #101 #42
TackleTak - NR
Notre Dame Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffSYR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #6 #120
Pass ExplPExl #25 #60
PPAExp #10 #131
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #36 #112
DB HavocDB #35 #99
Syracuse on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatSYR OffND Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #117 #13
ExplosiveExp #96 #85
PPAPPA #127 #12
PowerPwr #56 #2
SP+SP+ #115 #13
Pts POPPO #123 #6
HavocHav #125 #19
Syracuse Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
SYR OffND Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #95 #20
Run ExplRExp #115 #32
PPAExp #122 #37
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #124 #39
Stuff RateStuff #69 #74
TackleTak - NR
Syracuse Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatSYR OffND Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #125 #16
Pass ExplPExl #52 #93
PPAExp #124 #8
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #105 #77
DB HavocDB #129 #3
Program Comparison
SYR 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Syracuse last year (70-7)

  
ND's OC Mike Denbrock (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
C.J. Carr19529367%27412469.4
Jordan Faison11100%400040.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Aneyas Williams2422459.354
Nolan James Jr.143702.615
C.J. Carr413330.828
Jordan Faison1-80-8.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Faison49640413.154
Micah Gilbert993110.326
Mylan Graham (Tr)693015.523
Luke Talich184184.084

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Chris Ash (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen675423
Adon Shuler522125
Jaiden Ausberry514250
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa488352
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boubacar Traore3710780
Drayk Bowen675423
Jaylen Sneed355330
Keon Keeley (Tr)133311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Gray1810010
Leonard Moore310007
Adon Shuler522125

SYR's OC Jeff Nixon (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Amari Odom (Tr)18929165%25941988.9
Malachi Nelson (Tr)10419055%1163896.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Amari Odom (Tr)12034772.924
Tylik Hill2412905.415
Braden Davis8812011.433
Joseph Filardi308712.926
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cole Weaver (Tr)45642114.336
Noah Meyers (Tr)32357311.262
Darien Williams9112112.435
Tyshawn Russell884010.528

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Vince Kehres (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris D'Appolonia (Tr)594124
Gary Bryant III535110
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)488663
Antoine Deslauriers483102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)488663
Jamie Tremble103320
Jartavius Flounoy (Tr)226311
Braheem Long Jr.422202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Peal392007
Demetres Samuel Jr.371007
Nazir Ward (Tr)353106