Cincinnati at Arizona - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 3rd 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Arizona Stadium - Tucson, AZ

Bearcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (31 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#56)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARIZ is playing their 5th straight game
CIN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Arizona -7.5 (SP+ ARIZ -8)
Projected Score: CIN: 24 - ARIZ: 32 (56)
ARIZ Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 1552 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (35 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#29)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CIN Players
ARIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cincinnati's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Cincinnati vs Boston College	-10.5
Sat 9/12	Cincinnati vs Western Carolina	-27
Sat 9/19	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-10
Sat 9/26	Cincinnati vs Kansas State	+0
Sat 10/3	Cincinnati at Arizona	+7.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Cincinnati at West Virginia	-3.5
Sat 10/24	Cincinnati vs Texas Tech	+20.5
Sat 10/31	Cincinnati vs Utah	+10.5
Sat 11/7	Cincinnati at Houston	+5.5
Sat 11/14	Cincinnati at Iowa State	+3
Sat 11/21	Cincinnati vs Colorado	-14
Sat 11/28	Cincinnati at BYU	+14.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

Arizona's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Arizona vs Northern Arizona	-32
Sat 9/12	Arizona at BYU	+9.5
Sat 9/19	Arizona vs Northern Illinois	-28
Sat 9/26	Arizona at Washington State	-6.5
Sat 10/3	Arizona vs Cincinnati	-7.5
Sat 10/10	Arizona at West Virginia	-8
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Arizona vs Iowa State	-6.5
Sat 10/31	Arizona at Texas Tech	+21
Sat 11/7	Arizona vs TCU	-2.5
Sat 11/14	Arizona vs Utah	+6
Sat 11/21	Arizona at Kansas State	+0.5
Sat 11/28	Arizona vs Arizona State	-7

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	#17 (.29)	46% (25)	30.3	48% (14)	3.47 (4)	177	46% (30)	230	4.6 (11)	#105 (.21)	45% (112)	25.6	47% (120)	43% (85)	3.93 (96)	65.1	1.1	0.8
ARIZ	#58 (.19)	43% (63)	31.5	42% (87)	3.1 (41)	153	43% (52)	255	3.61 (79)	#37 (.1)	39% (33)	19.3	45% (97)	34% (10)	3.38 (44)	52.2	1	2.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Offense	13	30.3	30.8	46.3%	4.6	1.1	20	408	177	230	5.8	49%	48%	48%	46%	12%	.29
ARIZ Defense	13	19.3	15.6	39%	3.38	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	51%	46%	45%	34%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Defense	13	25.6	35.3	45.2%	3.93	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	43%	12%	.21
ARIZ Offense	13	31.5	34.9	42.6%	3.61	1	22	408	153	255	4.3	46%	54%	42%	43%	15%	.19

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cincinnati	13	24:16	19.6	39%	72%	7.1	65.1	1.1	0.8	4.2	1.7	1	29.1
Arizona	13	30:57	22.3	41%	63%	5.6	52.2	1	2.4	6.2	1.6	2	33.7

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Offense	13	49% (72)	48% (14)	30.8	177.5	5.8	21 (40)	.24 (14)	3.47 (4)	76% (37)	7% (7)	1.05 (35)
ARIZ Defense	13	51% (85)	45% (97)	-	-	-	-	.11 (73)	2.85 (60)	72% (79)	11% (34)	0.9 (35)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Defense	13	54% (114)	47% (120)	-	-	-	-	.17 (106)	3.3 (126)	79% (117)	8% (116)	0.91 (43)
ARIZ Offense	13	46% (101)	42% (87)	35.4	152.7	4.3	20 (88)	.14 (53)	3.1 (41)	74% (54)	9% (53)	1.04 (43)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Offense	13	48% (75)	46% (30)	17.2	27.9	230.2	8.2	13.4	29 (6)	6 (3)	.42 (14)	1.6 (41)	29% (38)	32% (45)	.43 (24)	5% (42)	2.2 (19)
ARIZ Defense	13	46% (35)	34% (10)	-	-	-	-	-	-	22 (12)	.17 (35)	1.6 (101)	32% (52)	26% (21)	.22 (39)	9% (2)	2.1 (109)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Defense	13	45% (31)	43% (85)	-	-	-	-	-	-	2 (132)	.27 (79)	1.5 (45)	28% (121)	33% (113)	.35 (98)	4% (128)	1.9 (45)
ARIZ Offense	13	54% (28)	43% (52)	21.6	34.4	255.2	7.4	11.8	29 (14)	8 (88)	.24 (73)	1.5 (93)	32% (70)	31% (59)	.38 (40)	6% (63)	2.1 (51)

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 2.66 #55
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 14.93 #35
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 17.27 #68
2026 Talent Rating: 820.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Cincinnati's 2026 Expected Record: 7.8 - 5.2
Cincinnati's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #56
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #50
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #67

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 2.66 Arizona: 10.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 4.5 Arizona: 12.0

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 10.885 #43
Arizona's Offense Rating: 14.59 #40
Arizona's Defense Rating: 14.82 #54
2026 Talent Rating: 778.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Arizona's 2026 Expected Record: 9.3 - 3.7
Arizona's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.0 #28
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #29
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Cincinnati's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona 32
Cincinnati 24

Projected Total Points: 56

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.9
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Arizona's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Cincinnati	24	Arizona	30	Cincinnati -6.5	Arizona	56.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona	1	1	0 Overs
Cincinnati	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#55) CIN at (#43) ARIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CIN	ARIZ
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#55	#43
SP+SP+	#56	#28
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#47	#61
Blue ChipsBC%	#79	#65

Cincinnati Injury Report

Arizona Injury Report

Cincinnati on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	ARIZ Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#25	#33
ExplosiveExp	#37	#41
PPAPPA	#17	#37
PowerPwr	#35	#54
SP+SP+	#50	#25
Pts POPPO	#11	#44
HavocHav	#12	#5

Cincinnati Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	ARIZ Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#14	#97
Run ExplRExp	#35	#35
PPAExp	#14	#73
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#4	#60
Stuff RateStuff	#38	#81
TackleTak	-	NR

Cincinnati Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	ARIZ Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#30	#10
Pass ExplPExl	#41	#101
PPAExp	#14	#35
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#7	#34
DB HavocDB	#42	#2

Arizona on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	CIN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#63	#112
ExplosiveExp	#44	#17
PPAPPA	#58	#105
PowerPwr	#40	#68
SP+SP+	#29	#67
Pts POPPO	#79	#96
HavocHav	#57	#128

Arizona Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#87	#120
Run ExplRExp	#43	#43
PPAExp	#53	#106
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#41	#126
Stuff RateStuff	#71	#124
TackleTak	-	NR

Arizona Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#52	#85
Pass ExplPExl	#93	#45
PPAExp	#73	#79
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#53	#116
DB HavocDB	#63	#128

Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Cincinnati last year (30-24)

CIN's OC Brad Glenn (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JC French	249	390	64%	2924	20	8	7.5
Samaj Jones	4	7	57%	72	1	0	10.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zylan Perry (Tr)	138	689	8	5.0	84
Cole Tabb (Tr)	114	445	3	3.9	28
JC French	133	315	6	2.4	21
Zion Johnson	22	106	1	4.8	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Larenzo Fenner (Tr)	41	961	15	23.4	70
Malachi Henry (Tr)	69	889	10	12.9	56
Cade Wolford (Tr)	19	509	7	26.8	79
Isaiah Johnson	14	222	3	15.9	42

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Tyson Veidt (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Filip Maciorowski (Tr)	76	6	3	0	2
Jasper Beeler (Tr)	74	1	1	0	2
Jonathan Thompson	67	9	1	2	0
Mark Cannon Jr.	57	6	2	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Filip Maciorowski (Tr)	76	6	3	0	2
Chidera Otutu (Tr)	28	3	3	0	0
Mark Cannon Jr.	57	6	2	1	1
Montay Weedon	27	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jacob Finley (Tr)	57	1	7
Ty Goodwill (Tr)	35	5	7
KK Meier (Tr)	25	0	5

ARIZ's OC Seth Doege (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Noah Fifita	275	429	64%	3228	29	6	7.5
Mason Bray	1	2	50%	22	0	0	11.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Antwan Roberts (Tr)	90	512	4	5.7	54
Kedrick Reescano	84	396	9	4.7	50
Quincy Craig	65	364	2	5.6	54
Noah Fifita	115	222	3	1.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Spivey	23	381	7	16.6	70
Chris Hunter	27	372	2	13.8	35
Gio Richardson	21	299	2	14.2	60
Rodney Gallagher	28	243	0	8.7	26

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Danny Gonzales (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taye Brown	93	9	2	3	1
Lee Molette III (Tr)	65	3	0	0	3
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)	58	7	3	1	4
Chase Kennedy	42	8	4	7	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chase Kennedy	42	8	4	7	0
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)	58	7	3	1	4
Taye Brown	93	9	2	3	1
Jay'Vion Cole	23	3	1	0	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyrese Boss (Tr)	36	0	0	0	5
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)	58	7	3	1	4
Jay'Vion Cole	23	3	1	0	4