Miami (OH) at Cincinnati - 2026 Matchup Preview
Miami (OH) logo Miami (OH) RedHawks at Cincinnati BearcatsCincinnati logo
Saturday, September 19th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Nippert Stadium - Cincinnati, OH

 
RedHawks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (72 - 74)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (20 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 6.5 (#59)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CIN 3rd straight Home Game
M-OH coming off BYE
Our Line: Cincinnati -10  (SP+ CIN -8)
Projected Score: M-OH: 20 - CIN: 30 (49)
CIN Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
M-OH Travel: 29 miles
Bearcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (34 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#56)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh+14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+10

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Cincinnati's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Cincinnati vs Boston College-10.5
Sat 9/12 Cincinnati vs Western Carolina-27
Sat 9/19 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-10
Sat 9/26 Cincinnati vs Kansas State+0
Sat 10/3 Cincinnati at Arizona+7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Cincinnati at West Virginia-3.5
Sat 10/24 Cincinnati vs Texas Tech+20.5
Sat 10/31 Cincinnati vs Utah+10.5
Sat 11/7 Cincinnati at Houston+5.5
Sat 11/14 Cincinnati at Iowa State+3
Sat 11/21 Cincinnati vs Colorado-14
Sat 11/28 Cincinnati at BYU+14.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH#107 (.1)39% (106)23.543% (82)3.14 (33)15136% (119)1873.34 (107)#29 (.08)39% (36)21.739% (35)40% (52)3.39 (45)49.11.11.4
CIN#17 (.29)46% (25)30.348% (14)3.47 (4)17746% (30)2304.6 (11)#105 (.21)45% (112)25.647% (120)43% (85)3.93 (96)65.11.10.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense1423.519.839.2%3.341.1183381511874.352%47%43%36%13%.1
CIN Defense1325.619.645.2%3.930.8 - - - - - 54%45%47%43%12%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense1421.721.239.1%3.391.4 - - - - - 49%49%39%40%18%.08
CIN Offense1330.334.446.3%4.61.1204081772305.849%48%48%46%12%.29

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)1429:4817.635%42%5.649.11.11.45.82.9331.4
Cincinnati1324:1619.639%72%7.165.11.10.84.21.7129.1
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense1452% (48)43% (82)35.1150.84.317 (78).07 (93)3.14 (33)66% (105)7% (14)0.87 (113)
CIN Defense1354% (114)47% (120) - - - - .17 (106)3.3 (126)79% (117)8% (116)0.91 (43)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense1449% (58)39% (35) - - - - .05 (40)2.71 (34)73% (87)11% (34)0.92 (48)
CIN Offense1349% (72)48% (14)30.8177.55.821 (40).24 (14)3.47 (4)76% (37)7% (7)1.05 (35)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense1447% (88)36% (119)13.126.3187.37.114.317 (86)11 (88).18 (106)1.7 (27)32% (84)28% (91).21 (103)6% (81)1.9 (104)
CIN Defense1345% (31)43% (85) - - - - - - 2 (132).27 (79)1.5 (45)28% (121)33% (113).35 (98)4% (128)1.9 (45)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense1449% (79)40% (52) - - - - - - 14 (12).19 (43)1.5 (27)34% (30)28% (43).22 (40)7% (22)2 (57)
CIN Offense1348% (75)46% (30)17.227.9230.28.213.429 (6)6 (3).42 (14)1.6 (41)29% (38)32% (45).43 (24)5% (42)2.2 (19)

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -4.14  #74
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 6.43  #90
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 15.57  #59
2026 Talent Rating: 748.00  #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
Miami (OH)'s 2026 Expected Record: 7.5 - 6.5
Miami (OH)'s 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4  #82
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #114
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #54

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 524
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -4.14   Cincinnati: 6.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -3.4   Cincinnati: 4.5




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 6.08  #55
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 14.93  #35
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 17.27  #68
2026 Talent Rating: 820.00  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #79
Cincinnati's 2026 Expected Record: 7.8 - 5.2
Cincinnati's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5  #56
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2  #50
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #67

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Miami (OH)'s 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 30
Miami (OH) 20

Projected Total Points: 49
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Cincinnati's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Miami (OH)16Cincinnati27Cincinnati -3.5Cincinnati47.5Under
202309/16Cincinnati24Miami (OH)31Cincinnati -14.5Miami (OH)44.5Over
202209/17Miami (OH)17Cincinnati38Cincinnati -24Miami (OH)51.0Over
202109/04Cincinnati49Miami (OH)14Cincinnati -22.5Cincinnati49.0Over
201909/14Cincinnati35Miami (OH)13Cincinnati -17Cincinnati49.5Under
201809/08Miami (OH)0Cincinnati21Miami (OH) -1.5Cincinnati48.0Under
201709/16Miami (OH)17Cincinnati21Miami (OH) -3.5Cincinnati49.0Under
201609/24Cincinnati27Miami (OH)20Cincinnati -19.5Miami (OH)55.5Under
201509/19Miami (OH)33Cincinnati37Cincinnati -19Miami (OH)59.5Over
201409/20Cincinnati31Miami (OH)24Cincinnati -32Miami (OH)0
201309/21Miami (OH)0Cincinnati14Cincinnati -24Miami (OH)0
201210/06Cincinnati52Miami (OH)14
201110/01Miami (OH)0Cincinnati27
201010/09Cincinnati45Miami (OH)3
200910/03Miami (OH)13Cincinnati37
200809/20Cincinnati45Miami (OH)20
200709/15Miami (OH)10Cincinnati47
200609/30Cincinnati24Miami (OH)10
200509/28Miami (OH)44Cincinnati16
200409/11Cincinnati45Miami (OH)26
200309/27Miami (OH)42Cincinnati37
200210/05Cincinnati26Miami (OH)31
200109/22Miami (OH)21Cincinnati14
200010/27Cincinnati45Miami (OH)15
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati1954 Overs
Miami (OH)565 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 115 - 62 - 53 - 1
Road Teams11 - 136 - 51 - 35 - 2

(#74) M-OH at (#55) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatM-OHCIN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #74 #55
SP+SP+ #82 #56
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #65 #47
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #79
Miami (OH) on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
M-OH OffCIN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #106 #112
ExplosiveExp #83 #17
PPAPPA #107 #105
PowerPwr #90 #68
SP+SP+ #114 #67
Pts POPPO #107 #96
HavocHav #34 #128
Miami (OH) Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
M-OH OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #82 #120
Run ExplRExp #113 #43
PPAExp #93 #106
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #33 #126
Stuff RateStuff #47 #124
TackleTak - NR
Miami (OH) Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
M-OH OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #119 #85
Pass ExplPExl #27 #45
PPAExp #106 #79
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #14 #116
DB HavocDB #81 #128
Cincinnati on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatCIN OffM-OH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #25 #36
ExplosiveExp #37 #33
PPAPPA #17 #29
PowerPwr #35 #59
SP+SP+ #50 #54
Pts POPPO #11 #45
HavocHav #12 #25
Cincinnati Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
CIN OffM-OH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #14 #35
Run ExplRExp #35 #48
PPAExp #14 #40
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #4 #34
Stuff RateStuff #38 #45
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatCIN OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #30 #52
Pass ExplPExl #41 #27
PPAExp #14 #43
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #7 #34
DB HavocDB #42 #22
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat Miami (OH) in 2024 (27-16)
Miami (OH) beat Cincinnati in 2023 (31-24)

  
M-OH's OC Gus Ragland (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Thomas Gotkowski388644%575416.7
Carter Holden010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
D'Shawntae Jones6327774.446
Keith Reynolds2718606.932
Cade Yacamelli (Tr)3812803.412
Thomas Gotkowski3111513.718
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keith Reynolds3635219.869
Braylon Isom10141314.127
Lynel Billups-Williams65108.515
Josh Ringer63115.211

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blayne Myrick (Tr)846033
Malcolm Mccain667220
Mychal Yharbrough442004
Oscar McWood353241
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bai Jobe154440
James Schott143321
Jayden Fuller62210
Malcolm Mccain667220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Martin310007
Mychal Yharbrough442004
Blayne Myrick (Tr)846033

CIN's OC Brad Glenn (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JC French24939064%29242087.5
Samaj Jones4757%721010.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zylan Perry (Tr)13868985.084
Cole Tabb (Tr)11444533.928
JC French13331562.421
Zion Johnson2210614.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Larenzo Fenner (Tr)419611523.470
Malachi Henry (Tr)698891012.956
Cade Wolford (Tr)19509726.879
Isaiah Johnson14222315.942

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Tyson Veidt (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Filip Maciorowski (Tr)766302
Jasper Beeler (Tr)741102
Jonathan Thompson679120
Mark Cannon Jr.576211
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Filip Maciorowski (Tr)766302
Chidera Otutu (Tr)283300
Mark Cannon Jr.576211
Montay Weedon273200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Finley (Tr)571007
Ty Goodwill (Tr)355007
KK Meier (Tr)250005