Kansas State at Cincinnati - 2026 Matchup Preview

Kansas State Wildcats at Cincinnati Bearcats

Saturday, September 26th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Nippert Stadium - Cincinnati, OH

Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Collin Klein (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#80)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CIN 4th straight Home Game
CIN is playing their 4th straight game
KSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Kansas State -0 (SP+ KSU -2.5)
Projected Score: KSU: 29 - CIN: 29 (57)
KSU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
KSU Travel: 647 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bearcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (34 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#56)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KSU Players
CIN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kansas State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Kansas State vs Nicholls	-30
Sat 9/12	Kansas State vs Washington State	-9
Sat 9/19	Kansas State vs Tulane	-11
Sat 9/26	Kansas State at Cincinnati	-0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Kansas State vs Houston	-2.5
Sat 10/17	Kansas State vs Kansas	-7.5
Sat 10/24	Kansas State at Arizona State	+0
Sat 10/31	Kansas State at Colorado	-11.5
Sat 11/7	Kansas State vs Oklahoma State	-17
Sat 11/14	Kansas State at TCU	+4.5
Sat 11/21	Kansas State vs Arizona	-0.5
Sat 11/28	Kansas State at Iowa State	+0.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule

Cincinnati's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Cincinnati vs Boston College	-10.5
Sat 9/12	Cincinnati vs Western Carolina	-27
Sat 9/19	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-10
Sat 9/26	Cincinnati vs Kansas State	+0
Sat 10/3	Cincinnati at Arizona	+7.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Cincinnati at West Virginia	-3.5
Sat 10/24	Cincinnati vs Texas Tech	+20.5
Sat 10/31	Cincinnati vs Utah	+10.5
Sat 11/7	Cincinnati at Houston	+5.5
Sat 11/14	Cincinnati at Iowa State	+3
Sat 11/21	Cincinnati vs Colorado	-14
Sat 11/28	Cincinnati at BYU	+14.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KSU	#45 (.2)	41% (92)	29.4	41% (94)	2.82 (93)	172	41% (82)	198	4.15 (32)	#56 (.13)	39% (45)	26.7	41% (61)	38% (30)	3.45 (49)	38.3	1.3	2.2
CIN	#17 (.29)	46% (25)	30.3	48% (14)	3.47 (4)	177	46% (30)	230	4.6 (11)	#105 (.21)	45% (112)	25.6	47% (120)	43% (85)	3.93 (96)	65.1	1.1	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KSU Offense	12	29.4	30.8	40.8%	4.15	1.3	17	371	172	198	5.2	51%	47%	41%	41%	18%	.2
CIN Defense	13	25.6	19.6	45.2%	3.93	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	43%	12%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KSU Defense	12	26.7	26.4	39.5%	3.45	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	41%	38%	17%	.13
CIN Offense	13	30.3	34.4	46.3%	4.6	1.1	20	408	177	230	5.8	49%	48%	48%	46%	12%	.29

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kansas State	12	29:00	17.2	37%	56%	4.1	38.3	1.3	2.2	6	2.3	2	30.2
Cincinnati	13	24:16	19.6	39%	72%	7.1	65.1	1.1	0.8	4.2	1.7	1	29.1

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KSU Offense	12	51% (50)	41% (94)	33.2	172.3	5.2	23 (88)	.18 (40)	2.82 (93)	67% (101)	11% (114)	1.2 (3)
CIN Defense	13	54% (114)	47% (120)	-	-	-	-	.17 (106)	3.3 (126)	79% (117)	8% (116)	0.91 (43)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KSU Defense	12	52% (92)	41% (61)	-	-	-	-	.12 (81)	2.73 (38)	70% (56)	10% (49)	1.12 (129)
CIN Offense	13	49% (72)	48% (14)	30.8	177.5	5.8	21 (40)	.24 (14)	3.47 (4)	76% (37)	7% (7)	1.05 (35)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KSU Offense	12	47% (86)	41% (82)	17	28.5	198.3	7	11.7	18 (42)	7 (20)	.25 (65)	1.6 (39)	34% (120)	31% (65)	.28 (79)	7% (92)	1.8 (121)
CIN Defense	13	45% (31)	43% (85)	-	-	-	-	-	-	2 (132)	.27 (79)	1.5 (45)	28% (121)	33% (113)	.35 (98)	4% (128)	1.9 (45)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KSU Defense	12	47% (55)	38% (30)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (38)	.15 (27)	1.6 (87)	33% (37)	28% (53)	.24 (50)	7% (38)	2.1 (95)
CIN Offense	13	48% (75)	46% (30)	17.2	27.9	230.2	8.2	13.4	29 (6)	6 (3)	.42 (14)	1.6 (41)	29% (38)	32% (45)	.43 (24)	5% (42)	2.2 (19)

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 5.61 #41
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 13.71 #46
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 13.10 #38
2026 Talent Rating: 838.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Kansas State's 2026 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
Kansas State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.0 #42
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #46
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 5.61 Cincinnati: 6.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 7.0 Cincinnati: 4.5

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 6.08 #55
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 14.93 #35
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 17.27 #68
2026 Talent Rating: 820.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Cincinnati's 2026 Expected Record: 7.8 - 5.2
Cincinnati's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #56
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #50
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #67

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Kansas State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas State 29
Cincinnati 29

Projected Total Points: 57

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Cincinnati's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Kansas State	41	Cincinnati	15	Kansas State -7.5	Kansas State	54.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Cincinnati	0	0	1 Overs
Kansas State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#41) KSU at (#55) CIN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KSU	CIN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#41	#55
SP+SP+	#42	#56
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#38	#47
Blue ChipsBC%	#56	#79

Kansas State Injury Report

Cincinnati Injury Report

Kansas State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	KSU Off	CIN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#92	#112
ExplosiveExp	#8	#17
PPAPPA	#45	#105
PowerPwr	#46	#68
SP+SP+	#46	#67
Pts POPPO	#32	#96
HavocHav	#108	#128

Kansas State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	KSU Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#94	#120
Run ExplRExp	#3	#43
PPAExp	#40	#106
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#93	#126
Stuff RateStuff	#119	#124
TackleTak	-	NR

Kansas State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	KSU Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#82	#85
Pass ExplPExl	#39	#45
PPAExp	#65	#79
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#114	#116
DB HavocDB	#92	#128

Cincinnati on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	KSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#25	#45
ExplosiveExp	#37	#113
PPAPPA	#17	#56
PowerPwr	#35	#38
SP+SP+	#50	#58
Pts POPPO	#11	#49
HavocHav	#12	#46

Cincinnati Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	KSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#14	#61
Run ExplRExp	#35	#129
PPAExp	#14	#81
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#4	#38
Stuff RateStuff	#38	#56
TackleTak	-	NR

Cincinnati Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	KSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#30	#30
Pass ExplPExl	#41	#87
PPAExp	#14	#27
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#7	#49
DB HavocDB	#42	#38

Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

KSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'26 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Cincinnati in 2024 (41-15)

KSU's OC Sean Gleeson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Avery Johnson	204	341	60%	2380	18	6	7.0
Linkon Cure	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joe Jackson	169	911	8	5.4	80
Rodney Fields Jr. (Tr)	124	614	1	5.0	41
Avery Johnson	109	477	8	4.4	58
Jay Harris (Tr)	42	151	2	3.6	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaron Tibbs	47	595	3	12.7	38
Brandon White (Tr)	38	399	2	10.5	46
Garrett Oakley	38	389	6	10.2	35
Joshua Manning (Tr)	29	318	2	11.0	34

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Jordan Peterson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mekhi Mason (Tr)	62	15	4	3	4
Zashon Rich	57	3	1	0	10
Koy Beasley (Tr)	40	2	0	0	6
Wesley Fair	36	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Hill (Tr)	22	12	9	6	0
Wendell Gregory (Tr)	27	12	4	7	1
Mekhi Mason (Tr)	62	15	4	3	4
Jordan Allen	16	5	3	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zashon Rich	57	3	1	0	10
Koy Beasley (Tr)	40	2	0	0	6
Ja'Son Prevard (Tr)	24	1	0	1	5

CIN's OC Brad Glenn (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JC French	249	390	64%	2924	20	8	7.5
Samaj Jones	4	7	57%	72	1	0	10.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zylan Perry (Tr)	138	689	8	5.0	84
Cole Tabb (Tr)	114	445	3	3.9	28
JC French	133	315	6	2.4	21
Zion Johnson	22	106	1	4.8	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Larenzo Fenner (Tr)	41	961	15	23.4	70
Malachi Henry (Tr)	69	889	10	12.9	56
Cade Wolford (Tr)	19	509	7	26.8	79
Isaiah Johnson	14	222	3	15.9	42

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Tyson Veidt (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Filip Maciorowski (Tr)	76	6	3	0	2
Jasper Beeler (Tr)	74	1	1	0	2
Jonathan Thompson	67	9	1	2	0
Mark Cannon Jr.	57	6	2	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Filip Maciorowski (Tr)	76	6	3	0	2
Chidera Otutu (Tr)	28	3	3	0	0
Mark Cannon Jr.	57	6	2	1	1
Montay Weedon	27	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jacob Finley (Tr)	57	1	7
Ty Goodwill (Tr)	35	5	7
KK Meier (Tr)	25	0	5