Cincinnati at Iowa State - 2026 Matchup Preview

Cincinnati Bearcats at Iowa State Cyclones

Saturday, November 14th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Jack Trice Stadium - Ames, IA

Bearcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (31 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#56)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CIN 2nd straight Road Game
ISU is playing their 4th straight game
CIN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Iowa State -3 (SP+ ISU -5)
Projected Score: CIN: 26 - ISU: 29 (55)
ISU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
CIN Travel: 518 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cyclones (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (32 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#53)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CIN Players
ISU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cincinnati's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Cincinnati vs Boston College	-10.5
Sat 9/12	Cincinnati vs Western Carolina	-27
Sat 9/19	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-10
Sat 9/26	Cincinnati vs Kansas State	+0
Sat 10/3	Cincinnati at Arizona	+7.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Cincinnati at West Virginia	-3.5
Sat 10/24	Cincinnati vs Texas Tech	+20.5
Sat 10/31	Cincinnati vs Utah	+10.5
Sat 11/7	Cincinnati at Houston	+5.5
Sat 11/14	Cincinnati at Iowa State	+3
Sat 11/21	Cincinnati vs Colorado	-14
Sat 11/28	Cincinnati at BYU	+14.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

Iowa State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Iowa State vs Southeast Missouri State	-28
Sat 9/12	Iowa State at Iowa	+12
Sat 9/19	Iowa State vs Bowling Green	-21
Sat 9/26	Iowa State vs Utah	+10
Sat 10/3	Iowa State vs West Virginia	-9
Sat 10/10	Iowa State at BYU	+13.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24	Iowa State at Arizona	+6.5
Sat 10/31	Iowa State vs Oklahoma State	-15
Sat 11/7	Iowa State at Baylor	+0.5
Sat 11/14	Iowa State vs Cincinnati	-3
Sat 11/21	Iowa State at UCF	-4
Sat 11/28	Iowa State vs Kansas State	-0.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	#17 (.29)	46% (25)	30.3	48% (14)	3.47 (4)	177	46% (30)	230	4.6 (11)	#105 (.21)	45% (112)	25.6	47% (120)	43% (85)	3.93 (96)	65.1	1.1	0.8
ISU	#60 (.19)	45% (43)	27.4	46% (45)	3 (59)	174	44% (43)	221	3.54 (85)	#32 (.09)	39% (43)	20.2	40% (42)	40% (53)	3.06 (20)	40	1.2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ISU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Offense	13	30.3	30.8	46.3%	4.6	1.1	20	408	177	230	5.8	49%	48%	48%	46%	12%	.29
ISU Defense	12	20.2	18.8	39.4%	3.06	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	50%	40%	40%	17%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Defense	13	25.6	35.3	45.2%	3.93	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	43%	12%	.21
ISU Offense	12	27.4	32.3	44.7%	3.54	1.2	21	396	174	221	4.4	54%	45%	46%	44%	15%	.19

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cincinnati	13	24:16	19.6	39%	72%	7.1	65.1	1.1	0.8	4.2	1.7	1	29.1
Iowa State	12	31:34	21.1	40%	68%	4.6	40	1.2	1.5	5	1.1	1	29.9

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Offense	13	49% (72)	48% (14)	30.8	177.5	5.8	21 (40)	.24 (14)	3.47 (4)	76% (37)	7% (7)	1.05 (35)
ISU Defense	12	47% (42)	40% (42)	-	-	-	-	.01 (17)	2.79 (49)	70% (56)	10% (65)	0.83 (11)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Defense	13	54% (114)	47% (120)	-	-	-	-	.17 (106)	3.3 (126)	79% (117)	8% (116)	0.91 (43)
ISU Offense	12	54% (35)	46% (45)	39.8	174.2	4.4	23 (30)	.15 (48)	3 (59)	69% (90)	8% (36)	0.93 (82)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Offense	13	48% (75)	46% (30)	17.2	27.9	230.2	8.2	13.4	29 (6)	6 (3)	.42 (14)	1.6 (41)	29% (38)	32% (45)	.43 (24)	5% (42)	2.2 (19)
ISU Defense	12	50% (92)	40% (53)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (38)	.24 (67)	1.6 (74)	33% (45)	29% (62)	.23 (47)	7% (28)	1.7 (3)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Defense	13	45% (31)	43% (85)	-	-	-	-	-	-	2 (132)	.27 (79)	1.5 (45)	28% (121)	33% (113)	.35 (98)	4% (128)	1.9 (45)
ISU Offense	12	45% (101)	44% (43)	17.5	28.8	221.4	7.7	12.7	16 (86)	9 (20)	.29 (52)	1.6 (55)	30% (48)	31% (68)	.21 (100)	6% (81)	2.1 (42)

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 2.66 #55
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 14.93 #35
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 17.27 #68
2026 Talent Rating: 820.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Cincinnati's 2026 Expected Record: 7.8 - 5.2
Cincinnati's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #56
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #50
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #67

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 2.66 Iowa State: 6.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 4.5 Iowa State: 9.9

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 6.8 #64
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 8.25 #83
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 14.55 #51
2026 Talent Rating: 722.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Iowa State's 2026 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Iowa State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #33
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #63
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Cincinnati's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 29
Cincinnati 26

Projected Total Points: 55

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Iowa State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Cincinnati	38	Iowa State	30	Cincinnati -1.5	Cincinnati	55.5	Over
2024	11/16	Iowa State	34	Cincinnati	17	Iowa State -7	Iowa State	52.5	Under
2023	10/14	Cincinnati	10	Iowa State	30	Cincinnati -4	Iowa State	42.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa State	2	2	1 Overs
Cincinnati	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2

(#55) CIN at (#64) ISU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CIN	ISU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#55	#64
SP+SP+	#56	#33
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#47	#70
Blue ChipsBC%	#79	#65

Cincinnati Injury Report

Iowa State Injury Report

Cincinnati on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	ISU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#25	#43
ExplosiveExp	#37	#51
PPAPPA	#17	#32
PowerPwr	#35	#51
SP+SP+	#50	#25
Pts POPPO	#11	#20
HavocHav	#12	#46

Cincinnati Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#14	#42
Run ExplRExp	#35	#11
PPAExp	#14	#17
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#4	#49
Stuff RateStuff	#38	#36
TackleTak	-	NR

Cincinnati Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#30	#53
Pass ExplPExl	#41	#74
PPAExp	#14	#67
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#7	#65
DB HavocDB	#42	#28

Iowa State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	CIN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#43	#112
ExplosiveExp	#92	#17
PPAPPA	#60	#105
PowerPwr	#83	#68
SP+SP+	#63	#67
Pts POPPO	#85	#96
HavocHav	#54	#128

Iowa State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#45	#120
Run ExplRExp	#82	#43
PPAExp	#48	#106
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#59	#126
Stuff RateStuff	#57	#124
TackleTak	-	NR

Iowa State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#43	#85
Pass ExplPExl	#55	#45
PPAExp	#52	#79
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#36	#116
DB HavocDB	#81	#128

Program Comparison
ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Remains Average P4

CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat Iowa State last year (38-30)
Iowa State beat Cincinnati in 2024 (34-17)
Iowa State beat Cincinnati in 2023 (30-10)

CIN's OC Brad Glenn (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JC French	249	390	64%	2924	20	8	7.5
Samaj Jones	4	7	57%	72	1	0	10.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zylan Perry (Tr)	138	689	8	5.0	84
Cole Tabb (Tr)	114	445	3	3.9	28
JC French	133	315	6	2.4	21
Zion Johnson	22	106	1	4.8	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Larenzo Fenner (Tr)	41	961	15	23.4	70
Malachi Henry (Tr)	69	889	10	12.9	56
Cade Wolford (Tr)	19	509	7	26.8	79
Isaiah Johnson	14	222	3	15.9	42

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Tyson Veidt (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Filip Maciorowski (Tr)	76	6	3	0	2
Jasper Beeler (Tr)	74	1	1	0	2
Jonathan Thompson	67	9	1	2	0
Mark Cannon Jr.	57	6	2	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Filip Maciorowski (Tr)	76	6	3	0	2
Chidera Otutu (Tr)	28	3	3	0	0
Mark Cannon Jr.	57	6	2	1	1
Montay Weedon	27	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jacob Finley (Tr)	57	1	7
Ty Goodwill (Tr)	35	5	7
KK Meier (Tr)	25	0	5

ISU's OC Tyler Roehl (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaylen Raynor (Tr)	332	500	66%	3364	19	11	6.7
Zane Flores (Tr)	155	262	59%	1454	3	7	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylen Raynor (Tr)	154	428	7	2.8	42
Cameron Pettaway (Tr)	72	365	0	5.1	34
Zane Flores (Tr)	52	117	2	2.3	27
Salahadin Allah (Tr)	19	71	0	3.7	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cody Jackson (Tr)	53	799	6	15.1	60
Omari Hayes (Tr)	39	515	1	13.2	42
Tyler Fortenberry (Tr)	32	294	2	9.2	28
Carter Pabst (Tr)	9	168	1	18.7	43

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jesse Bobbit (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malcolm Jones (Tr)	51	5	3	1	0
Sullivan Schlimgen (Tr)	49	2	0	1	0
Braden Awls (Tr)	48	7	1	0	4
Key'on Washington	37	2	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Terrell (Tr)	28	12	7	6	1
Malcolm Jones (Tr)	51	5	3	1	0
Malaki Ta'ase (Tr)	17	4	3	3	2
Bryson Lamb (Tr)	25	4	2	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Braden Awls (Tr)	48	7	1	0	4
Key'on Washington	37	2	1	0	3
Seth Johnson (Tr)	7	0	0	1	2