Boston College at Cincinnati - 2026 Matchup Preview

Boston College Eagles at Cincinnati Bearcats

Saturday, September 5th 2026 (12:00 AM EDT)
Nippert Stadium - Cincinnati, OH

Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (9 - 16)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#83)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)

Our Line: Cincinnati -8 (SP+ CIN -13)
Projected Score: BC: 25 - CIN: 33 (57)
CIN Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
BC Travel: 732 miles

Bearcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (34 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#69)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
BC Players
CIN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Boston College at Cincinnati	+8
Fri 9/11	Boston College vs Rutgers	+2
Sat 9/19	Boston College vs Maine	-20.5
Sat 9/26	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+0
Sat 10/3	Boston College at SMU	+19.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Boston College vs Pittsburgh	+10
Sat 10/24	Boston College at Georgia Tech	+14.5
Sat 10/31	Boston College at Duke	+12.5
Sat 11/7	Boston College vs Florida State	+8.5
Sat 11/14	Boston College at Notre Dame	+32
Sat 11/21	Boston College vs Syracuse	-4.5
Sat 11/28	Boston College at Miami	+30

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Cincinnati's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Cincinnati vs Boston College	-8
Sat 9/12	Cincinnati vs Western Carolina	-26
Sat 9/19	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-8
Sat 9/26	Cincinnati vs Kansas State	+2.5
Sat 10/3	Cincinnati at Arizona	+9
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Cincinnati at West Virginia	+0
Sat 10/24	Cincinnati vs Texas Tech	+22
Sat 10/31	Cincinnati vs Utah	+12.5
Sat 11/7	Cincinnati at Houston	+7.5
Sat 11/14	Cincinnati at Iowa State	+7
Sat 11/21	Cincinnati vs Colorado	-6.5
Sat 11/28	Cincinnati at BYU	+17

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	#79 (.16)	42% (66)	25.4	42% (92)	2.75 (106)	104	44% (50)	280	3.39 (99)	#115 (.23)	43% (82)	32.8	44% (86)	42% (72)	3.82 (83)	49.7	1.8	1
CIN	#17 (.29)	46% (25)	30.3	48% (14)	3.47 (4)	177	46% (30)	230	4.6 (11)	#105 (.21)	45% (112)	25.6	47% (120)	43% (85)	3.93 (96)	65.1	1.1	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	12	25.4	25	42.4%	3.39	1.8	21	384	104	280	3.3	40%	58%	42%	44%	17%	.16
CIN Defense	13	25.6	19.6	45.2%	3.93	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	43%	12%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	12	32.8	34	42.6%	3.82	1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	47%	44%	42%	12%	.23
CIN Offense	13	30.3	34.4	46.3%	4.6	1.1	20	408	177	230	5.8	49%	48%	48%	46%	12%	.29

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	12	29:16	20.8	39%	52%	5.9	49.7	1.8	1	3.8	1.3	1	27.6
Cincinnati	13	24:16	19.6	39%	72%	7.1	65.1	1.1	0.8	4.2	1.7	1	29.1

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	12	40% (128)	42% (92)	31.3	104	3.3	16 (88)	.05 (104)	2.75 (106)	80% (14)	10% (84)	0.89 (106)
CIN Defense	13	54% (114)	47% (120)	-	-	-	-	.17 (106)	3.3 (126)	79% (117)	8% (116)	0.91 (43)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	12	50% (70)	44% (86)	-	-	-	-	.12 (83)	2.79 (51)	70% (61)	7% (127)	1.04 (106)
CIN Offense	13	49% (72)	48% (14)	30.8	177.5	5.8	21 (40)	.24 (14)	3.47 (4)	76% (37)	7% (7)	1.05 (35)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	12	58% (9)	44% (50)	23.9	37.8	280.2	7.4	11.7	20 (42)	12 (60)	.25 (66)	1.4 (125)	31% (63)	31% (54)	.32 (63)	7% (99)	1.9 (91)
CIN Defense	13	45% (31)	43% (85)	-	-	-	-	-	-	2 (132)	.27 (79)	1.5 (45)	28% (121)	33% (113)	.35 (98)	4% (128)	1.9 (45)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	12	47% (57)	42% (72)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (75)	.39 (121)	1.7 (127)	29% (117)	33% (106)	.36 (99)	5% (102)	2 (75)
CIN Offense	13	48% (75)	46% (30)	17.2	27.9	230.2	8.2	13.4	29 (6)	6 (3)	.42 (14)	1.6 (41)	29% (38)	32% (45)	.43 (24)	5% (42)	2.2 (19)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 2.68 #67
Boston College's Offense Rating: 12.14 #76
Boston College's Defense Rating: 14.46 #60
2026 Talent Rating: 862.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #103
Boston College's 2026 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Boston College's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #107

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 905.41
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 2.68 Cincinnati: 5.205

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -8.5 Cincinnati: 4.5

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 5.205 #75
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 14.84 #58
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 18.93 #92
2026 Talent Rating: 812.00 #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #73
Cincinnati's 2026 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Cincinnati's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #56
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #50
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #67

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 824
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Boston College's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Cincinnati 33
Boston College 25

Projected Total Points: 57

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Cincinnati's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	01/02	Cincinnati	38	Boston College	6	Cincinnati -8.0	Cincinnati	53.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Cincinnati	1	1	0 Overs
Boston College	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#67) BC at (#75) CIN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BC	CIN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#67	#75
SP+SP+	#97	#56
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#45	#59
Blue ChipsBC%	#103	#73

Boston College Notes(2/15) Vibes: Low, O'Brien/NIL - this isn't working
(2/7) QB1? Only FCS Mason McKenzie has exp (2k, 14 TD)
(2/6) DC Ted Roof? Really? OC left for NFL in Jan
(2/6) RB Dickens (Lib) good add, have depth options
(2/6) WR has a lot of guys, none > 13 FBS rec.
(2/6) OL 7 portal adds, lots of G5/FCS risers. Have exp
(2/6) DL has some parts, lots of options. Nothing special
(2/6) LB couple of good portals, could be good unit
(2/6) CB has some good options, S has exp but avg
(2/6) Playing ND, Rutgers & Cincy OOC is suicide
Boston College Injury Report

Cincinnati Notes(2/17) Vibes: Uneven, HC ?, lot of grad & portal losses
(2/23) RB Z Perry decent, other #2 guys LY. Good stable
(2/12) New OC Dardwell was Cincy's OL coach (4 yrs)
(2/12) New DC Nate Woody was Army's DC past 6 yrs
(2/9) QB JC French is a good one, has good mobility
(2/9) WR top 4 are portals, 2 FCS, 1 G5. Solid unit though
(2/9) OL has 3 starters back but were really bad LY
(2/9) DBs built from portals, good looking G5 adds
(2/9) LB/DEs strongest unit? 6 w starting exp & prod
(2/9) Def should be decent but Off is a big step back
Cincinnati Injury Report

Boston College on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BC Off	CIN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#66	#112
ExplosiveExp	#93	#17
PPAPPA	#79	#105
PowerPwr	#76	#92
SP+SP+	#97	#67
Pts POPPO	#99	#96
HavocHav	#92	#128

Boston College Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BC Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#92	#120
Run ExplRExp	#106	#43
PPAExp	#104	#106
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#106	#126
Stuff RateStuff	#55	#124
TackleTak	-	NR

Boston College Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BC Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#50	#85
Pass ExplPExl	#125	#45
PPAExp	#66	#79
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#84	#116
DB HavocDB	#99	#128

Cincinnati on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	BC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#25	#82
ExplosiveExp	#37	#127
PPAPPA	#17	#115
PowerPwr	#58	#60
SP+SP+	#50	#107
Pts POPPO	#11	#83
HavocHav	#12	#126

Cincinnati Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#14	#86
Run ExplRExp	#35	#106
PPAExp	#14	#83
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#4	#51
Stuff RateStuff	#38	#43
TackleTak	-	NR

Cincinnati Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#30	#72
Pass ExplPExl	#41	#127
PPAExp	#14	#121
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#7	#127
DB HavocDB	#42	#102

Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BC's OC Vacant (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Mason McKenzie (Tr)	147	267	55%	2054	14	N/A	N/A
Bryce LaFollette (Tr)	2	2	100%	15	0	0	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Evan Dickens (Tr)	228	1325	16	5.8	95
Mason McKenzie (Tr)	117	662	6	5.7	N/A
Nolan Ray (Tr)	67	289	2	4.3	53
Bo MacCormack III	15	43	1	2.9	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Reed Swanson (Tr)	57	939	8	16.5	67
Kaelan Chudzinski	24	313	4	13.0	45
Dawson Pough	13	197	1	15.2	52
Javarius Green (Tr)	13	150	0	11.5	39

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Ted Roof (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KP Price	93	3	0	3	0
Anthony Palano (Tr)	65	1	1	4	2
Carter Davis	59	2	1	0	2
Isaiah Farris	28	0	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Demetrius Ballard (Tr)	13	3	2	0	0
Carter Davis	59	2	1	0	2
Justin Medlock (Tr)	25	1	1	1	1
TJ Green	25	1	1	0	2

Pass D	Tack	PD
Isaiah Farris	28	6
Ashton Cunningham	13	3
Syair Torrence	5	3

CIN's OC Nic Dardwell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JC French	249	390	64%	2924	20	8	7.5
Liam O'Brien (Tr)	211	314	67%	2376	19	6	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zylan Perry (Tr)	138	689	8	5.0	84
Liam O'Brien (Tr)	138	548	7	4.0	25
Cole Tabb (Tr)	114	445	3	3.9	28
JC French	133	315	6	2.4	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Larenzo Fenner (Tr)	41	961	15	23.4	70
Malachi Henry (Tr)	69	889	10	12.9	56
Cade Wolford (Tr)	19	509	7	26.8	79
Isaiah Johnson	14	222	3	15.9	42

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Nate Woody (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Filip Maciorowski (Tr)	76	6	3	0	2
Jasper Beeler (Tr)	74	1	1	0	2
Jonathan Thompson	67	9	1	2	0
Jacob Finley (Tr)	57	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Filip Maciorowski (Tr)	76	6	3	0	2
Chidera Otutu (Tr)	28	3	3	0	0
Mark Cannon Jr.	57	6	2	1	1
Montay Weedon	27	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Ty Goodwill (Tr)	35	5	7
Jacob Finley (Tr)	57	1	7
KK Meier (Tr)	25	0	5