Cincinnati at West Virginia - 2026 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati Bearcats at West Virginia MountaineersWest Virginia logo
Saturday, October 17th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Field at Milan Puskar Stadium - Morgantown, WV

 
Bearcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (31 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#56)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WVU 2nd straight Home Game
CIN coming off BYE
WVU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Cincinnati -3.5  (SP+ CIN -11.5)

Projected Score: CIN: 30 - WVU: 27 (57)
CIN Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 246 miles
Mountaineers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (64 - 34)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (23 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#96)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Cincinnati vs Boston College-10.5
Sat 9/12 Cincinnati vs Western Carolina-27
Sat 9/19 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-10
Sat 9/26 Cincinnati vs Kansas State+0
Sat 10/3 Cincinnati at Arizona+7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Cincinnati at West Virginia-3.5
Sat 10/24 Cincinnati vs Texas Tech+20.5
Sat 10/31 Cincinnati vs Utah+10.5
Sat 11/7 Cincinnati at Houston+5.5
Sat 11/14 Cincinnati at Iowa State+3
Sat 11/21 Cincinnati vs Colorado-14
Sat 11/28 Cincinnati at BYU+14.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
West Virginia's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 West Virginia vs Coastal Carolina-18
Sat 9/12 West Virginia vs UT Martin-21
Sat 9/19 West Virginia vs Virginia+8
Sat 9/26 West Virginia vs Oklahoma State-8.5
Sat 10/3 West Virginia at Iowa State+9
Sat 10/10 West Virginia vs Arizona+8
Sat 10/17 West Virginia vs Cincinnati+3.5
Sat 10/24 West Virginia at TCU+13
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 West Virginia at Texas Tech+31.5
Sat 11/14 West Virginia vs Kansas+1.5
Sat 11/21 West Virginia vs Houston+6.5
Sat 11/28 West Virginia at Utah+21.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#17 (.29)46% (25)30.348% (14)3.47 (4)17746% (30)2304.6 (11)#105 (.21)45% (112)25.647% (120)43% (85)3.93 (96)65.11.10.8
WVU#118 (.07)37% (121)21.839% (113)2.66 (118)16134% (130)1893.53 (86)#63 (.16)40% (54)30.839% (36)43% (80)3.9 (91)561.51.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WVU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1330.330.846.3%4.61.1204081772305.849%48%48%46%12%.29
WVU Defense1230.828.240.5%3.91.7 - - - - - 49%49%39%43%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1325.635.345.2%3.930.8 - - - - - 54%45%47%43%12%.21
WVU Offense1221.822.736.8%3.531.5193501611893.757%42%39%34%16%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1324:1619.639%72%7.165.11.10.84.21.7129.1
West Virginia1226:1818.830%45%5.8561.51.76.72.4128.3
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1349% (72)48% (14)30.8177.55.821 (40).24 (14)3.47 (4)76% (37)7% (7)1.05 (35)
WVU Defense1249% (60)39% (36) - - - - .02 (25)2.42 (8)73% (80)12% (12)0.95 (64)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1354% (114)47% (120) - - - - .17 (106)3.3 (126)79% (117)8% (116)0.91 (43)
WVU Offense1257% (20)39% (113)43.6160.73.722 (36)-.02 (126)2.66 (118)62% (121)10% (103)0.89 (101)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1348% (75)46% (30)17.227.9230.28.213.429 (6)6 (3).42 (14)1.6 (41)29% (38)32% (45).43 (24)5% (42)2.2 (19)
WVU Defense1249% (82)43% (80) - - - - - - 11 (22).33 (104)1.7 (125)34% (27)33% (112).42 (121)6% (69)2.1 (110)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1345% (31)43% (85) - - - - - - 2 (132).27 (79)1.5 (45)28% (121)33% (113).35 (98)4% (128)1.9 (45)
WVU Offense1242% (116)34% (130)1627.3188.96.911.810 (128)11 (88).2 (99)1.7 (24)30% (53)26% (116).21 (99)6% (55)2.1 (52)

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 2.66  #55
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 14.93  #35
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 17.27  #68
2026 Talent Rating: 820.00  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #79
Cincinnati's 2026 Expected Record: 7.8 - 5.2
Cincinnati's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5  #56
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2  #50
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #67

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 2.66   West Virginia: 0.155

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 4.5   West Virginia: -6.8




West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 0.155  #56
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 10.34  #69
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 13.23  #40
2026 Talent Rating: 902.00  #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #56
West Virginia's 2026 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
West Virginia's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.8  #93
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.8  #102
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #91

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Cincinnati's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 30
West Virginia 27


Projected Total Points: 57
West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.7
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.2

West Virginia's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Cincinnati24West Virginia31Cincinnati -5.5West Virginia54.5Over
202311/18West Virginia42Cincinnati21West Virginia -4.5West Virginia52.5Over
201111/12Cincinnati21West Virginia24
201011/13West Virginia37Cincinnati10
200911/13Cincinnati24West Virginia21
200811/08West Virginia23Cincinnati26
200711/17Cincinnati23West Virginia28
200611/11West Virginia42Cincinnati24
200511/09Cincinnati0West Virginia38
200309/13West Virginia13Cincinnati15
200209/14Cincinnati32West Virginia35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
West Virginia822 Overs
Cincinnati300 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 71 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams7 - 41 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#55) CIN at (#56) WVU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCINWVU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #55 #56
SP+SP+ #56 #93
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #47 #26
Blue ChipsBC% #79 #56
Cincinnati on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
CIN OffWVU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #25 #54
ExplosiveExp #37 #125
PPAPPA #17 #63
PowerPwr #35 #40
SP+SP+ #50 #91
Pts POPPO #11 #91
HavocHav #12 #26
Cincinnati Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
CIN OffWVU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #14 #36
Run ExplRExp #35 #64
PPAExp #14 #25
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #4 #8
Stuff RateStuff #38 #18
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
CIN OffWVU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #30 #80
Pass ExplPExl #41 #125
PPAExp #14 #104
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #7 #12
DB HavocDB #42 #69
West Virginia on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatWVU OffCIN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #121 #112
ExplosiveExp #79 #17
PPAPPA #118 #105
PowerPwr #69 #68
SP+SP+ #102 #67
Pts POPPO #86 #96
HavocHav #80 #128
West Virginia Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WVU OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #113 #120
Run ExplRExp #101 #43
PPAExp #126 #106
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #118 #126
Stuff RateStuff #104 #124
TackleTak - NR
West Virginia Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatWVU OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #130 #85
Pass ExplPExl #24 #45
PPAExp #99 #79
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #103 #116
DB HavocDB #55 #128
Program Comparison
WVU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'26 Profile: Down to Average G5

CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
West Virginia beat Cincinnati in 2024 (31-24)
West Virginia beat Cincinnati in 2023 (42-21)

  
CIN's OC Brad Glenn (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JC French24939064%29242087.5
Samaj Jones4757%721010.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Zylan Perry (Tr)13868985.084
Cole Tabb (Tr)11444533.928
JC French13331562.421
Zion Johnson2210614.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Larenzo Fenner (Tr)419611523.470
Malachi Henry (Tr)698891012.956
Cade Wolford (Tr)19509726.879
Isaiah Johnson14222315.942

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Tyson Veidt (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Filip Maciorowski (Tr)766302
Jasper Beeler (Tr)741102
Jonathan Thompson679120
Mark Cannon Jr.576211
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Filip Maciorowski (Tr)766302
Chidera Otutu (Tr)283300
Mark Cannon Jr.576211
Montay Weedon273200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Finley (Tr)571007
Ty Goodwill (Tr)355007
KK Meier (Tr)250005

WVU's OC Rich Rodriguez (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Scotty Fox Jr.10117059%1276767.5
Michael Hawkins Jr. (Tr)152756%167306.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Cook (Tr)2961666165.673
Scotty Fox Jr.8420132.459
Michael Hawkins Jr. (Tr)155813.927
Armoni Weaver129029.029
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Epps (Tr)46498510.848
John Neider (Tr)27422215.645
Cam Cook (Tr)3028609.554
Josh Sapp (Tr)11150013.632

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC Zac Alley (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Stolsky (Tr)862112
Kamari Wilson (Tr)787114
Fred Perry7810323
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)632025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry7810323
David Afogho (Tr)374361
Harper Holloman (Tr)396264
Tyler Stolsky (Tr)862112
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaire Rawlison (Tr)522106
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)632025
Harper Holloman (Tr)396264