Ole Miss at Vanderbilt - 2026 Matchup Preview
Ole Miss logo Ole Miss Rebels at Vanderbilt CommodoresVanderbilt logo
Saturday, October 10th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Vanderbilt Stadium - Nashville, TN

 
Rebels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pete Golding (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (34 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MISS coming off BYE
VAN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Ole Miss -1.5  (SP+ MISS -3.5)

Projected Score: MISS: 32 - VAN: 30 (62)
MISS Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
MISS Travel: 197 miles
Commodores (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (26 - 36)
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (44 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 2.4 (#14)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ole Miss's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Ole Miss vs Louisville-12.5
Sat 9/12 Ole Miss vs Charlotte-45.5
Sat 9/19 Ole Miss vs LSU-6
Sat 9/26 Ole Miss at Florida-8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Ole Miss at Vanderbilt-1.5
Sat 10/17 Ole Miss vs Missouri-6
Sat 10/24 Ole Miss at Texas+3.5
Sat 10/31 Ole Miss vs Auburn-10
Sat 11/7 Ole Miss vs Georgia+3.5
Sat 11/14 Ole Miss at Oklahoma+2
Sat 11/21 Ole Miss vs Wofford-44
Fri 11/27 Ole Miss vs Mississippi State-16.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Vanderbilt's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Vanderbilt vs Austin Peay-40
Sat 9/12 Vanderbilt vs Delaware-33
Sat 9/19 Vanderbilt vs NC State-12
Sat 9/26 Vanderbilt at Auburn-1.5
Sat 10/3 Vanderbilt at Georgia+12.5
Sat 10/10 Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss+1.5
Sat 10/17 Vanderbilt vs Arkansas-15
Sat 10/24 Vanderbilt at Kentucky-11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Vanderbilt at Mississippi State-7.5
Sat 11/14 Vanderbilt vs Alabama-1.5
Sat 11/21 Vanderbilt at Florida-4.5
Sat 11/28 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee-3

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#14 (.3)48% (16)36.945% (52)2.79 (100)17751% (7)3134.44 (19)#57 (.13)40% (51)21.143% (77)38% (29)3.1 (23)52.40.91
VAN#1 (.44)52% (1)38.550% (8)3.37 (9)17654% (3)2875 (3)#99 (.2)42% (68)22.840% (46)43% (91)3.9 (90)59.70.91.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1536.934.347.8%4.440.9254901773134.650%49%45%51%13%.3
VAN Defense1322.821.141.7%3.91.2 - - - - - 44%54%40%43%17%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense1521.127.840%3.11 - - - - - 50%48%43%38%17%.13
VAN Offense1338.54451.9%50.9244631762875.747%52%50%54%13%.44

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss1528:4525.443%68%5.552.40.915.52.2028.1
Vanderbilt1331:1824.151%56%6.859.70.91.26.22.4129.5
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1550% (64)45% (52)38.1176.74.639 (11).15 (49)2.79 (100)78% (25)7% (21)0.96 (66)
VAN Defense1344% (11)40% (46) - - - - .04 (31)2.66 (24)72% (75)11% (20)0.93 (54)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense1550% (68)43% (77) - - - - .19 (116)3.11 (105)70% (59)10% (57)1.08 (120)
VAN Offense1347% (92)50% (8)30.9175.95.735 (4).35 (1)3.37 (9)76% (38)8% (30)1.21 (2)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1549% (65)51% (7)22.734.9313.3913.826 (50)8 (60).46 (8)1.6 (60)28% (19)38% (8).53 (7)6% (72)2.2 (23)
VAN Defense1354% (124)43% (91) - - - - - - 8 (75).35 (115)1.6 (76)34% (25)30% (78).38 (109)6% (69)2 (78)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense1548% (68)38% (29) - - - - - - 9 (100).13 (20)1.6 (65)33% (41)30% (79).29 (67)7% (32)2.1 (94)
VAN Offense1352% (44)54% (3)21.530.8287.39.313.430 (22)8 (34).55 (1)1.5 (74)26% (13)49% (1).78 (1)5% (28)2 (78)

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 17.12  #17
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 20.26  #16
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.14  #19
2026 Talent Rating: 936.00  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 40%  #18
Ole Miss's 2026 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Ole Miss's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0  #7
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4  #3
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3  #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 17.12   Vanderbilt: 19.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 24.0   Vanderbilt: 20.3




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 19.09  #22
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 22.11  #10
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 14.23  #45
2026 Talent Rating: 818.00  #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 6  #49
Vanderbilt's 2026 Expected Record: 10.6 - 2.4
Vanderbilt's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.3  #11
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.9  #5
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #39

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Ole Miss's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 32
Vanderbilt 30


Projected Total Points: 62
Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 38.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.1

Vanderbilt's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Ole Miss33Vanderbilt7Ole Miss -24Ole Miss62.0Under
202210/08Vanderbilt28Ole Miss52Ole Miss -17Ole Miss59.5Over
202111/20Ole Miss31Vanderbilt17Ole Miss -35.5Vanderbilt66.5Under
202010/31Vanderbilt21Ole Miss54Ole Miss -18.0Ole Miss0
201910/05Ole Miss31Vanderbilt6Ole Miss -6.5Ole Miss63.5Under
201811/17Vanderbilt36Ole Miss29Vanderbilt -3Vanderbilt72.5Under
201710/14Ole Miss57Vanderbilt35Ole Miss -3.5Ole Miss56.5Over
201611/19Vanderbilt38Ole Miss17Ole Miss -9.5Vanderbilt50.0Over
201509/26Ole Miss27Vanderbilt16Ole Miss -28Vanderbilt53.5Under
201409/06Vanderbilt3Ole Miss41Ole Miss -14Ole Miss0
201308/29Vanderbilt35Ole Miss39Vanderbilt -1.5Ole Miss0
201211/10Ole Miss26Vanderbilt27
201109/17Vanderbilt30Ole Miss7
201009/18Ole Miss14Vanderbilt28
200910/03Vanderbilt7Ole Miss23
200809/20Ole Miss17Vanderbilt23
200709/15Vanderbilt31Ole Miss17
200610/07Ole Miss17Vanderbilt10
200509/17Vanderbilt31Ole Miss23
200409/18Ole Miss26Vanderbilt23
200308/30Vanderbilt21Ole Miss24
200209/21Ole Miss45Vanderbilt38
200112/01Ole Miss38Vanderbilt27
200009/15Vanderbilt7Ole Miss12
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt843 Overs
Ole Miss1675 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 105 - 64 - 31 - 3
Road Teams10 - 146 - 53 - 13 - 4

(#17) MISS at (#22) VAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMISSVAN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #17 #22
SP+SP+ #7 #11
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #23 #49
Blue ChipsBC% #18 #49
Ole Miss on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MISS OffVAN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #16 #68
ExplosiveExp #42 #103
PPAPPA #14 #99
PowerPwr #16 #45
SP+SP+ #3 #39
Pts POPPO #19 #90
HavocHav #34 #39
Ole Miss Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MISS OffVAN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #52 #46
Run ExplRExp #66 #54
PPAExp #49 #31
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #100 #24
Stuff RateStuff #107 #31
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MISS OffVAN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #7 #91
Pass ExplPExl #60 #76
PPAExp #8 #115
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #21 #20
DB HavocDB #72 #69
Vanderbilt on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatVAN OffMISS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #1 #51
ExplosiveExp #9 #96
PPAPPA #1 #57
PowerPwr #10 #19
SP+SP+ #5 #20
Pts POPPO #3 #23
HavocHav #25 #46
Vanderbilt Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
VAN OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #8 #77
Run ExplRExp #2 #120
PPAExp #1 #116
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #9 #105
Stuff RateStuff #25 #83
TackleTak - NR
Vanderbilt Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatVAN OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #3 #29
Pass ExplPExl #74 #65
PPAExp #1 #20
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #30 #57
DB HavocDB #28 #32
Program Comparison
VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'26 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (33-7)

  
MISS's OC John David Baker (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trinidad Chambliss29444566%39372238.8
Walker Howard (Tr)184144%155033.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua Dye (Tr)2701660246.192
Kewan Lacy3061567245.173
Trinidad Chambliss13352784.041
Makhi Frazier (Tr)11652024.549
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Deuce Alexander44684215.588
Johntay Cook II47559211.959
Darrell Gill Jr. (Tr)32506515.843
Caleb Odom19197210.440

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Patrick Toney (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keaton Thomas (Tr)997113
Luke Ferrelli (Tr)915111
Suntarine Perkins81135125
Kamarion Franklin6995143
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamarion Franklin6995143
William Echoles6812565
Jonathan Maldonado (Tr)389514
Suntarine Perkins81135125
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antonio Kite330005
Suntarine Perkins81135125
William Echoles6812565

VAN's OC Tim Beck (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blaze Berlowitz91753%131107.7
Whit Muschamp2367%400013.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sedrick Alexander106570115.465
Makhilyn Young4541169.180
Jamezell Lassiter9143215.948
Blaze Berlowitz118117.443
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Junior Sherrill54784714.546
Ja'Cory Thomas (Tr)41714517.455
Jayvontay Conner (Tr)23333314.579
Cole Spence15233215.533

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC Steve Gregory (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Heard714253
Bryan Longwell709142
Talan Carter (Tr)557232
Nicholas Rinaldi477491
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nicholas Rinaldi477491
Bryce Cowan324351
C.J. Heard714253
Talan Carter (Tr)557232
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Heard714253
Ricardo Jones (Tr)391003
Jordan Matthews191003