Charlotte at Ole Miss - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium - Oxford, MS

49ers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (1 - 11)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (12 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#131)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MISS 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Ole Miss -45.5 (SP+ MISS -51)
Projected Score: CHAR: 4 - MISS: 50 (54)
MISS Win prob: 100% | Cover: 31%
CHAR Travel: 503 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Rebels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pete Golding (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (39 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CHAR Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Charlotte's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12	Charlotte at Ole Miss	+45.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Ole Miss vs Louisville	-12.5
Sat 9/12	Ole Miss vs Charlotte	-45.5
Sat 9/19	Ole Miss vs LSU	-6
Sat 9/26	Ole Miss at Florida	-8.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Ole Miss at Vanderbilt	-1.5
Sat 10/17	Ole Miss vs Missouri	-6
Sat 10/24	Ole Miss at Texas	+3.5
Sat 10/31	Ole Miss vs Auburn	-10
Sat 11/7	Ole Miss vs Georgia	+3.5
Sat 11/14	Ole Miss at Oklahoma	+2
Sat 11/21	Ole Miss vs Wofford	-44
Fri 11/27	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	-16.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR	#136 (-.01)	34% (133)	14.3	34% (134)	2.13 (135)	82	35% (123)	204	2.73 (131)	#124 (.26)	54% (136)	36.3	55% (136)	53% (135)	4.16 (114)	50.8	1.9	1.3
MISS	#14 (.3)	48% (16)	36.9	45% (52)	2.79 (100)	177	51% (7)	313	4.44 (19)	#57 (.13)	40% (51)	21.1	43% (77)	38% (29)	3.1 (23)	52.4	0.9	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Offense	12	14.3	11.6	34.2%	2.73	1.9	16	286	82	204	2.7	44%	54%	34%	35%	19%	-.01
MISS Defense	15	21.1	15.6	40%	3.1	1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	43%	38%	17%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Defense	12	36.3	37.6	53.9%	4.16	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	55%	53%	11%	.26
MISS Offense	15	36.9	39	47.8%	4.44	0.9	25	490	177	313	4.6	50%	49%	45%	51%	13%	.3

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Charlotte	12	28:06	15.6	35%	46%	6.1	50.8	1.9	1.3	4	1.2	1	27.6
Ole Miss	15	28:45	25.4	43%	68%	5.5	52.4	0.9	1	5.5	2.2	0	28.1

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense	12	44% (114)	34% (134)	30.3	81.8	2.7	5 (122)	-.15 (136)	2.13 (135)	61% (125)	12% (121)	0.66 (136)
MISS Defense	15	50% (68)	43% (77)	-	-	-	-	.19 (116)	3.11 (105)	70% (59)	10% (57)	1.08 (120)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense	12	51% (88)	55% (136)	-	-	-	-	.22 (129)	3.33 (130)	81% (124)	7% (129)	0.86 (20)
MISS Offense	15	50% (64)	45% (52)	38.1	176.7	4.6	39 (11)	.15 (49)	2.79 (100)	78% (25)	7% (21)	0.96 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense	12	54% (24)	35% (123)	18.8	31.6	204	6.5	10.9	14 (86)	13 (108)	.13 (118)	1.8 (10)	35% (125)	25% (122)	.12 (129)	7% (99)	1.9 (110)
MISS Defense	15	48% (68)	38% (29)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (100)	.13 (20)	1.6 (65)	33% (41)	30% (79)	.29 (67)	7% (32)	2.1 (94)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense	12	47% (59)	53% (135)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (123)	.34 (112)	1.3 (4)	24% (136)	35% (127)	.42 (119)	4% (135)	2 (74)
MISS Offense	15	49% (65)	51% (7)	22.7	34.9	313.3	9	13.8	26 (50)	8 (60)	.46 (8)	1.6 (60)	28% (19)	38% (8)	.53 (7)	6% (72)	2.2 (23)

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -18.58 #129
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 3.30 #113
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 26.88 #128
2026 Talent Rating: 536.00 #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Charlotte's 2026 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Charlotte's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.7 #134
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.5 #132
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 534.71
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -18.58 Ole Miss: 23.06

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -26.7 Ole Miss: 24.0

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 23.06 #17
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 20.26 #16
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.14 #19
2026 Talent Rating: 936.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Ole Miss's 2026 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Ole Miss's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0 #7
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #3
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.6

Charlotte's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 50
Charlotte 4

Projected Total Points: 54

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Ole Miss's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	0	0	0 Overs
Charlotte	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#129) CHAR at (#17) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CHAR	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#129	#17
SP+SP+	#134	#7
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#104	#23
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#18

Charlotte Injury Report

Ole Miss Injury Report

Charlotte on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#133	#51
ExplosiveExp	#49	#96
PPAPPA	#136	#57
PowerPwr	#113	#19
SP+SP+	#132	#20
Pts POPPO	#131	#23
HavocHav	#121	#46

Charlotte Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#134	#77
Run ExplRExp	#136	#120
PPAExp	#136	#116
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#135	#105
Stuff RateStuff	#127	#83
TackleTak	-	NR

Charlotte Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#123	#29
Pass ExplPExl	#10	#65
PPAExp	#118	#20
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#121	#57
DB HavocDB	#99	#32

Ole Miss on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	CHAR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#16	#136
ExplosiveExp	#42	#3
PPAPPA	#14	#124
PowerPwr	#16	#128
SP+SP+	#3	#132
Pts POPPO	#19	#114
HavocHav	#34	#134

Ole Miss Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	CHAR Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#52	#136
Run ExplRExp	#66	#20
PPAExp	#49	#129
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#100	#130
Stuff RateStuff	#107	#132
TackleTak	-	NR

Ole Miss Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	CHAR Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#7	#135
Pass ExplPExl	#60	#4
PPAExp	#8	#112
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#21	#129
DB HavocDB	#72	#135

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

CHAR's OC Todd Fitch (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Grayson Loftis	128	232	55%	1415	8	8	6.1
Conner Harrell	64	96	67%	737	4	2	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameren Smith	62	220	0	3.5	13
Jariel Cobb	51	190	0	3.7	21
Conner Harrell	28	67	2	2.4	19
Khamani Alexander (Tr)	12	50	0	4.2	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Barnes (Tr)	55	608	7	11.1	59
Sean Brown	36	508	1	14.1	46
Derrick Eley	5	97	1	19.4	32
Montez Green	11	94	0	8.5	15

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Nate Faanes (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Kadin Schmitz	65	1	3	2
Gavin Willis	55	4	1	2
CJ Clinkscales	49	0	0	0
Collin Gill	35	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylon Johnson	20	2	1	3	0
Macyo Williams	4	1	1	0	0
Braden Mullen	19	3	1	2	1
Kadin Schmitz	65	1	0	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kadin Schmitz	65	1	0	3	2
Gavin Willis	55	4	0	1	2
Braden Mullen	19	3	1	2	1

MISS's OC John David Baker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Trinidad Chambliss	294	445	66%	3937	22	3	8.8
Walker Howard (Tr)	18	41	44%	155	0	3	3.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joshua Dye (Tr)	270	1660	24	6.1	92
Kewan Lacy	306	1567	24	5.1	73
Trinidad Chambliss	133	527	8	4.0	41
Makhi Frazier (Tr)	116	520	2	4.5	49

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Deuce Alexander	44	684	2	15.5	88
Johntay Cook II	47	559	2	11.9	59
Darrell Gill Jr. (Tr)	32	506	5	15.8	43
Caleb Odom	19	197	2	10.4	40

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Patrick Toney (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keaton Thomas (Tr)	99	7	1	1	3
Luke Ferrelli (Tr)	91	5	1	1	1
Suntarine Perkins	81	13	5	12	5
Kamarion Franklin	69	9	5	14	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kamarion Franklin	69	9	5	14	3
William Echoles	68	12	5	6	5
Jonathan Maldonado (Tr)	38	9	5	1	4
Suntarine Perkins	81	13	5	12	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antonio Kite	33	0	0	0	5
Suntarine Perkins	81	13	5	12	5
William Echoles	68	12	5	6	5