LSU at Ole Miss - 2026 Matchup Preview
LSU logo LSU Tigers at Ole Miss RebelsOle Miss logo
Saturday, September 19th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium - Oxford, MS

 
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 5.3 (#58)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MISS 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Ole Miss -6  (SP+ MISS -14)

Projected Score: LSU: 21 - MISS: 27 (48)
MISS Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
LSU Travel: 289 miles
Rebels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pete Golding (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (39 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
LSU's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 LSU vs Clemson-11
Sat 9/12 LSU vs Louisiana Tech-25.5
Sat 9/19 LSU at Ole Miss+6
Sat 9/26 LSU vs Texas A&M+3.5
Sat 10/3 LSU vs McNeese-40.5
Sat 10/10 LSU at Kentucky-12
Sat 10/17 LSU vs Mississippi State-13
Sat 10/24 LSU at Auburn-2
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 LSU vs Alabama-2
Sat 11/14 LSU vs Texas+2
Sat 11/21 LSU at Tennessee+1
Sat 11/28 LSU at Arkansas-11

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Ole Miss's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Ole Miss vs Louisville-12.5
Sat 9/12 Ole Miss vs Charlotte-45.5
Sat 9/19 Ole Miss vs LSU-6
Sat 9/26 Ole Miss at Florida-8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Ole Miss at Vanderbilt-1.5
Sat 10/17 Ole Miss vs Missouri-6
Sat 10/24 Ole Miss at Texas+3.5
Sat 10/31 Ole Miss vs Auburn-10
Sat 11/7 Ole Miss vs Georgia+3.5
Sat 11/14 Ole Miss at Oklahoma+2
Sat 11/21 Ole Miss vs Wofford-44
Fri 11/27 Ole Miss vs Mississippi State-16.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU#121 (.06)39% (108)22.837% (122)2.46 (132)10541% (84)2303.35 (104)#28 (.08)39% (30)19.839% (34)39% (44)3.25 (32)59.31.11.6
MISS#14 (.3)48% (16)36.945% (52)2.79 (100)17751% (7)3134.44 (19)#57 (.13)40% (51)21.143% (77)38% (29)3.1 (23)52.40.91
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MISS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Offense1322.816.438.9%3.351.1193341052303.742%56%37%41%18%.06
MISS Defense1521.115.640%3.11 - - - - - 50%48%43%38%17%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Defense1319.820.438.8%3.251.6 - - - - - 48%51%39%39%17%.08
MISS Offense1536.93947.8%4.440.9254901773134.650%49%45%51%13%.3

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
LSU1330:1518.837%62%759.31.11.65.22.1229.8
Ole Miss1528:4525.443%68%5.552.40.915.52.2028.1
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Offense1342% (122)37% (122)28.6104.83.710 (107).01 (121)2.46 (132)64% (115)11% (116)0.92 (87)
MISS Defense1550% (68)43% (77) - - - - .19 (116)3.11 (105)70% (59)10% (57)1.08 (120)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Defense1348% (43)39% (34) - - - - .01 (18)2.59 (15)64% (18)9% (93)0.9 (40)
MISS Offense1550% (64)45% (52)38.1176.74.639 (11).15 (49)2.79 (100)78% (25)7% (21)0.96 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Offense1356% (14)41% (84)22.434.1229.56.710.320 (50)7 (60).18 (105)1.4 (109)36% (129)31% (69).23 (96)7% (99)1.9 (96)
MISS Defense1548% (68)38% (29) - - - - - - 9 (100).13 (20)1.6 (65)33% (41)30% (79).29 (67)7% (32)2.1 (94)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Defense1351% (105)39% (44) - - - - - - 17 (22).18 (39)1.6 (71)34% (29)29% (60).22 (37)8% (11)1.9 (46)
MISS Offense1549% (65)51% (7)22.734.9313.3913.826 (50)8 (60).46 (8)1.6 (60)28% (19)38% (8).53 (7)6% (72)2.2 (23)

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 24.08  #11
LSU's Offense Rating: 21.13  #13
LSU's Defense Rating: 2.05  #7
2026 Talent Rating: 1054.00  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 71%  #4
LSU's 2026 Expected Record: 7.7 - 5.3
LSU's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #32
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #75
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #11

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: 24.08   Ole Miss: 23.06

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 10.3   Ole Miss: 24.0




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 23.06  #17
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 20.26  #16
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.14  #19
2026 Talent Rating: 936.00  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 40  #18
Ole Miss's 2026 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Ole Miss's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0  #7
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4  #3
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3  #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.4

LSU's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 27
LSU 21


Projected Total Points: 48
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Ole Miss's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Ole Miss24LSU19Ole Miss -2.5Ole Miss57.5Under
202410/12LSU29Ole Miss26Ole Miss -3.5LSU64.5Under
202309/30Ole Miss55LSU49LSU -3Ole Miss67.0Over
202210/22LSU45Ole Miss20Ole Miss -0.0LSU64.0Over
202110/23Ole Miss31LSU17Ole Miss -9.0Ole Miss76.5Under
202012/19LSU53Ole Miss48Ole Miss -0.0LSU74.5Over
201911/16Ole Miss37LSU58LSU -21NA66.0Over
201809/29LSU45Ole Miss16LSU -10.5LSU61.0Push
201710/21Ole Miss24LSU40LSU -6.5LSU59.0Over
201610/22LSU38Ole Miss21LSU -4.5LSU59.0Push
201511/21Ole Miss38LSU17Ole Miss -4.5Ole Miss58.5Under
201410/25LSU10Ole Miss7Ole Miss -3LSU0
201310/19Ole Miss27LSU24LSU -8Ole Miss0
201211/17LSU41Ole Miss35
201111/19Ole Miss3LSU52
201011/20LSU43Ole Miss36
200911/21Ole Miss25LSU23
200811/22LSU13Ole Miss31
200711/17Ole Miss24LSU41
200611/18LSU23Ole Miss20
200511/19Ole Miss7LSU40
200411/20LSU27Ole Miss24
200311/22Ole Miss14LSU17
200110/27LSU24Ole Miss35
200011/10Ole Miss9LSU20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss855 Overs
LSU1774 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 911 - 17 - 04 - 1
Road Teams9 - 161 - 111 - 40 - 7

(#11) LSU at (#17) MISS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLSUMISS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #11 #17
SP+SP+ #32 #7
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #6 #23
Blue ChipsBC% #4 #18
LSU on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LSU OffMISS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #108 #51
ExplosiveExp #91 #96
PPAPPA #121 #57
PowerPwr #13 #19
SP+SP+ #75 #20
Pts POPPO #104 #23
HavocHav #113 #46
LSU Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LSU OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #122 #77
Run ExplRExp #87 #120
PPAExp #121 #116
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #132 #105
Stuff RateStuff #133 #83
TackleTak - NR
LSU Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LSU OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #84 #29
Pass ExplPExl #109 #65
PPAExp #105 #20
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #116 #57
DB HavocDB #99 #32
Ole Miss on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatMISS OffLSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #16 #30
ExplosiveExp #42 #60
PPAPPA #14 #28
PowerPwr #16 #7
SP+SP+ #3 #11
Pts POPPO #19 #32
HavocHav #34 #40
Ole Miss Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
MISS OffLSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #52 #34
Run ExplRExp #66 #40
PPAExp #49 #18
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #100 #15
Stuff RateStuff #107 #9
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatMISS OffLSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #7 #44
Pass ExplPExl #60 #71
PPAExp #8 #39
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #21 #93
DB HavocDB #72 #11
Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat LSU last year (24-19)
LSU beat Ole Miss in 2024 (29-26)
Ole Miss beat LSU in 2023 (55-49)

  
LSU's OC Charlie Weis Jr (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt (Tr)14523961%16281036.8
Husan Longstreet (Tr)131587%103106.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Trey Holly16283095.180
Caden Durham11150534.551
Harlem Berry10449124.743
Sam Leavitt (Tr)7330654.252
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jackson Harris (Tr)499631219.778
Tre' Brown III (Tr)38762420.198
Jayce Brown (Tr)41712517.478
Trey'Dez Green33433713.142

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Blake Baker (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Benefield (Tr)1059013
TJ Dottery (Tr)986212
Davhon Keys894162
Tamarcus Cooley702012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Princewill Umanmielen (Tr)45139131
Stephiylan Green (Tr)183311
Jordan Ross (Tr)244222
Dylan Carpenter93200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
P.J. Woodland382128
Ty Benefield (Tr)1059013
DJ Pickett353203

MISS's OC John David Baker (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trinidad Chambliss29444566%39372238.8
Walker Howard (Tr)184144%155033.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua Dye (Tr)2701660246.192
Kewan Lacy3061567245.173
Trinidad Chambliss13352784.041
Makhi Frazier (Tr)11652024.549
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Deuce Alexander44684215.588
Johntay Cook II47559211.959
Darrell Gill Jr. (Tr)32506515.843
Caleb Odom19197210.440

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Patrick Toney (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keaton Thomas (Tr)997113
Luke Ferrelli (Tr)915111
Suntarine Perkins81135125
Kamarion Franklin6995143
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamarion Franklin6995143
William Echoles6812565
Jonathan Maldonado (Tr)389514
Suntarine Perkins81135125
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antonio Kite330005
Suntarine Perkins81135125
William Echoles6812565