Louisville at Ole Miss - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 5th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Nissan Stadium - Nashville, TN

Cardinals (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (28 - 12)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (23 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#41)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Ole Miss -12.5 (SP+ MISS -12)
Projected Score: LOU: 21 - MISS: 33 (54)
MISS Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
LOU Travel: 152 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Rebels (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pete Golding (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (39 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12 - 1 (#3)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LOU Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisville's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Louisville at Ole Miss	+12.5
Fri 9/11	Louisville vs Villanova	-34
Sat 9/19	Louisville vs SMU	-1.5
Sat 9/26	Louisville vs Wake Forest	-7
Sat 10/3	Louisville at NC State	-1
Fri 10/9	Louisville vs Florida State	-5.5
Sat 10/17	Louisville at Syracuse	-15.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Louisville vs Stanford	-18
Fri 11/6	Louisville at Georgia Tech	-1
Sat 11/14	Louisville at North Carolina	-9
Sat 11/21	Louisville vs Pittsburgh	-5
Sat 11/28	Louisville at Kentucky	-5.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Ole Miss vs Louisville	-12.5
Sat 9/12	Ole Miss vs Charlotte	-45.5
Sat 9/19	Ole Miss vs LSU	-6
Sat 9/26	Ole Miss at Florida	-8.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Ole Miss at Vanderbilt	-1.5
Sat 10/17	Ole Miss vs Missouri	-6
Sat 10/24	Ole Miss at Texas	+3.5
Sat 10/31	Ole Miss vs Auburn	-10
Sat 11/7	Ole Miss vs Georgia	+3.5
Sat 11/14	Ole Miss at Oklahoma	+2
Sat 11/21	Ole Miss vs Wofford	-44
Fri 11/27	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	-16.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	#84 (.15)	45% (44)	29.9	50% (8)	2.75 (105)	164	41% (74)	221	3.62 (77)	#15 (.05)	37% (16)	21.2	38% (15)	37% (19)	3.38 (43)	63.2	1.3	1.5
MISS	#14 (.3)	48% (16)	36.9	45% (52)	2.79 (100)	177	51% (7)	313	4.44 (19)	#57 (.13)	40% (51)	21.1	43% (77)	38% (29)	3.1 (23)	52.4	0.9	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Offense	13	29.9	23	44.7%	3.62	1.3	20	385	164	221	5.1	44%	53%	50%	41%	17%	.15
MISS Defense	15	21.1	15.6	40%	3.1	1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	43%	38%	17%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Defense	13	21.2	25.5	36.7%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	38%	37%	17%	.05
MISS Offense	15	36.9	39	47.8%	4.44	0.9	25	490	177	313	4.6	50%	49%	45%	51%	13%	.3

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisville	13	30:12	19.6	35%	64%	6.9	63.2	1.3	1.5	5.9	2.4	2	32.4
Ole Miss	15	28:45	25.4	43%	68%	5.5	52.4	0.9	1	5.5	2.2	0	28.1

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Offense	13	44% (111)	50% (8)	32.3	164	5.1	25 (70)	.21 (21)	2.75 (105)	65% (108)	10% (98)	1.08 (28)
MISS Defense	15	50% (68)	43% (77)	-	-	-	-	.19 (116)	3.11 (105)	70% (59)	10% (57)	1.08 (120)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Defense	13	46% (17)	38% (15)	-	-	-	-	.07 (51)	2.74 (41)	75% (97)	11% (38)	0.95 (63)
MISS Offense	15	50% (64)	45% (52)	38.1	176.7	4.6	39 (11)	.15 (49)	2.79 (100)	78% (25)	7% (21)	0.96 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Offense	13	53% (35)	41% (74)	20.6	32.2	220.6	6.9	10.7	18 (75)	9 (60)	.13 (119)	1.4 (131)	28% (21)	27% (104)	.14 (124)	6% (90)	1.9 (107)
MISS Defense	15	48% (68)	38% (29)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (100)	.13 (20)	1.6 (65)	33% (41)	30% (79)	.29 (67)	7% (32)	2.1 (94)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Defense	13	53% (120)	37% (19)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (6)	.06 (6)	1.4 (7)	34% (24)	24% (8)	.11 (9)	7% (38)	1.9 (23)
MISS Offense	15	49% (65)	51% (7)	22.7	34.9	313.3	9	13.8	26 (50)	8 (60)	.46 (8)	1.6 (60)	28% (19)	38% (8)	.53 (7)	6% (72)	2.2 (23)

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 8.63 #30
Louisville's Offense Rating: 14.86 #36
Louisville's Defense Rating: 11.23 #31
2026 Talent Rating: 750.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Louisville's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Louisville's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4 #25
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #39
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 8.63 Ole Miss: 23.06

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 12.4 Ole Miss: 24.0

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 23.06 #17
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 20.26 #16
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.14 #19
2026 Talent Rating: 936.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Ole Miss's 2026 Expected Record: 12.0 - 1.0
Ole Miss's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0 #7
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.4 #3
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 985.38
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Louisville's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 33
Louisville 21

Projected Total Points: 54

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Ole Miss's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/06	Ole Miss	43	Louisville	24	Ole Miss -9	Ole Miss	74.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	1	1	0 Overs
Louisville	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#30) LOU at (#17) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LOU	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#30	#17
SP+SP+	#25	#7
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#64	#23
Blue ChipsBC%	#46	#18

Louisville Injury Report

Ole Miss Injury Report

Louisville on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	LOU Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#44	#51
ExplosiveExp	#90	#96
PPAPPA	#84	#57
PowerPwr	#36	#19
SP+SP+	#39	#20
Pts POPPO	#77	#23
HavocHav	#93	#46

Louisville Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	LOU Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#8	#77
Run ExplRExp	#28	#120
PPAExp	#21	#116
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#105	#105
Stuff RateStuff	#122	#83
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisville Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	LOU Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#74	#29
Pass ExplPExl	#131	#65
PPAExp	#119	#20
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#98	#57
DB HavocDB	#90	#32

Ole Miss on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	LOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#16	#16
ExplosiveExp	#42	#26
PPAPPA	#14	#15
PowerPwr	#16	#31
SP+SP+	#3	#29
Pts POPPO	#19	#43
HavocHav	#34	#33

Ole Miss Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#52	#15
Run ExplRExp	#66	#63
PPAExp	#49	#51
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#100	#41
Stuff RateStuff	#107	#52
TackleTak	-	NR

Ole Miss Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#7	#19
Pass ExplPExl	#60	#7
PPAExp	#8	#6
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#21	#38
DB HavocDB	#72	#38

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Title Contenders

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nissan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

LOU's OC Brian Brohm (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Lincoln Kienholz (Tr)	11	14	79%	139	1	0	9.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keyjuan Brown	96	704	6	7.3	67
Braxton Jennings	37	200	1	5.4	22
Marquise Davis (Tr)	34	200	2	5.9	23
Shaun Boykins	37	190	1	5.1	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Richardson (Tr)	47	810	7	17.2	75
Jackson Voth (Tr)	48	536	4	11.2	35
Brody Foley (Tr)	36	521	7	14.5	72
Lawayne McCoy (Tr)	27	403	3	14.9	34

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Ron English (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Angelo Hutchinson	84	3	0	2	5
Koen Entringer (Tr)	73	4	0	1	3
Clev Lubin	59	13	8	7	3
Corey Gordon	53	3	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Clev Lubin	59	13	8	7	3
Tyler Thompson (Tr)	26	8	7	1	1
Adonijah Green	31	6	4	4	0
Antonio Watts	42	7	3	2	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Angelo Hutchinson	84	3	0	2	5
Tayon Holloway	42	4	1	0	4
Clev Lubin	59	13	8	7	3

MISS's OC John David Baker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Trinidad Chambliss	294	445	66%	3937	22	3	8.8
Walker Howard (Tr)	18	41	44%	155	0	3	3.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joshua Dye (Tr)	270	1660	24	6.1	92
Kewan Lacy	306	1567	24	5.1	73
Trinidad Chambliss	133	527	8	4.0	41
Makhi Frazier (Tr)	116	520	2	4.5	49

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Deuce Alexander	44	684	2	15.5	88
Johntay Cook II	47	559	2	11.9	59
Darrell Gill Jr. (Tr)	32	506	5	15.8	43
Caleb Odom	19	197	2	10.4	40

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Patrick Toney (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keaton Thomas (Tr)	99	7	1	1	3
Luke Ferrelli (Tr)	91	5	1	1	1
Suntarine Perkins	81	13	5	12	5
Kamarion Franklin	69	9	5	14	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kamarion Franklin	69	9	5	14	3
William Echoles	68	12	5	6	5
Jonathan Maldonado (Tr)	38	9	5	1	4
Suntarine Perkins	81	13	5	12	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antonio Kite	33	0	0	0	5
Suntarine Perkins	81	13	5	12	5
William Echoles	68	12	5	6	5