Massachusetts at Iowa - 2025 Matchup Preview
Massachusetts logo Massachusetts Minutemen at Iowa HawkeyesIowa logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Iowa -35.5 (44.5) (0)  Open: -35.5
Iowa 47 - Massachusetts: 7

 
Minutemen (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Joe Harasymiak (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 39 (7 - 47 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#135)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Our Line: Iowa -40.5   (SP+ IOWA -40)
Projected Score: UMASS: 3 - IOWA: 44 (47)
IOWA Win prob: 98% | Cover: 46%
UMASS Travel: 975 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Hawkeyes (2 - 1) (1 - 1 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (204 - 123)
Avg Score : 31 - 10 (41 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
Massachusetts's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Massachusetts vs Temple+3.051.5L 10 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 Massachusetts vs Bryant-14.552.0L 26 - 27ON
Sat 9/13 Massachusetts at Iowa+35.544.5L 7 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Massachusetts at Missouri+50.5
Sat 10/4 Massachusetts vs Western Michigan+4
Sat 10/11 Massachusetts at Kent State+6.5
Sat 10/18 Massachusetts vs Buffalo+16.5
Sat 10/25 Massachusetts at Central Michigan+5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Massachusetts at Akron+7
Wed 11/12 Massachusetts vs Northern Illinois+14.5
Tue 11/18 Massachusetts at Ohio+20.5
Tue 11/25 Massachusetts vs Bowling Green+10

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Iowa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Iowa vs UAlbany-39.548.5W 34 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Iowa at Iowa State+3.043.0L 13 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 Iowa vs Massachusetts-35.544.5W 47 - 7OY
Fri 9/19 Iowa at Rutgers-2.545.5
Sat 9/27 Iowa vs Indiana+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Iowa at Wisconsin-2.5
Sat 10/18 Iowa vs Penn State+14
Sat 10/25 Iowa vs Minnesota-3
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Iowa vs Oregon+13.5
Sat 11/15 Iowa at USC+14.5
Sat 11/22 Iowa vs Michigan State-8
Fri 11/28 Iowa at Nebraska+6.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS#120 (.06)41% (92)14.335% (119)2.25 (124)7746% (50)1832.73 (121)#113 (.25)42% (87)38.738% (64)46% (106)4.24 (98)4510.7
IOWA#61 (.22)47% (45)31.354% (23)3.82 (8)21434% (114)1224.89 (35)#34 (.03)34% (30)1034% (31)34% (40)3.75 (76)210.70.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)43% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)51% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)44% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)46% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense314.3740.7%2.73116260771832.746%53%35%46%19%.06
IOWA Defense310734.1%3.750.3 - - - - - 47%53%34%34%18%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense338.74742.5%4.240.7 - - - - - 40%59%38%46%9%.25
IOWA Offense331.340.546.7%4.890.7193362141224.961%39%54%34%10%.22

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts330:0515.728%20%54510.72.71.3127.1
Iowa333:1619.354%67%2.3210.70.36.32.3133.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense346% (93)35% (119)2876.72.74 (79)-.04 (120)2.25 (124)60% (103)13% (121)1.14 (35)
IOWA Defense347% (46)34% (31) - - - - (48)2.81 (74)100% (127)14% (26)0.82 (42)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense340% (9)38% (64) - - - - .1 (90)3.39 (126)75% (80)4% (134)0.81 (35)
IOWA Offense361% (15)54% (23)442144.96 (49).26 (37)3.82 (8)85% (27)7% (46)0.79 (114)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense353% (48)46% (50)19.331.31835.89.50 (133)2 (60).22 (82)1.1 (133)34% (103)32% (67).32 (74)6% (96)2 (74)
IOWA Defense353% (93)34% (40) - - - - - - 0.05 (28)1 (5)37% (36)15% (13)-.02 (19)5% (99)1.2 (2)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense359% (126)46% (106) - - - - - - 2 (56).4 (115)1.6 (94)30% (103)25% (42).11 (33)4% (100)1.8 (46)
IOWA Offense339% (121)34% (114)14.323.7121.75.18.54 (72)1 (23).17 (98)1.5 (88)21% (9)21% (122).03 (122)3% (14)1 (135)

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -19.00 #127
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 20.39 #121
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Massachusetts's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Massachusetts's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -28.8 #136
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #129
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 44.9 #136

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -19.00   Iowa: 16.465

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -28.8   Iowa: 11.0




Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 16.465 #37
Iowa's Offense Rating: 13.80 #63
Iowa's Defense Rating: -3.13 #14
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Iowa's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Iowa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #34
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #78
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 38.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 47

Massachusetts's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa 44
Massachusetts 3


Total Points: 47

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Iowa's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Iowa47Massachusetts7IowaIowa -35.5Iowa44.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa111 Overs
Massachusetts000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#127) Massachusetts Info
Power Rating: -19.00 #127
Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Defense Rating: 20.39 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -28.8 #136
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 44.9 #136
Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.73 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Massachusetts has lost 2 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Massachusetts Notes
(9/9) Long list of injuries pre Iowa, check report
(8/30) Killed by Temple? Barely 300 yds, gave up 450+
(8/30) Def could be bottom 10, allowed 6 TD passes
(3/21) QB G. Jordan (Yale) or Rose (Utah)?
(3/21) RBs meh. Hester has exp. Campbell top rated
(3/21) WR rebuild. JAGs,not much size
(3/21) OL 5/5 back. Not bad, could be good TY
(3/21) Def near worst LY. 12 portals. Any ballers?
(3/21) New HC Harasymiak was 'Gers DC. Tough job
(3/21) New OC Bajakian all over, NFL, Utah, NW

Massachusetts Highlights

Massachusetts Deficiencies
Massachusetts has a really bad Offense
Massachusetts Can Not Run the Ball (#126)
Massachusetts offense is not Explosive (#108)
Massachusetts Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#124)
Massachusetts offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#121)
Massachusetts run game is really bad (#119)
Massachusetts offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Massachusetts Does Not Stuff Runs (#133)
Massachusetts has a bad defensive line (#126)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatIOWAUMASS
OverallOver#16#91
OffenseOff#24#106
DefenseDef#13#69
Special TeamsST#77#87
PassingPass#73#96
RushingRush#46#101
Run BlockRBLK#1#85
Pass BlockPBLK#28#113
Route RunningWR Rt#91#88
TacklingTkl#37#4
Run DefenseR Def#30#42
Pass Rush DefPRush#4#21
Coverage DefCov#46#106

Rematch from Week 3
Iowa -35.5 (44.5)
Iowa won vs Massachusetts this year (47-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UMASS | IOWA
Depth Chart: UMASS | IOWA
Rosters: UMASS | IOWA
(#37) Iowa Info
Power Rating: 16.465 #37
Offense Rating: 13.80 #63
Defense Rating: -3.13 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #34
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #12
Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 47%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.89 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Iowa has lost 1 straight
Iowa has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Iowa Notes
(9/6) QB Gronowski is shockingly awful. WR are trash
(9/1) Gronowski really bad (44 yds), hiding vs FCS?
(8/28) WR Vaner Zee out about a month (foot)
(6/6) OL 3/5 back. Have options, PFF top 10 OL
(5/27) Warren Ruggiero (Wake OC) is Sr Off Analyst
(5/21) WRs bad LY, only 1 portal add (FCS)? No obv TE
(5/21) LB a big ? this year. Not one has 100 snaps
(5/2) DT Graves/ S Nwankpa both top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OL G L Jones/T G Dunker top 10 via PFF
(3/31) QB Gronowski (SDSU) big add. Surgery ?'s

Iowa Highlights
Iowa is Undefeated at Home

Iowa has Really Good Running Game (#24)
Iowa has a top Offensive Line (#8)
Iowa offense is good on 3rd downs
Iowa does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#1)

Iowa has a really good defense (#30)
Iowa defense does not give up big plays (#5)
Iowa Front 7 is disruptive (#26)
Iowa has a great TO Margin (#28)
Iowa commits very few Penalties (#1)
Iowa defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Iowa Deficiencies
Iowa offense is not Explosive (#130)
Iowa pass game is really bad (#114)


  
Massachusetts's OC Mike Bajakian
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brandon Rose (Tr)274461%217014.9
Grant Jordan (Tr)243863%248016.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rocko Griffin (Tr)3014214.741
Brandon Hood (Tr)164212.618
Jacquon Gibson31103.713
Grant Jordan (Tr)171020.619
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacquon Gibson24258010.850
Donnie Gray (Tr)587017.441
Tyree Kelly (Tr)552010.415
Max Dowling (Tr)54208.419

View Massachusetts's Full Roster
Massachusetts's DC Jared Keyte
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)242101
Derrieon Craig230001
Tyler Martin190001
Kendall Bournes151000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques White64211
Tim Grant-Randall92111
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)242101
Donovan Dyson20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Magee (Tr)90002
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)242101
Tyler Martin190001

Iowa's OC Tim Lester
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mark Gronowski (Tr)376359%306314.9
Hank Brown (Tr)6875%59107.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Williams2618617.243
Jaziun Patterson2816105.817
Terrell Washington Jr.239504.113
Mark Gronowski (Tr)338832.713
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Phillips (Tr)490022.545
Jacob Gill780011.422
Seth Anderson64026.720
Nathan Mcneil132032.032

View Iowa's Full Roster
Iowa's DC Phil Parker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Harrell191110
Karson Sharar162000
Zach Lutmer152101
Xavier Nwankpa110000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Llewellyn64300
Jaden Harrell191110
Zach Lutmer152101
Aaron Graves83120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Hall80003
Luke Gaffney00001
Deshaun Lee90001