Massachusetts at Iowa - 2025 Matchup Preview
Massachusetts logo Massachusetts Minutemen at Iowa HawkeyesIowa logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Iowa -35.5 (44.5) (0)  Open: -35.5
Iowa 47 - Massachusetts: 7

 
Minutemen (0 - 9) (2 - 7 - 0)
Coach Joe Harasymiak (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 11 - 37 (8 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0.5 - 11.5 (#136)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Our Line: Iowa -47.5  (SP+ IOWA -48)
Projected Score: UMASS: -0 - IOWA: 47 (47)
IOWA Win prob: 98% | Cover: 46%
UMASS Travel: 975 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Hawkeyes (6 - 3) (6 - 2 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (204 - 123)
Avg Score : 30 - 14 (30 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
Massachusetts's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Massachusetts vs Temple+3.051.5L 10 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 Massachusetts vs Bryant-14.552.0L 26 - 27ON
Sat 9/13 Massachusetts at Iowa+35.544.5L 7 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Massachusetts at Missouri+44.557.5L 6 - 42UY
Sat 10/4 Massachusetts vs Western Michigan+12.546.5L 3 - 21UN
Sat 10/11 Massachusetts at Kent State+1.549.5L 6 - 42UN
Sat 10/18 Massachusetts vs Buffalo+16.547.5L 21 - 28OY
Sat 10/25 Massachusetts at Central Michigan+16.546.5L 13 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Massachusetts at Akron+12.551.5L 10 - 44ON
Wed 11/12 Massachusetts vs Northern Illinois+14
Tue 11/18 Massachusetts at Ohio+25
Tue 11/25 Massachusetts vs Bowling Green+9.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Iowa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Iowa vs UAlbany-39.548.5W 34 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Iowa at Iowa State+3.043.0L 13 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 Iowa vs Massachusetts-35.544.5W 47 - 7OY
Fri 9/19 Iowa at Rutgers-2.546.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/27 Iowa vs Indiana+9.547.5L 15 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Iowa at Wisconsin-5.537.5W 37 - 0UY
Sat 10/18 Iowa vs Penn State-3.541.5W 25 - 24ON
Sat 10/25 Iowa vs Minnesota-7.539.5W 41 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Iowa vs Oregon+4.541.5L 16 - 18UY
Sat 11/15 Iowa at USC+5
Sat 11/22 Iowa vs Michigan State-17.5
Fri 11/28 Iowa at Nebraska-5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS#135 (-.03)33% (134)11.332% (135)2.04 (129)7334% (129)1532.03 (136)#116 (.23)48% (129)36.848% (125)48% (125)4.42 (119)41.70.90.8
IOWA#72 (.17)45% (38)29.651% (8)3.48 (7)16537% (120)1184.29 (39)#23 (.05)38% (23)13.740% (47)36% (22)3.37 (39)20.30.71.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)43% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)51% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)44% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)46% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense911.38.433.3%2.030.914226731532.845%54%32%34%22%-.03
IOWA Defense913.713.237.6%3.371.2 - - - - - 50%49%40%36%19%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense936.842.647.6%4.420.8 - - - - - 47%53%48%48%10%.23
IOWA Offense929.629.745.1%4.290.7152831651184.859%41%51%37%12%.17

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts924:0913.628%20%5.641.70.90.83.31.2126.7
Iowa927:4415.445%70%2.120.30.71.251.9434.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense945% (108)32% (135)25.872.62.86 (122)-.03 (124)2.04 (129)62% (125)13% (128)1.12 (14)
IOWA Defense950% (67)40% (47) - - - - .02 (28)2.67 (58)68% (46)12% (26)0.86 (27)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense947% (34)48% (125) - - - - .11 (88)3.41 (134)79% (113)7% (131)0.71 (2)
IOWA Offense959% (12)51% (8)34164.74.820 (23).24 (17)3.48 (7)84% (3)9% (45)0.87 (111)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense954% (29)34% (129)16.131.3153.24.99.53 (134)7 (88).01 (133)1.3 (134)39% (136)25% (115).12 (122)9% (133)2 (73)
IOWA Defense949% (68)36% (22) - - - - - - 9 (38).13 (28)1.4 (14)31% (76)22% (4).14 (16)7% (27)1.9 (38)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense953% (104)48% (125) - - - - - - 4 (75).36 (116)1.5 (59)26% (133)30% (77).29 (74)3% (134)1.9 (49)
IOWA Offense941% (121)37% (120)13.320.9117.95.68.85 (128)5 (60).13 (112)1.3 (128)25% (5)24% (126).1 (127)3% (4)1.4 (136)

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -22.46  #135
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: -1.23  #135
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 21.23  #130
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00  #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Massachusetts's 2025 Expected Record: 0.5 - 11.5
Massachusetts's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -30.9  #136
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.7  #135
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.1  #135

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -22.46   Iowa: 20.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -30.9   Iowa: 17.1




Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 20.745  #21
Iowa's Offense Rating: 14.97  #40
Iowa's Defense Rating: -4.42  #13
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14  #33
Iowa's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
Iowa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.1  #17
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9  #48
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.0  #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.4
Defense: 36.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.6

Massachusetts's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 9
Record vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa 47
Massachusetts -0


Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Iowa 37
Massachusetts 16

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Iowa 35
Massachusetts 12

Total Points: 47
Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 13.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.2

Iowa's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Iowa47Massachusetts7Iowa -35.5Iowa44.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa111 Overs
Massachusetts000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#135) UMASS at (#21) IOWA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUMASSIOWA
Power RatePwr #135 #21
SP+SP+ #136 #17
Perf GradeGrade #136 #7
OffenseOff #136 #21
DefenseDef #126 #13
Spec TeamsST #116 #8
TalentTal #109 #41
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #33
Massachusetts Notes
(11/4) Killed by Akron, 169 total yds, 3 TOs. Worst FBS
(10/31) Worst program in CFB, but fair everyone is hurt
(10/31) UMass disgrace to MAC, should drop to FCS
(10/30) Only competitive in 2 games & 1 was L to Bryant
(10/24) 13 starters from Week 1 are out now.
(10/15) Have not scored 7+ points in any game over a month
(10/12) Blown out by Kent? UMass is worst team in CFB
(10/12) There is nothing here to like or fear. Mid FCS at best
(9/25) DBs are extremely banged up, moving CB to S
(9/25) 17 pts vs 2 FBS teams, 0 in the 2nd half
(9/25) QB1 B Rose is out, Hairston & Jordan playing
(8/30) Killed by Temple? Barely 300 yds, gave up 450+
Massachusetts Injury Report
Iowa Notes
(10/27) 41 pts on < 300 yds vs Minn. Def was incredible
(10/22) Least penalized team in CFB, both for & against
(10/19) Tired Off, beat PSU by 1 w/ backup QB. Def good
(10/8) QB Gronowski trending towards playing vs Wisc
(9/29) Off awful vs IU, sub 300 yds. Run Def great, Off bad
(9/29) Lost 11 straight vs ranked opps thru IU game
(9/19) QB Gronowski limited but improving. WR suck
(9/19) If refs call Def holding these CB's are cooked
(9/10) Starting TE Ostrenga out for the season
(9/1) Gronowski really bad (44 yds), hiding vs FCS?
(8/28) WR Vaner Zee out about a month (foot)
(6/6) OL 3/5 back. Have options, PFF top 10 OL
Iowa Injury Report
Massachusetts on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UMASS OffIOWA Def
Perf GradePerf #136 #13
SuccessSuc #134 #23
ExplosiveExp #92 #8
PPAPPA #135 #23
PowerPwr #135 #13
SP+SP+ #135 #6
Pts POPPO #136 #39
HavocHav #135 #21
Massachusetts Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UMASS OffIOWA Def
Run GameRun #132 #43
Run SuccessRSuc #135 #47
Run ExplRExp #14 #27
PPAExp #124 #28
Run BlockR Blk #86 -
OL YdsOLY #129 #58
Stuff RateStuff #135 #35
TackleTak -  #57
Massachusetts Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UMASS OffIOWA Def
Pass GamePass #110 #15
Pass SuccessPSuc #129 #22
Pass ExplPExl #134 #14
PPAExp #133 #28
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #134 #8
F7 HavocF7 #128 #26
DB HavocDB #133 #27
Iowa on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatIOWA OffUMASS Def
Perf GradePerf #21 #126
SuccessSuc #38 #129
ExplosiveExp #136 #14
PPAPPA #72 #116
PowerPwr #40 #130
SP+SP+ #48 #135
Pts POPPO #39 #119
HavocHav #11 #134
Iowa Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
IOWA OffUMASS Def
Run GameRun #29 #97
Run SuccessRSuc #8 #125
Run ExplRExp #111 #2
PPAExp #17 #88
Run BlockR Blk #1 -
OL YdsOLY #7 #134
Stuff RateStuff #11 #134
TackleTak -  #24
Iowa Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatIOWA OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePass #68 #135
Pass SuccessPSuc #120 #125
Pass ExplPExl #128 #59
PPAExp #112 #116
Pass Block/RushP Blk #5 #42
F7 HavocF7 #45 #131
DB HavocDB #4 #134
Program Comparison
IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 90° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Iowa -35.5 (44.5)
Iowa won vs Massachusetts this year (47-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UMASS's OC Mike Bajakian (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Hairston9419449%866444.5
Brandon Rose (Tr)366258%289024.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brandon Hood (Tr)7931524.090
Rocko Griffin (Tr)4521624.843
Juwuan Price239404.127
Grant Jordan (Tr)246122.547
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacquon Gibson4239309.450
Donnie Gray (Tr)17195011.541
Max Dowling (Tr)15168211.277
Jake McConnachie (Tr)1413409.621

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Jared Keyte (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martin722002
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)694222
Derrieon Craig611111
Rashad Henry482000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques White3811531
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)694222
Tim Grant-Randall253221
Malachi Madison (Tr)91110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martin722002
TJ Magee (Tr)90002
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)694222

IOWA's OC Tim Lester (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mark Gronowski (Tr)11718364%1084545.9
Hank Brown (Tr)112152%107115.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamari Moulton10552225.022
Mark Gronowski (Tr)88338123.867
Xavier Williams4125536.243
Jaziun Patterson4122605.517
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Phillips (Tr)13216016.645
Jacob Gill17193011.438
Kaden Wetjen1713217.828
DJ Vonnahme1210718.940

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Karson Sharar567130
Koen Entringer534001
Xavier Nwankpa510010
Zach Lutmer493104
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Llewellyn209643
Ethan Hurkett256410
Aaron Graves306430
Karson Sharar567130
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Hall350008
Deshaun Lee261005
Zach Lutmer493104