Iowa at Nebraska - 2025 Matchup Preview
Iowa logo Iowa Hawkeyes at Nebraska CornhuskersNebraska logo
Friday, November 28th 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
Iowa -5.5 (38.5) (-225)  Open: -2.5 | 44.5
Iowa 40 - Nebraska: 16  (Big Ten)

 
Hawkeyes (9 - 4) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (204 - 123)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (30 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#50)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 26.8°
IOWA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Iowa -11.5  (SP+ IOWA -11)

Projected Score: IOWA: 27 - NEB: 16 (43)
IOWA Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
IOWA Travel: 274 miles
Cornhuskers (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Matt Rhule (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Iowa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Iowa vs UAlbany-39.548.5W 34 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Iowa at Iowa State+3.043.0L 13 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 Iowa vs Massachusetts-35.544.5W 47 - 7OY
Fri 9/19 Iowa at Rutgers-2.546.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/27 Iowa vs Indiana+9.547.5L 15 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Iowa at Wisconsin-5.537.5W 37 - 0UY
Sat 10/18 Iowa vs Penn State-3.541.5W 25 - 24ON
Sat 10/25 Iowa vs Minnesota-7.539.5W 41 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Iowa vs Oregon+4.541.5L 16 - 18UY
Sat 11/15 Iowa at USC+6.548.5L 21 - 26UY
Sat 11/22 Iowa vs Michigan State-17.543.0W 20 - 17UN
Fri 11/28 Iowa at Nebraska-5.538.5W 40 - 16OY
Wed 12/31 Iowa vs Vanderbilt+3.047.5W 34 - 27OY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Nebraska's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Nebraska vs Cincinnati-6.552.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Nebraska vs Akron-34.047.5W 68 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Nebraska vs Houston Christian-48.558.5W 59 - 7OY
Sat 9/20 Nebraska vs Michigan+1.547.5L 27 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Nebraska vs Michigan State-12.548.5W 38 - 27ON
Sat 10/11 Nebraska at Maryland-7.047.5W 34 - 31ON
Fri 10/17 Nebraska at Minnesota-7.047.5L 6 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Nebraska vs Northwestern-7.544.5W 28 - 21ON
Sat 11/1 Nebraska vs USC+4.559.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 11/8 Nebraska at UCLA+1.545.5W 28 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Nebraska at Penn State+7.545.5L 10 - 37ON
Fri 11/28 Nebraska vs Iowa+5.538.5L 16 - 40ON
Wed 12/31 Nebraska vs Utah+13.551.5L 22 - 44ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA#76 (.16)44% (47)29.349% (15)3.41 (7)16438% (107)1274.39 (25)#19 (.06)39% (35)16.141% (58)38% (32)3.27 (35)26.10.91.1
NEB#75 (.16)47% (21)28.748% (19)3.19 (23)13546% (29)2113.91 (51)#85 (.18)42% (73)24.646% (112)37% (21)4.19 (117)40.80.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)44% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)46% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8
NEB#74 (.18)45% (37)48% (22)3.21 (40)12143% (55)2103.38 (114)#44 (.13)40% (50)39% (24)42% (82)3.06 (11)48.91.31.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Offense1329.329.844.4%4.390.9162911641274.660%38%49%38%11%.16
NEB Defense1324.620.942%4.191 - - - - - 55%43%46%37%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Defense1316.117.238.9%3.271.1 - - - - - 50%48%41%38%17%.06
NEB Offense1328.736.146.9%3.910.8193461352114.349%49%48%46%13%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa1328:581643%67%2.626.10.91.14.41.6533
Nebraska1328:081945%36%4.240.80.814.61.5232.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense1360% (12)49% (15)35.9164.14.626 (23).2 (29)3.41 (7)83% (5)8% (32)0.87 (112)
NEB Defense1355% (122)46% (112) - - - - .24 (132)3.23 (121)78% (115)10% (49)1.14 (131)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense1350% (63)41% (58) - - - - .07 (51)2.87 (68)69% (51)10% (49)0.87 (23)
NEB Offense1349% (70)48% (19)31.4135.54.318 (60).11 (69)3.19 (23)76% (45)9% (54)0.78 (130)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense1338% (126)38% (107)12.620.3126.86.310.110 (128)7 (60).19 (100)1.5 (92)26% (13)25% (120).13 (126)3% (4)1.8 (120)
NEB Defense1343% (11)37% (21) - - - - - - 6 (100).15 (30)1.4 (20)31% (71)33% (114).39 (113)5% (122)1.9 (45)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense1348% (67)38% (32) - - - - - - 11 (38).14 (23)1.3 (4)29% (112)23% (5).17 (19)7% (31)1.9 (47)
NEB Offense1349% (71)46% (29)18.826.9210.67.811.222 (14)6 (60).24 (75)1.4 (126)25% (5)33% (41).41 (31)4% (12)2 (82)

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 18.78  #20
Iowa's Offense Rating: 14.86  #41
Iowa's Defense Rating: -3.92  #20
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14%  #33
Iowa's 2025 Expected Record: 8.4 - 4.6
Iowa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5  #15
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #48
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3  #7

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 18.78   Nebraska: 6.555

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 17.5   Nebraska: 6.6




Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 6.555  #64
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 6.53  #83
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 5.02  #46
2025 Talent Rating: 986.00  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 27  #22
Nebraska's 2025 Expected Record: 7.1 - 5.9
Nebraska's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6  #46
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9  #60
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.2

Iowa's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa 27
Nebraska 16


Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
Iowa 23
Nebraska 21

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Iowa 26
Nebraska 24

Total Points: 50
Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.9

Nebraska's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/28Nebraska16Iowa40Iowa -5.5Iowa38.5Over
202411/29Iowa13Nebraska10Iowa -3.5Nebraska41.5Under
202311/24Nebraska10Iowa13Nebraska -3Iowa25.5Under
202211/25Iowa17Nebraska24Iowa -10.5Nebraska38.0Over
202111/26Nebraska21Iowa28Nebraska -1.5Iowa41.0Over
202011/27Iowa26Nebraska20Iowa -12.5Nebraska53.5Under
201911/29Nebraska24Iowa27Iowa -4Nebraska46.0Over
201811/23Iowa31Nebraska28Iowa -7.5Nebraska52.0Over
201711/24Nebraska14Iowa56Iowa -5Iowa50.5Over
201611/25Iowa40Nebraska10Iowa -2.5Iowa45.5Over
201511/27Nebraska20Iowa28Iowa -2.5Iowa57.5Under
201411/28Iowa34Nebraska37Iowa -1Nebraska53.0Over
201311/29Nebraska17Iowa38Nebraska -3Iowa0
201211/23Iowa7Nebraska13
201111/25Nebraska20Iowa7
200009/22Nebraska42Iowa13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nebraska568 Overs
Iowa1174 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 102 - 111 - 81 - 3
Road Teams10 - 611 - 23 - 18 - 1

(#20) IOWA at (#64) NEB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatIOWANEB
Power RatePwr #20 #64
SP+SP+ #15 #46
Perf GradeGrade #9 #35
OffenseOff #8 #43
DefenseDef #18 #60
Spec TeamsST #8 #2
TalentTal #41 #14
Blue ChipsBC% #33 #22
Iowa Notes
(11/28) Killed Neb to finish 8-4, 6-3 in B1G. Good season
(11/22) Stop L streak with comeback vs MSU. Found a way
(11/16) 2 hard L's to Ducks/USC. 6-4 feels crossroad-ish
(10/27) 41 pts on < 300 yds vs Minn. Def was incredible
(10/22) Least penalized team in CFB, both for & against
(10/19) Tired Off, beat PSU by 1 w/ backup QB. Def good
(10/8) QB Gronowski trending towards playing vs Wisc
(9/29) Off awful vs IU, sub 300 yds. Run Def great, Off bad
(9/29) Lost 11 straight vs ranked opps thru IU game
(9/19) QB Gronowski limited but improving. WR suck
(9/19) If refs call Def holding these CB's are cooked
(9/10) Starting TE Ostrenga out for the season
Iowa Injury Report
Nebraska Notes
(12/31) Has lost 30 straight games to ranked opponents.
(12/1) DC John Butler fired after only one season
(11/29) Neb has lost 4+ games every season for 22 years
(11/28) Rhule 2-4 since raise, 7 pt W's vs NW/UCLA. Yikes
(11/28) QB TJ Lateef dreadful vs Iowa. Neb needs portal QB '26
(11/28) Matt Rhule is 2-10 in November at Nebraska
(11/26) QB Raiola threatening portal again. Neb better w/o him
(11/22) Loss to Penn St a huge setback. Program going ?
(11/2) Rhule 0-19 vs top 25, Neb streak is now 0-29
(11/2) QB1 Raiola out for season (broken fibula).
(11/1) Hard L vs USC, Raiola inj, Run Def mauled
(10/29) Rhule signs extension, will remain at Nebraska
Nebraska Injury Report
Iowa on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
IOWA OffNEB Def
Perf GradePerf #8 #60
SuccessSuc #47 #73
ExplosiveExp #133 #84
PPAPPA #76 #85
PowerPwr #41 #46
SP+SP+ #48 #39
Pts POPPO #25 #117
HavocHav #6 #98
Iowa Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
IOWA OffNEB Def
Run GameRun #30 #68
Run SuccessRSuc #15 #112
Run ExplRExp #112 #131
PPAExp #29 #132
Run BlockR Blk #1 -
OL YdsOLY #7 #121
Stuff RateStuff #7 #107
TackleTak -  #23
Iowa Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
IOWA OffNEB Def
Pass GamePass #56 #32
Pass SuccessPSuc #107 #21
Pass ExplPExl #92 #20
PPAExp #100 #30
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #4 #126
F7 HavocF7 #32 #49
DB HavocDB #4 #122
Nebraska on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatNEB OffIOWA Def
Perf GradePerf #43 #18
SuccessSuc #21 #35
ExplosiveExp #134 #3
PPAPPA #75 #19
PowerPwr #83 #20
SP+SP+ #60 #7
Pts POPPO #51 #35
HavocHav #25 #44
Nebraska Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
NEB OffIOWA Def
Run GameRun #79 #62
Run SuccessRSuc #19 #58
Run ExplRExp #130 #23
PPAExp #69 #51
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLY #23 #68
Stuff RateStuff #17 #69
TackleTak -  #92
Nebraska Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatNEB OffIOWA Def
Pass GamePass #93 #24
Pass SuccessPSuc #29 #32
Pass ExplPExl #126 #4
PPAExp #75 #23
Pass Block/RushP Blk #18 #7
F7 HavocF7 #54 #49
DB HavocDB #12 #31
Program Comparison
NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 27° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 14
Iowa 5.5 (38.5)
Iowa won at Nebraska this year (40-16)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Nebraska last year (13-10)
Iowa beat Nebraska in 2023 (13-10)
Nebraska beat Iowa in 2022 (24-17)

  
IOWA's OC Tim Lester (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mark Gronowski (Tr)15024063%1529866.4
Hank Brown (Tr)112152%107115.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamari Moulton15678345.034
Mark Gronowski (Tr)120491154.167
Jaziun Patterson5729905.217
Xavier Williams4426035.943
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Vonnahme22288213.143
Sam Phillips (Tr)16261016.345
Jacob Gill22260111.844
Reece Vander Zee11186116.929

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Karson Sharar7810251
Xavier Nwankpa691010
Koen Entringer694013
Zach Lutmer686106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Llewellyn239675
Ethan Hurkett339620
Aaron Graves367531
Karson Sharar7810251
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Hall390008
Zach Lutmer686106
Deshaun Lee341006

NEB's OC Dana Holgorsen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Raiola18125072%20001868.0
TJ Lateef599562%722407.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmett Johnson2511451125.870
Kwinten Ives1611927.428
TJ Lateef279833.614
Isaiah Mozee198304.421
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nyziah Hunter (Tr)43617514.364
Jacory Barney Jr.43463410.852
Dane Key (Tr)35424512.140
Emmett Johnson4637038.056

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC John Butler (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javin Wright838223
DeShon Singleton704124
Rex Guthrie602001
Vincent Shavers Jr.528110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Williams Nwaneri (Tr)275351
Dasan Mccullough (Tr)215231
Kade Pietrzak145231
Keona Davis304211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ceyair Wright251105
DeShon Singleton704124
Donovan Jones512004