Nebraska at Cincinnati - 2025 Matchup Preview

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Cincinnati Bearcats

Thursday, August 28th 2025 (9:00 PM EDT)
Nebraska -6.5 (52.5) (-270) Open: -6.5 | 52.5
Nebraska 20 - Cincinnati: 17

Cornhuskers (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Matt Rhule (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (20 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#69)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Cincinnati -7 (SP+ NEB -1.5)
Projected Score: NEB: 23 - CIN: 30 (53)
NEB Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
NEB Travel: 170 miles

Bearcats (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (34 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#57)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NEB Players
CIN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nebraska's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Nebraska vs Cincinnati	-6.5	52.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/6	Nebraska vs Akron	-34.0	47.5	W 68 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Nebraska vs Houston Christian	-48.5	58.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Nebraska vs Michigan	+1.5	47.5	L 27 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Nebraska vs Michigan State	-12.5	48.5	W 38 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/11	Nebraska at Maryland	-7.0	47.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Fri 10/17	Nebraska at Minnesota	-7.0	47.5	L 6 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/25	Nebraska vs Northwestern	-7.5	44.5	W 28 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/1	Nebraska vs USC	+4.5	59.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/8	Nebraska at UCLA	+1.5	45.5	W 28 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Nebraska at Penn State	+7.5	45.5	L 10 - 37	O	N
Fri 11/28	Nebraska vs Iowa	+5.5	38.5	L 16 - 40	O	N
Wed 12/31	Nebraska vs Utah	+13.5	51.5	L 22 - 44	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule

Cincinnati's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Cincinnati vs Nebraska	+6.5	52.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Cincinnati vs Bowling Green	-21.5	46.5	W 34 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/13	Cincinnati vs Northwestern State	-48.5	55.5	W 70 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Cincinnati at Kansas	+5.5	55.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/4	Cincinnati vs Iowa State	-1.5	55.5	W 38 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Cincinnati vs UCF	-10.0	55.5	W 20 - 11	U	N
Sat 10/18	Cincinnati at Oklahoma State	-23.5	57.5	W 49 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Cincinnati vs Baylor	-3.5	68.5	W 41 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/1	Cincinnati at Utah	+11.5	57.5	L 14 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Cincinnati vs Arizona	-6.5	56.5	L 24 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/22	Cincinnati vs BYU	+2.5	56.5	L 14 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/29	Cincinnati at TCU	+3.0	58.5	L 23 - 45	O	N
Fri 1/2	Cincinnati vs Navy	+7.5	57.5	L 13 - 35	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB	#74 (.18)	45% (37)	28.7	48% (22)	3.21 (40)	121	43% (55)	210	3.38 (114)	#44 (.13)	40% (50)	24.6	39% (24)	42% (82)	3.06 (11)	48.9	1.3	1.2
CIN	#59 (.21)	45% (43)	30.3	44% (67)	3.03 (69)	185	45% (32)	237	3.33 (118)	#75 (.18)	42% (76)	25.6	46% (94)	39% (43)	3.51 (40)	44.4	1.5	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Offense	13	28.7	19.5	45%	3.38	1.3	20	331	121	210	3.8	48%	51%	48%	43%	16%	.18
CIN Defense	12	25.6	19.6	42.2%	3.51	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	46%	39%	16%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Defense	13	24.6	28.3	40.3%	3.06	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	39%	42%	18%	.13
CIN Offense	12	30.3	34.4	44.7%	3.33	1.5	22	422	185	237	5.2	50%	50%	44%	45%	16%	.21

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nebraska	13	29:43	20.1	43%	32%	5.7	48.9	1.3	1.2	5.7	2	3	27.2
Cincinnati	12	31:42	22.1	42%	55%	5.3	44.4	1.5	1.2	5.4	1.6	0	26.4

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Offense	13	48% (80)	48% (22)	31.7	121.1	3.8	20 (67)	.18 (38)	3.21 (40)	83% (8)	10% (71)	0.89 (105)
CIN Defense	12	51% (75)	46% (94)	-	-	-	-	.14 (77)	3.19 (98)	73% (63)	11% (51)	0.95 (49)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Defense	13	47% (29)	39% (24)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (9)	2.72 (26)	69% (40)	12% (33)	0.9 (32)
CIN Offense	12	50% (72)	44% (67)	35.3	185	5.2	19 (73)	.15 (59)	3.03 (69)	71% (84)	11% (93)	1.07 (34)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Offense	13	51% (57)	43% (55)	20.3	31	209.5	6.8	10.3	12 (118)	11 (72)	.21 (91)	1.4 (132)	28% (18)	34% (45)	.31 (79)	6% (67)	1.8 (125)
CIN Defense	12	49% (63)	39% (43)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.23 (71)	1.7 (108)	31% (93)	31% (79)	.34 (86)	5% (87)	2 (66)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Defense	13	52% (101)	42% (82)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.28 (88)	1.6 (89)	33% (52)	31% (80)	.37 (96)	6% (55)	2.2 (98)
CIN Offense	12	50% (63)	45% (32)	21	32.9	236.5	7.2	11.3	18 (68)	7 (26)	.26 (63)	1.4 (121)	30% (41)	36% (20)	.5 (10)	5% (33)	2.1 (67)

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 0.48 #68
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 11.28 #80
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 10.80 #51
2025 Talent Rating: 986.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 27% #22
Nebraska's 2025 Expected Record: 7.1 - 5.9
Nebraska's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.2 #46
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #56
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #44

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 0.48 Cincinnati: 10.42

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 6.2 Cincinnati: 4.5

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 10.42 #17
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 22.32 #19
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 5.98 #28
2025 Talent Rating: 798.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Cincinnati's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 5.2
Cincinnati's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #56
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #50
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #67

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

Nebraska's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Cincinnati 30
Nebraska 23

Projected Total Points: 53

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Cincinnati's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/28	Cincinnati	17	Nebraska	20	Nebraska -6.5	Cincinnati	52.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Cincinnati	0	1	0 Overs
Nebraska	1	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#68) NEB at (#17) CIN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NEB	CIN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#68	#17
SP+SP+	#46	#56
Perf GradeGrade	#40	#34
OffenseOff	#39	#20
DefenseDef	#84	#78
Spec TeamsST	#4	#66
TalentTal	#14	#53
Blue ChipsBC%	#22	#79

Nebraska Notes(12/31) Has lost 30 straight games to ranked opponents.
(12/1) DC John Butler fired after only one season
(11/29) Neb has lost 4+ games every season for 22 years
(11/28) Rhule 2-4 since raise, 7 pt W's vs NW/UCLA. Yikes
(11/28) QB TJ Lateef dreadful vs Iowa. Neb needs portal QB '26
(11/28) Matt Rhule is 2-10 in November at Nebraska
(11/26) QB Raiola threatening portal again. Neb better w/o him
(11/22) Loss to Penn St a huge setback. Program going ?
(11/2) Rhule 0-19 vs top 25, Neb streak is now 0-29
(11/2) QB1 Raiola out for season (broken fibula).
(11/1) Hard L vs USC, Raiola inj, Run Def mauled
(10/29) Rhule signs extension, will remain at Nebraska
Nebraska Injury Report

Cincinnati Notes(11/16) Was Cincy overrated? Finish BYU/TCU will tell
(10/30) RB1 Evan Pryor out for the Utah game
(10/22) OL is criminally underrated, one of best in CFB
(10/12) Five straight wins after ugly W over UCF. Outgained
(10/4) Huge W vs ISU, Run Off mauled for 260+ yds, 8 ypc
(9/23) OL has been great early, int if that will hold up
(9/23) QB Sorsby has really upped his game, dynamic
(8/29) Sorsby passing awful vs Neb, tough runner.
(8/29) Run Off good vs Neb, Run Def good, Pass not
(7/30) Def good LY, lost all DBs. 4 DE/4 DB portals
(6/21) QB, TE good, RB/WR portals, OL ok, Off jump?
(5/31) TE Royer good, can FCS Caldwell be a #1 WR?
Cincinnati Injury Report

Nebraska on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	CIN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#39	#78
SuccessSuc	#37	#76
ExplosiveExp	#129	#75
PPAPPA	#74	#75
PowerPwr	#80	#28
SP+SP+	#56	#67
Pts POPPO	#114	#40
HavocHav	#62	#67

Nebraska Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	#63	#58
Run SuccessRSuc	#22	#94
Run ExplRExp	#105	#49
PPAExp	#38	#77
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	#40	#98
Stuff RateStuff	#7	#56
TackleTak	-	#35

Nebraska Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	#106	#55
Pass SuccessPSuc	#55	#43
Pass ExplPExl	#132	#108
PPAExp	#91	#71
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#11	#130
F7 HavocF7	#71	#51
DB HavocDB	#67	#87

Cincinnati on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	NEB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#20	#84
SuccessSuc	#43	#50
ExplosiveExp	#79	#89
PPAPPA	#59	#44
PowerPwr	#19	#51
SP+SP+	#50	#44
Pts POPPO	#118	#11
HavocHav	#69	#40

Cincinnati Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	NEB Def
Run GameRun	#30	#77
Run SuccessRSuc	#67	#24
Run ExplRExp	#34	#32
PPAExp	#59	#9
Run BlockR Blk	#14	-
OL YdsOLY	#69	#26
Stuff RateStuff	#105	#24
TackleTak	-	#22

Cincinnati Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	NEB Def
Pass GamePass	#12	#53
Pass SuccessPSuc	#32	#82
Pass ExplPExl	#121	#89
PPAExp	#63	#88
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#66	#129
F7 HavocF7	#93	#33
DB HavocDB	#33	#55

Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arrowhead Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Nebraska 6.5 (52.5)
Nebraska won at Cincinnati this year (20-17)

Previous Matchups
Nebraska beat Cincinnati last year (20-17)

NEB's OC Dana Holgorsen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dylan Raiola	181	250	72%	2000	18	6	8.0
TJ Lateef	74	123	60%	904	5	1	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Emmett Johnson	251	1451	12	5.8	70
Mekhi Nelson	27	147	2	5.4	38
Kwinten Ives	20	133	2	6.7	28
TJ Lateef	40	120	4	3.0	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nyziah Hunter (Tr)	43	617	5	14.3	64
Jacory Barney Jr.	45	484	5	10.8	52
Dane Key (Tr)	39	452	5	11.6	40
Emmett Johnson	46	370	3	8.0	56

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC John Butler (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Javin Wright	86	9	3	2	4
DeShon Singleton	70	4	1	2	4
Rex Guthrie	63	2	0	0	1
Vincent Shavers Jr.	61	8	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Javin Wright	86	9	3	2	4
Williams Nwaneri (Tr)	27	5	3	5	1
Kade Pietrzak	16	6	2	3	1
Dasan Mccullough (Tr)	21	5	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ceyair Wright	29	1	1	0	5
Donovan Jones	59	2	0	0	5
Javin Wright	86	9	3	2	4

CIN's OC Brad Glenn (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendan Sorsby	206	335	62%	2786	26	5	8.3
Brady Lichtenberg	14	21	67%	134	2	1	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tawee Walker (Tr)	120	709	4	5.9	54
Brendan Sorsby	100	580	9	5.8	41
Evan Pryor	76	522	3	6.9	46
Manny Covey	27	194	1	7.2	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cyrus Allen (Tr)	50	660	12	13.2	88
Caleb Goodie (Tr)	29	484	2	16.7	82
Jeff Caldwell (Tr)	32	478	6	14.9	40
Joe Royer	29	416	4	14.3	73

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Tyson Veidt (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jake Golday	95	4	4	2	3
Jonathan Thompson	67	9	1	2	0
Trevon Gola-Callard	67	4	0	0	3
Christian Harrison (Tr)	55	3	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jake Golday	95	4	4	2	3
Jalen Hunt	26	6	4	0	0
Jack Dingle	51	3	2	3	0
Montay Weedon	27	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Christian Harrison (Tr)	55	3	7
Logan Wilson	33	2	6
Daniel James	15	0	4