Nebraska at Cincinnati - 2025 Matchup Preview
Nebraska logo Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Cincinnati BearcatsCincinnati logo
Thursday, August 28th 2025 (9:00 PM EDT)
Nebraska -6.5 (52.5) (-270)  Open: -6.5 | 52.5
Nebraska 20 - Cincinnati: 17

 
Cornhuskers (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Matt Rhule (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (20 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
Our Line: Cincinnati -8  (SP+ NEB -0.5)
Projected Score: NEB: 21 - CIN: 29 (50)
NEB Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
NEB Travel: 655 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bearcats (7 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (34 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#57)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
 
Nebraska's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Nebraska vs Cincinnati-6.552.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Nebraska vs Akron-34.047.5W 68 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Nebraska vs Houston Christian-48.558.5W 59 - 7OY
Sat 9/20 Nebraska vs Michigan+1.547.5L 27 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Nebraska vs Michigan State-12.548.5W 38 - 27ON
Sat 10/11 Nebraska at Maryland-7.047.5W 34 - 31ON
Fri 10/17 Nebraska at Minnesota-7.047.5L 6 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Nebraska vs Northwestern-7.544.5W 28 - 21ON
Sat 11/1 Nebraska vs USC+4.559.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 11/8 Nebraska at UCLA+1.545.5W 28 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Nebraska at Penn State+7.545.5L 10 - 37ON
Fri 11/28 Nebraska vs Iowa+5.538.5L 16 - 40ON
Wed 12/31 Nebraska vs Utah+13.551.5L 22 - 44ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule
Cincinnati's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Cincinnati vs Nebraska+6.552.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 9/6 Cincinnati vs Bowling Green-21.546.5W 34 - 20ON
Sat 9/13 Cincinnati vs Northwestern State-48.555.5W 70 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Cincinnati at Kansas+5.555.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 10/4 Cincinnati vs Iowa State-1.555.5W 38 - 30OY
Sat 10/11 Cincinnati vs UCF-10.055.5W 20 - 11UN
Sat 10/18 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State-23.557.5W 49 - 17OY
Sat 10/25 Cincinnati vs Baylor-3.568.5W 41 - 20UY
Sat 11/1 Cincinnati at Utah+11.557.5L 14 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Cincinnati vs Arizona-6.556.5L 24 - 30UN
Sat 11/22 Cincinnati vs BYU+2.556.5L 14 - 26UN
Sat 11/29 Cincinnati at TCU+3.058.5L 23 - 45ON
Fri 1/2 Cincinnati vs Navy+4.054.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 7, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEB#75 (.16)47% (21)28.748% (19)3.19 (23)13546% (29)2113.91 (51)#85 (.18)42% (73)24.646% (112)37% (21)4.19 (117)40.80.81
CIN#11 (.32)48% (16)31.851% (8)3.6 (1)18047% (24)2414.66 (12)#105 (.21)45% (110)24.846% (114)43% (86)3.81 (84)64.210.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEB#74 (.18)45% (37)48% (22)3.21 (40)12143% (55)2103.38 (114)#44 (.13)40% (50)39% (24)42% (82)3.06 (11)48.91.31.2
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEB Offense1328.719.546.9%3.910.8193461352114.349%49%48%46%13%.16
CIN Defense1224.819.644.7%3.810.8 - - - - - 52%47%46%43%13%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEB Defense1324.628.342%4.191 - - - - - 55%43%46%37%15%.18
CIN Offense1231.834.448.1%4.66120422180241648%50%51%47%12%.32

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nebraska1328:081945%36%4.240.80.814.61.5232.7
Cincinnati1224:0620.340%73%6.964.210.84.51.8129.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEB Offense1349% (70)48% (19)31.4135.54.318 (60).11 (69)3.19 (23)76% (45)9% (54)0.78 (130)
CIN Defense1252% (101)46% (114) - - - - .17 (107)3.26 (124)77% (111)8% (113)0.93 (54)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEB Defense1355% (122)46% (112) - - - - .24 (132)3.23 (121)78% (115)10% (49)1.14 (131)
CIN Offense1248% (81)51% (8)30.3180.4620 (40).26 (9)3.6 (1)76% (43)6% (6)1.01 (52)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEB Offense1349% (71)46% (29)18.826.9210.67.811.222 (14)6 (60).24 (75)1.4 (126)25% (5)33% (41).41 (31)4% (12)2 (82)
CIN Defense1247% (48)43% (86) - - - - - - 2 (132).26 (76)1.5 (36)29% (113)33% (108).34 (93)5% (122)2 (61)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEB Defense1343% (11)37% (21) - - - - - - 6 (100).15 (30)1.4 (20)31% (71)33% (114).39 (113)5% (122)1.9 (45)
CIN Offense1250% (64)47% (24)17.728.6241.38.413.728 (6)5 (3).46 (11)1.6 (41)29% (29)34% (27).45 (19)6% (54)2.2 (22)

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 1.51  #64
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 6.53  #83
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 5.02  #46
2025 Talent Rating: 986.00  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 27%  #22
Nebraska's 2025 Expected Record: 7.1 - 5.9
Nebraska's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6  #46
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9  #60
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 1.51   Cincinnati: 11.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 6.6   Cincinnati: 6.3




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 11.9  #26
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 23.54  #11
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 6.04  #52
2025 Talent Rating: 798.00  #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #79
Cincinnati's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 5.2
Cincinnati's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3  #49
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #39
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2  #64

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

Nebraska's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 29
Nebraska 21


Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Nebraska 24
Cincinnati 20

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Cincinnati 30
Nebraska 23

Total Points: 53
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Cincinnati's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/28Cincinnati17Nebraska20Nebraska -6.5Cincinnati52.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati010 Overs
Nebraska101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#64) NEB at (#26) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNEBCIN
Power RatePwr #64 #26
SP+SP+ #46 #49
Perf GradeGrade #35 #31
OffenseOff #43 #12
DefenseDef #60 #77
Spec TeamsST #2 #88
TalentTal #14 #53
Blue ChipsBC% #22 #79
Nebraska Notes
(12/31) Has lost 30 straight games to ranked opponents.
(12/1) DC John Butler fired after only one season
(11/29) Neb has lost 4+ games every season for 22 years
(11/28) Rhule 2-4 since raise, 7 pt W's vs NW/UCLA. Yikes
(11/28) QB TJ Lateef dreadful vs Iowa. Neb needs portal QB '26
(11/28) Matt Rhule is 2-10 in November at Nebraska
(11/26) QB Raiola threatening portal again. Neb better w/o him
(11/22) Loss to Penn St a huge setback. Program going ?
(11/2) Rhule 0-19 vs top 25, Neb streak is now 0-29
(11/2) QB1 Raiola out for season (broken fibula).
(11/1) Hard L vs USC, Raiola inj, Run Def mauled
(10/29) Rhule signs extension, will remain at Nebraska
Nebraska Injury Report
Cincinnati Notes
(11/16) Was Cincy overrated? Finish BYU/TCU will tell
(10/30) RB1 Evan Pryor out for the Utah game
(10/22) OL is criminally underrated, one of best in CFB
(10/12) Five straight wins after ugly W over UCF. Outgained
(10/4) Huge W vs ISU, Run Off mauled for 260+ yds, 8 ypc
(9/23) OL has been great early, int if that will hold up
(9/23) QB Sorsby has really upped his game, dynamic
(8/29) Sorsby passing awful vs Neb, tough runner.
(8/29) Run Off good vs Neb, Run Def good, Pass not
(7/30) Def good LY, lost all DBs. 4 DE/4 DB portals
(6/21) QB, TE good, RB/WR portals, OL ok, Off jump?
(5/31) TE Royer good, can FCS Caldwell be a #1 WR?
Cincinnati Injury Report
Nebraska on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
NEB OffCIN Def
Perf GradePerf #43 #77
SuccessSuc #21 #110
ExplosiveExp #134 #29
PPAPPA #75 #105
PowerPwr #83 #52
SP+SP+ #60 #64
Pts POPPO #51 #84
HavocHav #25 #121
Nebraska Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
NEB OffCIN Def
Run GameRun #79 #37
Run SuccessRSuc #19 #114
Run ExplRExp #130 #54
PPAExp #69 #107
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLY #23 #124
Stuff RateStuff #17 #121
TackleTak -  #44
Nebraska Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
NEB OffCIN Def
Pass GamePass #93 #64
Pass SuccessPSuc #29 #86
Pass ExplPExl #126 #36
PPAExp #75 #76
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #18 #133
F7 HavocF7 #54 #113
DB HavocDB #12 #122
Cincinnati on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatCIN OffNEB Def
Perf GradePerf #12 #60
SuccessSuc #16 #73
ExplosiveExp #44 #84
PPAPPA #11 #85
PowerPwr #11 #46
SP+SP+ #39 #39
Pts POPPO #12 #117
HavocHav #14 #98
Cincinnati Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
CIN OffNEB Def
Run GameRun #20 #68
Run SuccessRSuc #8 #112
Run ExplRExp #52 #131
PPAExp #9 #132
Run BlockR Blk #9 -
OL YdsOLY #1 #121
Stuff RateStuff #36 #107
TackleTak -  #23
Cincinnati Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatCIN OffNEB Def
Pass GamePass #8 #32
Pass SuccessPSuc #24 #21
Pass ExplPExl #41 #20
PPAExp #11 #30
Pass Block/RushP Blk #60 #126
F7 HavocF7 #6 #49
DB HavocDB #54 #122
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arrowhead Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 78° - Wind: 5 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Nebraska 6.5 (52.5)
Nebraska won at Cincinnati this year (20-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NEB's OC Dana Holgorsen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Raiola18125072%20001868.0
TJ Lateef599562%722407.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmett Johnson2511451125.870
Kwinten Ives1611927.428
TJ Lateef279833.614
Isaiah Mozee198304.421
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nyziah Hunter (Tr)43617514.364
Jacory Barney Jr.43463410.852
Dane Key (Tr)35424512.140
Emmett Johnson4637038.056

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC John Butler (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javin Wright838223
DeShon Singleton704124
Rex Guthrie602001
Vincent Shavers Jr.528110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Williams Nwaneri (Tr)275351
Dasan Mccullough (Tr)215231
Kade Pietrzak145231
Keona Davis304211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ceyair Wright251105
DeShon Singleton704124
Donovan Jones512004

CIN's OC Brad Glenn (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby20633562%27862658.3
Brady Lichtenberg4667%56109.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tawee Walker (Tr)12070945.954
Brendan Sorsby10058095.841
Evan Pryor7652236.946
Manny Covey1611617.324
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cyrus Allen (Tr)486511113.688
Caleb Goodie (Tr)29484216.782
Jeff Caldwell (Tr)32478614.940
Joe Royer29416414.373

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Tyson Veidt (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Golday954423
Trevon Gola-Callard674003
Jonathan Thompson598120
Christian Harrison (Tr)553007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Golday954423
Jalen Hunt246400
Jack Dingle453230
Montay Weedon243200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Harrison (Tr)553007
Logan Wilson332006
Jiquan Sanks452004