Old Dominion at Georgia State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Old Dominion Monarchs at Georgia State Panthers

Saturday, October 29th 2022 (3:00 PM EDT)
Georgia State -3.5 (53.5)
Georgia State 31 - Old Dominion: 17 (Sun Belt)

Monarchs (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (31 - 30 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ GAST -10)
Projected Score: ODU: 33 - GAST: 22 (55)
GAST Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ODU Travel: 505 miles

Panthers (4 - 8) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Shawn Elliott (30 - 30)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (22 - 30 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ODU Players
GAST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Old Dominion's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Old Dominion vs Virginia Tech	+6.0	48.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Old Dominion at East Carolina	+13.0	49.5	L 21 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/17	Old Dominion at Virginia	+8.0	52.5	L 14 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Old Dominion vs Arkansas State	-5.0	55.5	W 29 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/1	Old Dominion vs Liberty	+3.5	48.0	L 24 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina	+11.0	58.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern	-1.5	66.0	L 23 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/29	Old Dominion at Georgia State	+3.5	53.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/5	Old Dominion vs Marshall	+3.5	46.5	L 0 - 12	U	N
Sat 11/12	Old Dominion vs James Madison	+7.5	48.0	L 3 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/19	Old Dominion at App State	+16.5	50.5	L 14 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Old Dominion at South Alabama	+16.5	47.0	L 20 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule

Georgia State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Georgia State at South Carolina	+12.5	55.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/10	Georgia State vs North Carolina	+7.0	64.0	L 28 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Georgia State vs Charlotte	-19.5	64.0	L 41 - 42	O	N
Thu 9/22	Georgia State vs Coastal Carolina	+2.5	63.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/1	Georgia State at Army	+8.5	54.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Georgia State vs Georgia Southern	-2.5	67.5	W 41 - 33	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/19	Georgia State at App State	+9.5	60.5	L 17 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/29	Georgia State vs Old Dominion	-3.5	53.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Georgia State at Southern Miss	+2.0	47.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Georgia State vs UL Monroe	-13.5	59.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/19	Georgia State at James Madison	+10.0	51.5	L 40 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Georgia State at Marshall	+6.5	45.5	L 23 - 28	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ODU	.17	41%	32	45%	3.05	161	38%	215	3.57	.15	41%	18.5	43%	41%	3.58	60.2	1.8	1.4
GAST	.24	47%	19.8	49%	3.27	225	45%	162	4.54	.2	39%	37.8	38%	40%	3.55	50.5	1.2	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ODU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ODU Offense	13	32	31	41.4%	3.57	1.8	20	375	161	215	4.2	51%	49%	45%	38%	21%	.17
GAST Defense	13	37.8	30.3	39.4%	3.55	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	38%	40%	21%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ODU Defense	13	18.5	30	41.5%	3.58	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	43%	41%	16%	.15
GAST Offense	13	19.8	21.5	47.1%	4.54	1.2	21	387	225	162	5	62%	38%	49%	45%	17%	.24

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Old Dominion	13	28:50	20.4	42%	43%	6.8	60.2	1.8	1.4	5.4	1.9	4	30.6
Georgia State	13	28:21	21.5	42%	56%	5.4	50.5	1.2	2	6.9	2.8	1	26

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ODU Offense	13	51%	45%	38	160.5	4.2	22	.17	3.05	75%	12%	1.12
GAST Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.8	81%	14%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ODU Defense	13	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.96	67%	10%	0.85
GAST Offense	13	62%	49%	45.1	225.5	5	25	.23	3.27	79%	11%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ODU Offense	13	49%	38%	18.8	32.3	214.8	6.7	11.4	15	14	.21	1.6	35%	33%	.36	9%	2.1
GAST Defense	13	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.7	35%	31%	.38	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ODU Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.25	1.6	30%	28%	.17	6%	2.2
GAST Offense	13	38%	45%	13.8	23.9	161.6	6.8	11.7	19	8	.3	1.5	27%	31%	.23	6%	1.8

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: NR
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: NR
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Old Dominion's 2022 Expected Record: -
Old Dominion's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0 #107
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #112
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: Georgia State: 0.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -13.0 Georgia State: -3.3

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: 0.85 NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #79
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #40
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.3 #117

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Old Dominion's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Old Dominion 33
Georgia State 22

Projected Total Points: 55

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Georgia State's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Old Dominion	27	Georgia State	10	Old Dominion -29.0	Georgia State	58.5	Under
2024	10/12	Georgia State	14	Old Dominion	21	Georgia State -3	Old Dominion	53.0	Under
2023	11/25	Old Dominion	25	Georgia State	24	Old Dominion -2	Georgia State	49.5	Under
2022	10/29	Georgia State	31	Old Dominion	17	Georgia State -3.5	Georgia State	53.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia State	1	3	0 Overs
Old Dominion	3	1	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	1 - 3	1 - 3	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 3	3 - 1	0 - 0	3 - 1

(#) ODU at (#) GAST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ODU	GAST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#107	#79
Perf GradeGrade	#102	#85
OffenseOff	#105	#87
DefenseDef	#88	#74
Spec TeamsST	#14	#108
TalentTal	#101	#87
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Old Dominion Injury Report

Georgia State Injury Report

Old Dominion on Offense


CategoryCat	ODU Off	GAST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#105	#74
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#117
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Old Dominion Run Game


CategoryCat	ODU Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	#88	#86
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#109	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#129

Old Dominion Pass Game


CategoryCat	ODU Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	#87	#94
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#80	#20
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ODU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#87	#88
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#40	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ODU Def
Run GameRun	#90	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#81	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#27

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ODU Def
Pass GamePass	#49	#101
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#85	#105
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

ODU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Georgia State -3.5 (53.5)
Georgia State won vs Old Dominion this year (31-17)

Previous Matchups
Old Dominion beat Georgia State last year (27-10)
Old Dominion beat Georgia State in 2024 (21-14)
Old Dominion beat Georgia State in 2023 (25-24)

ODU's OC Dave Patenaude (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GAST's OC Trent McKnight (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Nate Fuqua (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD