UCF at Memphis - 2022 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at Memphis Tigers(#25)Memphis logo
Saturday, November 5th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
UCF -3 (60.5)
UCF 35 - Memphis: 28  (American Athletic)

 
Knights (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 33 - 24 (33 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MEM coming off BYE
UCF is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -1  (SP+ UCF -3.5)
Projected Score: UCF: 27 - MEM: 31 (58)
UCF Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
UCF Travel: 684 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (14 - 10)
Avg Score : 35 - 26 (37 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 UCF vs South Carolina State-43.558.5W 56 - 10OY
Fri 9/9 UCF vs Louisville-5.562.0L 14 - 20UN
Sat 9/17 UCF at Florida Atlantic-7.561.5W 40 - 14UY
Sat 9/24 UCF vs Georgia Tech-21.056.5W 27 - 10UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5 UCF vs SMU-3.065.0W 41 - 19UY
Thu 10/13 UCF vs Temple-23.546.5W 70 - 13OY
Sat 10/22 UCF at East Carolina-5.563.0L 13 - 34UN
Sat 10/29 UCF vs Cincinnati-1.555.5W 25 - 21UY
Sat 11/5 UCF at Memphis-3.060.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/12 UCF at Tulane+1.054.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/19 UCF vs Navy-14.553.0L 14 - 17UN
Sat 11/26 UCF at South Florida-20.067.5W 46 - 39ON
Sat 12/3 UCF at Tulane+3.557.5L 28 - 45ON
Wed 12/28 UCF vs Duke+3.563.0L 13 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Memphis's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Memphis at Mississippi State+17.058.0L 23 - 49ON
Sat 9/10 Memphis at Navy-4.547.5W 37 - 13OY
Sat 9/17 Memphis vs Arkansas State-14.564.0W 44 - 32ON
Sat 9/24 Memphis vs North Texas-13.068.5W 44 - 34ON
Sat 10/1 Memphis vs Temple-18.550.0W 24 - 3UY
Fri 10/7 Memphis vs Houston-1.557.5L 32 - 33ON
Sat 10/15 Memphis at East Carolina+5.562.5L 45 - 47OY
Sat 10/22 Memphis at Tulane+7.055.5L 28 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Memphis vs UCF+3.060.5L 28 - 35ON
Thu 11/10 Memphis vs Tulsa-7.062.0W 26 - 10UY
Sat 11/19 Memphis vs North Alabama-36.067.5W 59 - 0UY
Sat 11/26 Memphis at SMU+4.569.0L 31 - 34UY
Tue 12/27 Memphis vs Utah State-8.057.0W 38 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.2447%32.951%3.3822844%2414.08.2141%23.640%43%3.5346.41.51.5
MEM.244%35.344%2.914245%2804.16.1843%2641%46%4.3436.91.22.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1432.933.347.4%4.081.5244692282415.253%46%51%44%14%.24
MEM Defense13262143%4.342.1 - - - - - 47%52%41%46%14%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1423.631.841.2%3.531.5 - - - - - 51%49%40%43%16%.21
MEM Offense1335.336.744.3%4.161.2234221422803.847%52%44%45%16%.2

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1430:5124.246%63%4.946.41.51.551.5228
Memphis1330:5022.545%54%4.136.91.22.14.61.6431.3
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1453%51%43.92285.235.293.3873%10%1.05
MEM Defense1347%41% - - - - .072.9670%8%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1451%40% - - - - .162.9566%10%1.12
MEM Offense1347%44%37.9142.43.830.122.974%10%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1446%44%20.832.2241.27.511.6229.211.427%32%.274%1.9
MEM Defense1352%46% - - - - - - 16.31.532%36%.436%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1449%43% - - - - - - 6.31.533%30%.296%1.9
MEM Offense1352%45%22.435280.1812.5238.311.530%33%.396%2.2

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2022 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #55
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3  #32

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Memphis: 5.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 10.3   Memphis: 6.8




Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 5.9 NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Memphis's 2022 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8  #49
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.0  #27
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8  #90

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UCF Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.3
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

UCF's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 31
UCF 27

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Memphis 29
UCF 25

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Memphis 32
UCF 29

Total Points: 61
Memphis Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Memphis's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/05Memphis28UCF35UCF -3UCF60.5Over
202110/22UCF24Memphis7UCF -1.5UCF63.5Under
202010/17Memphis50UCF49UCF -3Memphis76.5Over
201810/13Memphis30UCF31UCF -5Memphis80.5Under
201812/01UCF56Memphis41UCF -1UCF65.0Over
201712/02UCF62Memphis55UCF -7Push82.0Over
201709/30UCF40Memphis13UCF -5.5UCF68.5Under
201310/05Memphis17UCF24UCF -10.5Memphis0
201210/20Memphis17UCF35
201110/29UCF41Memphis0
201011/27Memphis17UCF37
200910/03UCF32Memphis14
200811/22Memphis21UCF28
200709/22UCF56Memphis20
200611/11Memphis24UCF26
200510/08UCF38Memphis17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Memphis134 Overs
UCF1543 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 76 - 13 - 03 - 1
Road Teams7 - 91 - 61 - 30 - 3

(#) UCF at (#) MEM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFMEM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #49
Perf GradeGrade #40 #38
OffenseOff #22 #63
DefenseDef #80 #31
Spec TeamsST #59 #63
TalentTal #53 #74
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffMEM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #22 #31
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #55 #90
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffMEM Def
Run GameRun #59 #29
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #20 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #65
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffMEM Def
Pass GamePass #32 #30
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #3 #106
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Memphis on Offense
CategoryCatMEM OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #63 #80
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #32
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Memphis Run Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffUCF Def
Run GameRun #66 #67
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #92
Memphis Pass Game
CategoryCatMEM OffUCF Def
Pass GamePass #17 #79
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #55 #104
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 62° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 10
UCF 3.0 (60.5)
UCF won at Memphis this year (35-28)

Previous Matchups
UCF beat Memphis in 2022 (35-28)

  
UCF's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC David Gibbs (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MEM's OC Tim Cramsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Matt Barnes (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD