UCF at Florida Atlantic - 2022 Matchup Preview
UCF logo   UCF Knights at Florida Atlantic Owls  Florida Atlantic logo
Saturday, September 17th 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
UCF -7.5 (61.5)
UCF 40 - Florida Atlantic: 14

 
Knights (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (13 - 35 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FAU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -6  (SP+ UCF -17.5)
Projected Score: UCF: 27 - FAU: 31 (58)
UCF Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UCF Travel: 168 miles
Owls (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Willie Taggart (10 - 11)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (37 - 36 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 UCF vs South Carolina State-43.558.5W 56 - 10OY
Fri 9/9 UCF vs Louisville-5.562.0L 14 - 20UN
Sat 9/17 UCF at Florida Atlantic-7.561.5W 40 - 14UY
Sat 9/24 UCF vs Georgia Tech-21.056.5W 27 - 10UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5 UCF vs SMU-3.065.0W 41 - 19UY
Thu 10/13 UCF vs Temple-23.546.5W 70 - 13OY
Sat 10/22 UCF at East Carolina-5.563.0L 13 - 34UN
Sat 10/29 UCF vs Cincinnati-1.555.5W 25 - 21UY
Sat 11/5 UCF at Memphis-3.060.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/12 UCF at Tulane+1.054.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/19 UCF vs Navy-14.553.0L 14 - 17UN
Sat 11/26 UCF at South Florida-20.067.5W 46 - 39ON
Sat 12/3 UCF at Tulane+3.557.5L 28 - 45ON
Wed 12/28 UCF vs Duke+3.563.0L 13 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Florida Atlantic's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte-7.060.0W 43 - 13UY
Sat 9/3 Florida Atlantic at Ohio-6.051.0L 38 - 41ON
Sat 9/10 Florida Atlantic vs SE Louisiana-11.063.5W 42 - 9UY
Sat 9/17 Florida Atlantic vs UCF+7.561.5L 14 - 40UN
Sat 9/24 Florida Atlantic at Purdue+16.057.0L 26 - 28UY
Sat 10/1 Florida Atlantic at North Texas-3.067.5L 28 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Florida Atlantic vs Rice-5.054.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/22 Florida Atlantic at UTEP-3.050.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/29 Florida Atlantic vs UAB+5.045.0W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 Florida Atlantic at Florida International-15.054.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 11/19 Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee-5.551.0L 21 - 49ON
Sat 11/26 Florida Atlantic vs Western Kentucky+7.562.5L 31 - 32OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.2343%24.346%3.1919640%2064.44.1640%23.643%38%3.5153.51.21.8
FAU.241%29.542%2.9815242%2493.65.2141%36.341%41%3.3859.81.61.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FAU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1324.312.842.9%4.441.2204021962065.451%49%46%40%16%.23
FAU Defense1236.335.540.7%3.381.7 - - - - - 49%50%41%41%17%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1323.634.640.4%3.511.8 - - - - - 47%53%43%38%19%.16
FAU Offense1229.537.241.4%3.651.6204001522494.149%50%42%42%17%.2

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1328:3519.937%79%6.253.51.21.86.82.8031.2
Florida Atlantic1228:292042%39%7.159.81.61.75.41.3228.3
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1351%46%36.6196.35.427.263.1975%11%1.14
FAU Defense1249%41% - - - - .212.8470%10%1.2
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1347%43% - - - - .22.9666%11%1.13
FAU Offense1249%42%37.4151.64.118.162.9875%12%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1349%40%19.430206.26.910.6299.191.632%33%.465%2.2
FAU Defense1250%41% - - - - - - 13.231.433%26%.267%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1353%38% - - - - - - 11.131.433%30%.328%2
FAU Offense1250%42%19.232.2248.57.713208.291.732%28%.356%2.2

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2022 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #55
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3  #32

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Florida Atlantic: -1.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 10.3   Florida Atlantic: -7.1




Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -1.05 NR
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida Atlantic's 2022 Expected Record: -
Florida Atlantic's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.1  #91
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #81
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4  #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.8
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.6

UCF's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Florida Atlantic 31
UCF 27

Projected Total Points: 58
Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.5

Florida Atlantic's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/17Florida Atlantic14UCF40UCF -7.5UCF61.5Under
201909/07Florida Atlantic14UCF48UCF -13.5UCF69.0Under
201809/21UCF56Florida Atlantic36UCF -14UCF74.5Over
200309/13UCF33Florida Atlantic29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida Atlantic001 Overs
UCF432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 21 - 00 - 2
Road Teams2 - 22 - 12 - 00 - 1

(#) UCF at (#) FAU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFFAU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #91
Perf GradeGrade #40 #85
OffenseOff #22 #74
DefenseDef #80 #92
Spec TeamsST #59 #49
TalentTal #53 #72
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffFAU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #22 #92
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #55 #87
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffFAU Def
Run GameRun #59 #75
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #20 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #119
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffFAU Def
Pass GamePass #32 #74
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #3 #128
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida Atlantic on Offense
CategoryCatFAU OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #74 #80
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #81 #32
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Atlantic Run Game
CategoryCat
FAU OffUCF Def
Run GameRun #88 #67
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #121 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #92
Florida Atlantic Pass Game
CategoryCatFAU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePass #23 #79
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #46 #104
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
UCF 7.5 (61.5)
UCF won at Florida Atlantic this year (40-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UCF's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC David Gibbs (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FAU's OC Brent Dearmon (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Todd Orlando (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD