SMU at UCF - 2022 Matchup Preview
SMU logo   SMU Mustangs at UCF Knights  UCF logo
Wednesday, October 5th 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
UCF -3 (65.0)
UCF 41 - SMU: 19  (Moved from Oct 1)

 
Mustangs (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU coming off BYE
UCF coming off BYE
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ UCF -6)
Projected Score: SMU: 25 - UCF: 25 (50)
UCF Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
SMU Travel: 970 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 SMU at North Texas-9.567.5W 48 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 SMU vs Lamar-48.566.0W 45 - 16UN
Sat 9/17 SMU at Maryland+3.074.0L 27 - 34UN
Sat 9/24 SMU vs TCU+2.572.0L 34 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5 SMU at UCF+3.065.0L 19 - 41UN
Fri 10/14 SMU vs Navy-12.559.0W 40 - 34ON
Sat 10/22 SMU vs Cincinnati+3.559.5L 27 - 29UY
Sat 10/29 SMU at Tulsa-1.063.5W 45 - 34OY
Sat 11/5 SMU vs Houston-3.566.0W 77 - 63OY
Sat 11/12 SMU at South Florida-17.572.5W 41 - 23UY
Thu 11/17 SMU at Tulane+3.565.0L 24 - 59ON
Sat 11/26 SMU vs Memphis-4.569.0W 34 - 31UN
Sat 12/17 SMU vs BYU-4.565.0L 23 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
UCF's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 UCF vs South Carolina State-43.558.5W 56 - 10OY
Fri 9/9 UCF vs Louisville-5.562.0L 14 - 20UN
Sat 9/17 UCF at Florida Atlantic-7.561.5W 40 - 14UY
Sat 9/24 UCF vs Georgia Tech-21.056.5W 27 - 10UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5 UCF vs SMU-3.065.0W 41 - 19UY
Thu 10/13 UCF vs Temple-23.546.5W 70 - 13OY
Sat 10/22 UCF at East Carolina-5.563.0L 13 - 34UN
Sat 10/29 UCF vs Cincinnati-1.555.5W 25 - 21UY
Sat 11/5 UCF at Memphis-3.060.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/12 UCF at Tulane+1.054.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/19 UCF vs Navy-14.553.0L 14 - 17UN
Sat 11/26 UCF at South Florida-20.067.5W 46 - 39ON
Sat 12/3 UCF at Tulane+3.557.5L 28 - 45ON
Wed 12/28 UCF vs Duke+3.563.0L 13 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.3548%32.248%3.116148%3054.41.2639%20.534%45%4.2152.31.51.3
UCF.2343%24.346%3.1919640%2064.44.1640%23.643%38%3.5153.51.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1232.229.847.6%4.411.5254661613054.644%56%48%48%15%.35
UCF Defense1323.615.740.4%3.511.8 - - - - - 47%53%43%38%19%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1220.522.239.3%4.211.3 - - - - - 48%51%34%45%16%.26
UCF Offense1324.332.642.9%4.441.2204021962065.451%49%46%40%16%.23

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1229:1324.843%67%5.652.31.51.35.62.3232.2
UCF1328:3519.937%79%6.253.51.21.86.82.8031.2
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1244%48%35.2161.44.620.173.176%9%0.91
UCF Defense1347%43% - - - - .22.9666%11%1.13
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1248%34% - - - - .062.7962%10%1.08
UCF Offense1351%46%36.6196.35.427.263.1975%11%1.14

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1256%48%26.139304.57.811.73912.521.730%40%.675%2.2
UCF Defense1353%38% - - - - - - 11.131.433%30%.328%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1251%45% - - - - - - 10.461.735%30%.46%2.2
UCF Offense1349%40%19.430206.26.910.6299.191.632%33%.465%2.2

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2022 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7  #56
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.0  #10
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1  #116

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    UCF: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 4.7   UCF: 10.3




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2022 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #55
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3  #32

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 25
UCF 25

Projected Total Points: 50
UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/05UCF41SMU19UCF -3UCF65.0Under
202111/13SMU55UCF28SMU -7SMU61.5Over
201810/06UCF48SMU20UCF -25UCF73.5Under
201711/04SMU24UCF31UCF -14SMU75.0Under
201411/22UCF53SMU7UCF -26.5UCF0
201312/07SMU13UCF17UCF -10SMU0
201211/03UCF42SMU17
201110/15SMU38UCF17
201012/04UCF17SMU7
200810/04UCF31SMU17
200711/17SMU20UCF49
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF931 Overs
SMU233 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 36 - 04 - 02 - 0
Road Teams3 - 80 - 60 - 20 - 4

(#) SMU at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #35
Perf GradeGrade #67 #40
OffenseOff #28 #22
DefenseDef #126 #80
Spec TeamsST #51 #59
TalentTal #63 #53
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #28 #80
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #10 #32
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffUCF Def
Run GameRun #122 #67
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #32 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #92
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePass #22 #79
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #9 #104
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #22 #126
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #55 #116
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffSMU Def
Run GameRun #59 #124
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #20 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #127
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffSMU Def
Pass GamePass #32 #100
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #3 #120
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Remains Average P4

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
UCF -3.0 (65.0)
UCF won vs SMU this year (41-19)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SMU's OC Casey Woods (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC David Gibbs (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD