Navy at UCF - 2022 Matchup Preview
Navy logo   Navy Midshipmen at UCF Knights  UCF logo
Saturday, November 19th 2022 (11:00 AM EST)
UCF -14.5 (53.0)
Navy 17 - UCF: 14  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (104 - 74)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF is playing their 7th straight game
NAVY is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -11.5  (SP+ UCF -18)
Projected Score: NAVY: 24 - UCF: 28 (52)
UCF Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
NAVY Travel: 766 miles
Knights (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Navy vs Delaware-13.048.5L 7 - 14UN
Sat 9/10 Navy vs Memphis+4.547.5L 13 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Navy at East Carolina+16.548.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 10/1 Navy at Air Force+14.038.0L 10 - 13UY
Sat 10/8 Navy vs Tulsa+4.545.5W 53 - 21OY
Fri 10/14 Navy at SMU+12.559.0L 34 - 40OY
Sat 10/22 Navy vs Houston+3.051.0L 20 - 38ON
Sat 10/29 Navy vs Temple-14.541.5W 27 - 20ON
Sat 11/5 Navy at Cincinnati+18.543.5L 10 - 20UY
Sat 11/12 Navy vs Notre Dame+17.040.5L 32 - 35OY
Sat 11/19 Navy at UCF+14.553.0W 17 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/10 Navy vs Army-2.532.0L 17 - 20ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
UCF's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 UCF vs South Carolina State-43.558.5W 56 - 10OY
Fri 9/9 UCF vs Louisville-5.562.0L 14 - 20UN
Sat 9/17 UCF at Florida Atlantic-7.561.5W 40 - 14UY
Sat 9/24 UCF vs Georgia Tech-21.056.5W 27 - 10UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5 UCF vs SMU-3.065.0W 41 - 19UY
Thu 10/13 UCF vs Temple-23.546.5W 70 - 13OY
Sat 10/22 UCF at East Carolina-5.563.0L 13 - 34UN
Sat 10/29 UCF vs Cincinnati-1.555.5W 25 - 21UY
Sat 11/5 UCF at Memphis-3.060.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/12 UCF at Tulane+1.054.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/19 UCF vs Navy-14.553.0L 14 - 17UN
Sat 11/26 UCF at South Florida-20.067.5W 46 - 39ON
Sat 12/3 UCF at Tulane+3.557.5L 28 - 45ON
Wed 12/28 UCF vs Duke+3.563.0L 13 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.1237%31.538%2.8922627%573.87.2142%2541%44%3.8735.20.71.3
UCF.2343%24.346%3.1919640%2064.44.1640%23.643%38%3.5153.51.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1231.525.836.6%3.870.717283226573.984%15%38%27%14%.12
UCF Defense1323.615.740.4%3.511.8 - - - - - 47%53%43%38%19%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense122530.242.4%3.871.3 - - - - - 54%46%41%44%16%.21
UCF Offense1324.332.642.9%4.441.2204021962065.451%49%46%40%16%.23

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1234:4716.737%69%4.435.20.71.35.11.3230.5
UCF1328:3519.937%79%6.253.51.21.86.82.8031.2
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1284%38%58.12263.919.152.8978%13%1.11
UCF Defense1347%43% - - - - .22.9666%11%1.13
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1254%41% - - - - .132.6871%11%1.07
UCF Offense1351%46%36.6196.35.427.263.1975%11%1.14

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1215%27%48.156.8714.263-.031.830%23%.131%1.9
UCF Defense1353%38% - - - - - - 11.131.433%30%.328%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1246%44% - - - - - - 7.321.632%34%.445%2
UCF Offense1349%40%19.430206.26.910.6299.191.632%33%.465%2.2

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #233
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2022 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2  #94
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2  #106
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #47

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    UCF: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -7.2   UCF: 10.3




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2022 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #55
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3  #32

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 28
Navy 24

Projected Total Points: 52
UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/19UCF14Navy17UCF -14.5Navy53.0Under
202110/02Navy34UCF30UCF -15Navy52.5Over
201811/10UCF35Navy24UCF -23.5Navy68.0Under
201710/21Navy21UCF31UCF -9.5UCF65.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF211 Overs
Navy233 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 30 - 21 - 1
Road Teams2 - 23 - 11 - 12 - 0

(#) NAVY at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #94 #35
Perf GradeGrade #109 #40
OffenseOff #87 #22
DefenseDef #121 #80
Spec TeamsST #30 #59
TalentTal #233 #53
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #87 #80
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #106 #32
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffUCF Def
Run GameRun #128 #67
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #41 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #92
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffUCF Def
Pass GamePass #112 #79
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #136 #104
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #22 #121
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #55 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffNAVY Def
Run GameRun #59 #74
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #20 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #103
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePass #32 #134
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #3 #103
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Remains Average P4

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
UCF -14.5 (53.0)
Navy won at UCF this year (17-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NAVY's OC Vacant (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC Brian Newberry (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC David Gibbs (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD