Nevada at New Mexico State - 2022 Matchup Preview
Nevada logo   Nevada Wolf Pack at New Mexico State Aggies  New Mexico State logo
Saturday, August 27th 2022 (10:00 PM EDT)
Nevada -7 (48.0)
Nevada 23 - New Mexico State: 12

 
Wolf Pack (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ken Wilson (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (16 - 30 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -6  (SP+ NMSU -7)
Projected Score: NEV: 20 - NMSU: 26 (46)
NEV Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
NEV Travel: 886 miles, 1 hrs behind
Aggies (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jerry Kill (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (23 - 18 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nevada's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 Nevada at New Mexico State-7.048.0W 23 - 12UY
Sat 9/3 Nevada vs Texas State+2.051.5W 38 - 14OY
Sat 9/10 Nevada vs Incarnate Word-4.061.5L 41 - 55ON
Sat 9/17 Nevada at Iowa+24.039.0L 0 - 27UN
Fri 9/23 Nevada at Air Force+24.047.0L 20 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/7 Nevada vs Colorado State-3.544.0L 14 - 17UN
Sat 10/15 Nevada at Hawai'i-6.551.5L 16 - 31UN
Sat 10/22 Nevada vs San Diego State+7.536.0L 7 - 23UN
Sat 10/29 Nevada at San José State+24.544.5L 28 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 Nevada vs Boise State+21.047.0L 3 - 41UN
Sat 11/19 Nevada vs Fresno State+22.554.0L 14 - 41ON
Sat 11/26 Nevada at UNLV+12.549.0L 22 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
New Mexico State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 New Mexico State vs Nevada+7.048.0L 12 - 23UN
Thu 9/1 New Mexico State at Minnesota+36.052.5L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/10 New Mexico State at UTEP+17.046.5L 13 - 20UY
Sat 9/17 New Mexico State at Wisconsin+38.045.5L 7 - 66ON
Sat 9/24 New Mexico State vs Hawai'i-4.553.0W 45 - 26OY
Sat 10/1 New Mexico State vs Florida International-15.054.0L 7 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 New Mexico State vs New Mexico+7.038.5W 21 - 9UY
Sat 10/22 New Mexico State vs San José State+21.043.0
Sat 10/29 New Mexico State at Massachusetts-1.039.0W 23 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 New Mexico State vs Lamar-22.048.5W 51 - 14OY
Sat 11/19 New Mexico State at Missouri+29.046.5L 14 - 45ON
Sat 11/26 New Mexico State at Liberty+24.051.0W 49 - 14OY
Sat 12/3 New Mexico State vs Valparaiso-31.555.0W 65 - 3OY
Mon 12/26 New Mexico State vs Bowling Green+3.051.0W 24 - 19UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV.2743%17.640%2.777745%3474.01.2146%27.552%41%3.7555.10.82.7
NMSU.1242%21.645%3.1410141%2703.11.450%27.651%50%3.9460.21.32
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Offense1317.615.542.9%4.010.82242477347332%67%40%45%16%.27
NMSU Defense1227.617.749.9%3.942 - - - - - 51%48%51%50%17%.4
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Defense1327.529.846.2%3.752.7 - - - - - 50%49%52%41%18%.21
NMSU Offense1221.623.241.9%3.111.3223701012703.338%62%45%41%20%.12

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nevada1328:5222.241%57%6.555.10.82.76.13.2331.2
New Mexico State1230:3121.938%45%6.960.21.3261.6026
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Offense1332%40%25.977.4313.072.7770%11%0.96
NMSU Defense1251%51% - - - - .253.5367%12%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Defense1350%52% - - - - .273.5682%11%1.01
NMSU Offense1238%45%30.8100.63.315.183.1478%12%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Offense1367%45%30.4443477.911.4389.391.632%34%.445%2
NMSU Defense1248%50% - - - - - - 10.631.827%40%.755%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Defense1349%41% - - - - - - 14.191.528%29%.227%2
NMSU Offense1262%41%24.743.2269.76.310.91510.111.435%28%.28%1.9

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2022 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4  #127
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9  #121
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8  #114

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    New Mexico State: -5.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -22.4   New Mexico State: -15.4




New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -5.2 NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #140
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico State's 2022 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4  #117
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.0  #128
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0  #61

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Nevada's 2022 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico State 26
Nevada 20

Projected Total Points: 46
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.2
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

New Mexico State's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202208/27New Mexico State12Nevada23Nevada -7Nevada48.0Under
202110/09Nevada55New Mexico State28Nevada -28.5New Mexico State64.5Over
201110/29New Mexico State34Nevada48
201011/20Nevada52New Mexico State6
200911/21New Mexico State20Nevada63
200810/11Nevada45New Mexico State48
200711/02New Mexico State38Nevada40
200610/28Nevada48New Mexico State21
200511/12New Mexico State24Nevada48
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico State111 Overs
Nevada811 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 60 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams6 - 32 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#) NEV at (#) NMSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNEVNMSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #127 #117
Perf GradeGrade #130 #113
OffenseOff #127 #96
DefenseDef #110 #105
Spec TeamsST #84 #132
TalentTal #106 #140
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCat
NEV OffNMSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #127 #105
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #121 #61
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffNMSU Def
Run GameRun #133 #112
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #105 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #49
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePass #106 #65
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #106 #120
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
New Mexico State on Offense
CategoryCatNMSU OffNEV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #96 #110
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #128 #114
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico State Run Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffNEV Def
Run GameRun #20 #119
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #120 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #105
New Mexico State Pass Game
CategoryCatNMSU OffNEV Def
Pass GamePass #73 #84
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #94 #118
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

NEV 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Nevada 7.0 (48.0)
Nevada won at New Mexico State this year (23-12)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NEV's OC Derek Sage (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC Kwame Agyeman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NMSU's OC Tim Beck (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC Nate Dreiling (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD