Florida International at New Mexico State

Florida International at New Mexico State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Florida International Golden Panthers at New Mexico State Aggies

Saturday, October 1st 2022 (8:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico State -15 (54.0)
Florida International 21 - New Mexico State: 7

Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike MacIntyre (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (22 - 30 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FIU 3rd straight Road Game
NMSU 2nd straight Home Game
NMSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ NMSU -10)
Projected Score: FIU: 24 - NMSU: 26 (50)
NMSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
FIU Travel: 1651 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Aggies (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jerry Kill (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (23 - 18 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FIU Players
NMSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida International's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Florida International vs Bryant	-10.5	58.5	W 38 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/10	Florida International at Texas State	+13.5	62.5	L 12 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	Florida International at Western Kentucky	+31.0	65.0	L 0 - 73	O	N
Sat 10/1	Florida International at New Mexico State	+15.0	54.0	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Florida International vs UConn	+5.5	46.5	L 12 - 33	U	N
Fri 10/14	Florida International vs UTSA	+33.0	64.0	L 10 - 30	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Florida International at Charlotte	+14.0	63.5	W 34 - 15	U	Y
Fri 10/28	Florida International vs Louisiana Tech	+6.5	57.0	W 42 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Florida International at North Texas	+21.0	63.5	L 14 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/12	Florida International vs Florida Atlantic	+15.0	54.5	L 7 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/19	Florida International at UTEP	+14.0	50.0	L 6 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/26	Florida International vs Middle Tennessee	+19.5	54.5	L 28 - 33	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule

New Mexico State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	New Mexico State vs Nevada	+7.0	48.0	L 12 - 23	U	N
Thu 9/1	New Mexico State at Minnesota	+36.0	52.5	L 0 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/10	New Mexico State at UTEP	+17.0	46.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/17	New Mexico State at Wisconsin	+38.0	45.5	L 7 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/24	New Mexico State vs Hawai'i	-4.5	53.0	W 45 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/1	New Mexico State vs Florida International	-15.0	54.0	L 7 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	New Mexico State vs New Mexico	+7.0	38.5	W 21 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/22	New Mexico State vs San José State	+21.0	43.0
Sat 10/29	New Mexico State at Massachusetts	-1.0	39.0	W 23 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	New Mexico State vs Lamar	-22.0	48.5	W 51 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/19	New Mexico State at Missouri	+29.0	46.5	L 14 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/26	New Mexico State at Liberty	+24.0	51.0	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/3	New Mexico State vs Valparaiso	-31.5	55.0	W 65 - 3	O	Y
Mon 12/26	New Mexico State vs Bowling Green	+3.0	51.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FIU	.14	36%	28.5	39%	2.95	102	34%	265	2.36	.39	50%	30	50%	51%	4.73	52.2	1.8	0.9
NMSU	.12	42%	21.6	45%	3.14	101	41%	270	3.11	.4	50%	27.6	51%	50%	3.94	60.2	1.3	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FIU Offense	12	28.5	22.4	36.1%	2.36	1.8	16	367	102	265	3.3	44%	55%	39%	34%	26%	.14
NMSU Defense	12	27.6	17.7	49.9%	3.94	2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	51%	50%	17%	.4

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FIU Defense	12	30	29.8	50.4%	4.73	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	50%	51%	15%	.39
NMSU Offense	12	21.6	23.2	41.9%	3.11	1.3	22	370	101	270	3.3	38%	62%	45%	41%	20%	.12

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida International	12	26:53	16.2	33%	43%	5.9	52.2	1.8	0.9	4.6	1.2	1	27.2
New Mexico State	12	30:31	21.9	38%	45%	6.9	60.2	1.3	2	6	1.6	0	26

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FIU Offense	12	44%	39%	30.9	102.1	3.3	11	.01	2.95	67%	15%	0.73
NMSU Defense	12	51%	51%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.53	67%	12%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FIU Defense	12	54%	50%	-	-	-	-	.33	3.58	77%	10%	1.01
NMSU Offense	12	38%	45%	30.8	100.6	3.3	15	.18	3.14	78%	12%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FIU Offense	12	55%	34%	16.8	31.6	265.2	8.4	15.8	20	12	.27	2.2	34%	28%	.3	12%	2.3
NMSU Defense	12	48%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.63	1.8	27%	40%	.75	5%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FIU Defense	12	46%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.48	1.5	28%	33%	.42	5%	2
NMSU Offense	12	62%	41%	24.7	43.2	269.7	6.3	10.9	15	10	.11	1.4	35%	28%	.2	8%	1.9

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: NR
Florida International's Offense Rating: NR
Florida International's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida International's 2022 Expected Record: -
Florida International's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.5 #131
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.4 #104
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.3 #129

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: New Mexico State: -5.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -25.5 New Mexico State: -15.4

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -5.2 NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #140
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico State's 2022 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #117
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.0 #128
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #61

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Florida International's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico State 26
Florida International 24

Projected Total Points: 50

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.2
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

New Mexico State's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/29	Florida International	34	New Mexico State	13	Florida International -7	Florida International	43.5	Over
2023	10/04	New Mexico State	34	Florida International	17	New Mexico State -6.5	New Mexico State	49.5	Over
2022	10/01	New Mexico State	7	Florida International	21	New Mexico State -15	Florida International	54.0	Under
2004	10/30	New Mexico State	56	Florida International	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico State	2	1	2 Overs
Florida International	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2

(#) FIU at (#) NMSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FIU	NMSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#131	#117
Perf GradeGrade	#125	#113
OffenseOff	#134	#96
DefenseDef	#69	#105
Spec TeamsST	#122	#132
TalentTal	#92	#140
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida International Injury Report

New Mexico State Injury Report

Florida International on Offense


CategoryCat	FIU Off	NMSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#134	#105
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#104	#61
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida International Run Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	#106	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#135	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#49

Florida International Pass Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	#106	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#130	#120
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	FIU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#96	#69
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#128	#129
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	FIU Def
Run GameRun	#20	#79
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#120	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#114

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	FIU Def
Pass GamePass	#73	#88
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#94	#29
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

FIU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
New Mexico State -15.0 (54.0)
Florida International won at New Mexico State this year (21-7)

Previous Matchups
Florida International beat New Mexico State in 2024 (34-13)
New Mexico State beat Florida International in 2023 (34-17)

FIU's OC David Yost (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NMSU's OC Tim Beck (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC Nate Dreiling (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD