Valparaiso at New Mexico State - 2022 Matchup Preview
Valparaiso logo   Valparaiso Crusaders at New Mexico State Aggies  New Mexico State logo
Saturday, December 3rd 2022 (3:00 PM EST)
New Mexico State -31.5 (55.0)
New Mexico State 65 - Valparaiso: 3

 
Crusaders (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 0 (0 - 0 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NMSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5  (SP+ NMSU -15)
NMSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 39%
Aggies (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jerry Kill (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (23 - 18 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Valparaiso's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/3 Valparaiso at New Mexico State+31.555.0L 3 - 65ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Valparaiso's Schedule
New Mexico State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 New Mexico State vs Nevada+7.048.0L 12 - 23UN
Thu 9/1 New Mexico State at Minnesota+36.052.5L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/10 New Mexico State at UTEP+17.046.5L 13 - 20UY
Sat 9/17 New Mexico State at Wisconsin+38.045.5L 7 - 66ON
Sat 9/24 New Mexico State vs Hawai'i-4.553.0W 45 - 26OY
Sat 10/1 New Mexico State vs Florida International-15.054.0L 7 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 New Mexico State vs New Mexico+7.038.5W 21 - 9UY
Sat 10/22 New Mexico State vs San José State+21.043.0
Sat 10/29 New Mexico State at Massachusetts-1.039.0W 23 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 New Mexico State vs Lamar-22.048.5W 51 - 14OY
Sat 11/19 New Mexico State at Missouri+29.046.5L 14 - 45ON
Sat 11/26 New Mexico State at Liberty+24.051.0W 49 - 14OY
Sat 12/3 New Mexico State vs Valparaiso-31.555.0W 65 - 3OY
Mon 12/26 New Mexico State vs Bowling Green+3.051.0W 24 - 19UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VALP0%00%000%000%00%0%0000
NMSU.1242%21.645%3.1410141%2703.11.450%27.651%50%3.9460.21.32
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VALP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VALP Offense0000%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NMSU Defense1227.617.749.9%3.942 - - - - - 51%48%51%50%17%.4
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VALP Defense0000%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NMSU Offense1221.623.241.9%3.111.3223701012703.338%62%45%41%20%.12

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Valparaiso00:000NAN%0%0000000100
New Mexico State1230:3121.938%45%6.960.21.3261.6026
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VALP Offense00%0%000000%0%0
NMSU Defense1251%51% - - - - .253.5367%12%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VALP Defense00%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NMSU Offense1238%45%30.8100.63.315.183.1478%12%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VALP Offense00%0%000000000%0%0%0
NMSU Defense1248%50% - - - - - - 10.631.827%40%.755%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VALP Defense00%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NMSU Offense1262%41%24.743.2269.76.310.91510.111.435%28%.28%1.9

Valparaiso's Power Ratings
Valparaiso's Power Rating: NR
Valparaiso's Offense Rating: NR
Valparaiso's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #226
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Valparaiso's 2022 Expected Record: -
Valparaiso's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Valparaiso's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Valparaiso's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Pioneer Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Valparaiso:    New Mexico State: -5.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Valparaiso:    New Mexico State: -15.4




New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -5.2 NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #140
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico State's 2022 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4  #117
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.0  #128
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0  #61

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Valparaiso Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 0 PPG
Defense on Road: 0

Valparaiso's 2022 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Valparaiso 11
New Mexico State 11

Projected Total Points: 22
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.2
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

New Mexico State's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202212/03New Mexico State65Valparaiso3New Mexico State -31.5New Mexico State55.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico State111 Overs
Valparaiso000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) VALP at (#) NMSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVALPNMSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #117
Perf GradeGradeNR #113
OffenseOffNR #96
DefenseDefNR #105
Spec TeamsSTNR #132
TalentTal #226 #140
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Valparaiso on Offense
CategoryCat
VALP OffNMSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #105
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #61
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Valparaiso Run Game
CategoryCat
VALP OffNMSU Def
Run GameRunNR #112
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #49
Valparaiso Pass Game
CategoryCat
VALP OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePassNR #65
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #120
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
New Mexico State on Offense
CategoryCatNMSU OffVALP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #96NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #128NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico State Run Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffVALP Def
Run GameRun #20NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #120 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico State Pass Game
CategoryCatNMSU OffVALP Def
Pass GamePass #73NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #94NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

VALP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
New Mexico State -31.5 (55.0)
New Mexico State won vs Valparaiso this year (65-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
VALP's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Valparaiso's Full Roster

VALP's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NMSU's OC Tim Beck (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC Nate Dreiling (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD