San José State at New Mexico State

San José State at New Mexico State - 2022 Matchup Preview

San José State Spartans at New Mexico State Aggies

Saturday, October 22nd 2022 (6:00 PM EDT)
San José State -21.0 (43.0)
Aggie Memorial Stadium - Las Cruces, NM

Spartans (7 - 5) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (20 - 37)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (17 - 36 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SJSU 2nd straight Road Game
NMSU 4th straight Home Game
SJSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ SJSU -11)
Projected Score: SJSU: 21 - NMSU: 28 (49)
SJSU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
SJSU Travel: 925 miles, 1 hrs behind

Aggies (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jerry Kill (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (23 - 18 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SJSU Players
NMSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San José State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	San José State vs Portland State	-22.0	51.0	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/10	San José State at Auburn	+24.0	48.5	L 16 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	San José State vs Western Michigan	-6.5	49.0	W 34 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/1	San José State at Wyoming	-2.5	42.5	W 33 - 16	O	Y
Fri 10/7	San José State vs UNLV	-6.5	51.5	W 40 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/15	San José State at Fresno State	-7.0	47.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/22	San José State at New Mexico State	-21.0	43.0
Sat 10/29	San José State vs Nevada	-24.5	44.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/5	San José State vs Colorado State	-24.0	44.5	W 28 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/12	San José State at San Diego State	-2.5	41.0	L 27 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/19	San José State at Utah State	+1.0	51.0	L 31 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/26	San José State vs Hawai'i	-15.5	58.5	W 27 - 14	U	N
Tue 12/20	San José State vs Eastern Michigan	-3.5	54.0	L 27 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule

New Mexico State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	New Mexico State vs Nevada	+7.0	48.0	L 12 - 23	U	N
Thu 9/1	New Mexico State at Minnesota	+36.0	52.5	L 0 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/10	New Mexico State at UTEP	+17.0	46.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/17	New Mexico State at Wisconsin	+38.0	45.5	L 7 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/24	New Mexico State vs Hawai'i	-4.5	53.0	W 45 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/1	New Mexico State vs Florida International	-15.0	54.0	L 7 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	New Mexico State vs New Mexico	+7.0	38.5	W 21 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/22	New Mexico State vs San José State	+21.0	43.0
Sat 10/29	New Mexico State at Massachusetts	-1.0	39.0	W 23 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	New Mexico State vs Lamar	-22.0	48.5	W 51 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/19	New Mexico State at Missouri	+29.0	46.5	L 14 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/26	New Mexico State at Liberty	+24.0	51.0	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/3	New Mexico State vs Valparaiso	-31.5	55.0	W 65 - 3	O	Y
Mon 12/26	New Mexico State vs Bowling Green	+3.0	51.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU	.11	40%	21.4	44%	2.88	121	36%	220	3.1	.15	42%	32.5	43%	42%	3.76	65.2	2	1.1
NMSU	.12	42%	21.6	45%	3.14	101	41%	270	3.11	.4	50%	27.6	51%	50%	3.94	60.2	1.3	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Offense	12	21.4	17	39.7%	3.1	2	17	340	121	220	4.1	46%	54%	44%	36%	23%	.11
NMSU Defense	12	27.6	17.7	49.9%	3.94	2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	51%	50%	17%	.4

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Defense	12	32.5	35.5	42.4%	3.76	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	43%	42%	21%	.15
NMSU Offense	12	21.6	23.2	41.9%	3.11	1.3	22	370	101	270	3.3	38%	62%	45%	41%	20%	.12

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San José State	12	26:44	16.8	35%	33%	7.3	65.2	2	1.1	6.7	2.3	1	28.2
New Mexico State	12	30:31	21.9	38%	45%	6.9	60.2	1.3	2	6	1.6	0	26

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense	12	46%	44%	29.3	120.5	4.1	12	.06	2.88	56%	14%	0.93
NMSU Defense	12	51%	51%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.53	67%	12%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense	12	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	.07	3.1	73%	13%	0.72
NMSU Offense	12	38%	45%	30.8	100.6	3.3	15	.18	3.14	78%	12%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense	12	54%	36%	17.3	33.5	219.7	6.6	12.7	15	10	.15	1.6	34%	31%	.28	9%	2.1
NMSU Defense	12	48%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.63	1.8	27%	40%	.75	5%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense	12	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.24	1.5	31%	27%	.23	9%	2
NMSU Offense	12	62%	41%	24.7	43.2	269.7	6.3	10.9	15	10	.11	1.4	35%	28%	.2	8%	1.9

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: NR
San José State's Offense Rating: NR
San José State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San José State's 2022 Expected Record: -
San José State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #84
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #101
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: New Mexico State: -5.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -4.3 New Mexico State: -15.4

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -5.2 NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #140
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico State's 2022 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #117
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.0 #128
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #61

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

San José State's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico State 28
San José State 21

Projected Total Points: 49

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.2
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

New Mexico State's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	10/02	San José State	37	New Mexico State	31	San José State -25.5	New Mexico State	51.5	Over
2012	11/10	New Mexico State	7	San José State	47
2011	09/24	San José State	34	New Mexico State	24
2010	10/30	New Mexico State	29	San José State	27
2009	11/28	San José State	13	New Mexico State	10
2008	10/18	New Mexico State	14	San José State	31
2007	11/10	San José State	51	New Mexico State	17
2006	11/04	New Mexico State	21	San José State	31
2005	11/19	San José State	27	New Mexico State	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico State	1	1	1 Overs
San José State	8	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 6	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) SJSU at (#) NMSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SJSU	NMSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#117
Perf GradeGrade	#69	#113
OffenseOff	#70	#96
DefenseDef	#54	#105
Spec TeamsST	#82	#132
TalentTal	#105	#140
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

San José State Injury Report

New Mexico State Injury Report

San José State on Offense


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	NMSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#70	#105
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#101	#61
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San José State Run Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	#53	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#110	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#49

San José State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	#46	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#88	#120
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	SJSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#96	#54
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#128	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	#20	#58
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#120	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#84

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	#73	#75
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#94	#44
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

SJSU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NMSU's OC Tim Beck (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC Nate Dreiling (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD