San Diego State at Nevada - 2022 Matchup Preview
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San Diego State Aztecs at Nevada Wolf Pack

Nevada logo
Saturday, October 22nd 2022 (10:30 PM EDT)
San Diego State -7.5 (36.0)
San Diego State 23 - Nevada: 7  (Mountain West)

 
Aztecs (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brady Hoke (16 - 6)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (18 - 18 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SDSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ SDSU -18)
Projected Score: SDSU: 24 - NEV: 18 (42)
SDSU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
SDSU Travel: 491 miles
Wolf Pack (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ken Wilson (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (20 - 25 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
San Diego State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 San Diego State vs Arizona-6.046.5L 20 - 38ON
Sat 9/10 San Diego State vs Idaho State-33.550.5W 38 - 7UN
Sat 9/17 San Diego State at Utah+21.548.0L 7 - 35UN
Sat 9/24 San Diego State vs Toledo+2.544.5W 17 - 14UY
Fri 9/30 San Diego State at Boise State+6.038.0L 13 - 35ON
Sat 10/8 San Diego State vs Hawai'i-23.548.5W 16 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 San Diego State at Nevada-7.536.0W 23 - 7UY
Sat 10/29 San Diego State at Fresno State+10.043.5L 28 - 32OY
Sat 11/5 San Diego State vs UNLV-5.047.0W 14 - 10UN
Sat 11/12 San Diego State vs San José State+2.541.0W 43 - 27OY
Fri 11/18 San Diego State at New Mexico-15.036.0W 34 - 10OY
Sat 11/26 San Diego State vs Air Force+2.043.5L 3 - 13UN
Sat 12/24 San Diego State vs Middle Tennessee-7.047.0L 23 - 25ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
Nevada's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 Nevada at New Mexico State-7.048.0W 23 - 12UY
Sat 9/3 Nevada vs Texas State+2.051.5W 38 - 14OY
Sat 9/10 Nevada vs Incarnate Word-4.061.5L 41 - 55ON
Sat 9/17 Nevada at Iowa+24.039.0L 0 - 27UN
Fri 9/23 Nevada at Air Force+24.047.0L 20 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/7 Nevada vs Colorado State-3.544.0L 14 - 17UN
Sat 10/15 Nevada at Hawai'i-6.551.5L 16 - 31UN
Sat 10/22 Nevada vs San Diego State+7.536.0L 7 - 23UN
Sat 10/29 Nevada at San José State+24.544.5L 28 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 Nevada vs Boise State+21.047.0L 3 - 41UN
Sat 11/19 Nevada vs Fresno State+22.554.0L 14 - 41ON
Sat 11/26 Nevada at UNLV+12.549.0L 22 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU.1540%26.440%317539%1683.57.0736%15.433%38%3.4667.911.9
NEV.2743%17.640%2.777745%3474.01.2146%27.552%41%3.7555.10.82.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Offense1426.418.239.7%3.571193431751684.356%43%40%39%15%.15
NEV Defense1327.525.246.2%3.752.7 - - - - - 50%49%52%41%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Defense1415.418.335.8%3.461.9 - - - - - 39%61%33%38%20%.07
NEV Offense1317.619.742.9%4.010.82242477347332%67%40%45%16%.27

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San Diego State1432:0418.632%63%7.467.911.96.82.9530.5
Nevada1328:5222.241%57%6.555.10.82.76.13.2331.2
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense1456%40%40.8174.94.326.17376%10%1.14
NEV Defense1350%52% - - - - .273.5682%11%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense1439%33% - - - - -.062.6165%12%0.84
NEV Offense1332%40%25.977.4313.072.7770%11%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense1443%39%14.925.8167.96.511.3165.171.433%28%.245%1.9
NEV Defense1349%41% - - - - - - 14.191.528%29%.227%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense1461%38% - - - - - - 17.181.536%26%.198%1.9
NEV Offense1367%45%30.4443477.911.4389.391.632%34%.445%2

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San Diego State's 2022 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4  #85
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1  #124
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #35

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State:    Nevada: -8.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -4.4   Nevada: -22.4




Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -8.7 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2022 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4  #127
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9  #121
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8  #114

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

San Diego State's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
San Diego State 24
Nevada 18

Projected Total Points: 42
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Nevada's 2022 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Nevada10San Diego State44San Diego State -6.5San Diego State42.5Over
202310/21San Diego State0Nevada6San Diego State -11Nevada48.5Under
202210/22Nevada7San Diego State23San Diego State -7.5San Diego State36.0Under
202111/13San Diego State23Nevada21San Diego State -2.5Nevada45.0Under
202011/21Nevada26San Diego State21San Diego State -1.5Nevada46.5Over
201911/09San Diego State13Nevada17San Diego State -17Nevada39.5Under
201810/27Nevada28San Diego State24Nevada -1Nevada45.5Over
201711/18San Diego State42Nevada23San Diego State -17.5San Diego State56.0Over
201611/12Nevada16San Diego State46San Diego State -20.5San Diego State50.5Over
201511/28San Diego State31Nevada14San Diego State -14San Diego State48.5Under
201411/01Nevada30San Diego State14Nevada -6Nevada0
201310/04San Diego State51Nevada44San Diego State -5.5San Diego State0
201210/20Nevada38San Diego State39
200409/25San Diego State27Nevada10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nevada565 Overs
San Diego State965 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 66 - 65 - 31 - 3
Road Teams6 - 86 - 63 - 13 - 5

(#) SDSU at (#) NEV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSDSUNEV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #127
Perf GradeGrade #80 #130
OffenseOff #121 #127
DefenseDef #35 #110
Spec TeamsST #45 #84
TalentTal #115 #106
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
San Diego State on Offense
CategoryCat
SDSU OffNEV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #121 #110
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #124 #114
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
San Diego State Run Game
CategoryCat
SDSU OffNEV Def
Run GameRun #95 #119
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #123 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #105
San Diego State Pass Game
CategoryCat
SDSU OffNEV Def
Pass GamePass #120 #84
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #63 #118
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCatNEV OffSDSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #127 #35
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #121 #35
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffSDSU Def
Run GameRun #133 #72
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #105 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #116
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCatNEV OffSDSU Def
Pass GamePass #106 #25
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #106 #16
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
San Diego State 7.5 (36.0)
San Diego State won at Nevada this year (23-7)

Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat Nevada last year (44-10)
Nevada beat San Diego State in 2023 (6-0)

  
SDSU's OC Jeff Hecklinski (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Kurt Mattix (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NEV's OC Derek Sage (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC Kwame Agyeman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD