Nevada at UNLV - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 26th 2022 (6:00 PM EST)
UNLV -12.5 (49.0)
UNLV 27 - Nevada: 22 (Mountain West)

Wolf Pack (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ken Wilson (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (18 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNLV is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -8 (SP+ UNLV -11)
Projected Score: NEV: 26 - UNLV: 31 (57)
UNLV Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
NEV Travel: 2599 miles

Rebels (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Marcus Arroyo (2 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (34 - 28 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NEV Players
UNLV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nevada's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Nevada at New Mexico State	-7.0	48.0	W 23 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/3	Nevada vs Texas State	+2.0	51.5	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Nevada vs Incarnate Word	-4.0	61.5	L 41 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/17	Nevada at Iowa	+24.0	39.0	L 0 - 27	U	N
Fri 9/23	Nevada at Air Force	+24.0	47.0	L 20 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/7	Nevada vs Colorado State	-3.5	44.0	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	Nevada at Hawai'i	-6.5	51.5	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/22	Nevada vs San Diego State	+7.5	36.0	L 7 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/29	Nevada at San José State	+24.5	44.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	Nevada vs Boise State	+21.0	47.0	L 3 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/19	Nevada vs Fresno State	+22.5	54.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/26	Nevada at UNLV	+12.5	49.0	L 22 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule

UNLV's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	UNLV vs Idaho State	-23.0	50.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/10	UNLV at California	+12.0	49.5	L 14 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/17	UNLV vs North Texas	-2.5	62.5	W 58 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/24	UNLV at Utah State	-3.0	61.5	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Fri 9/30	UNLV vs New Mexico	-14.0	44.0	W 31 - 20	O	N
Fri 10/7	UNLV at San José State	+6.5	51.5	L 7 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/15	UNLV vs Air Force	+10.0	50.0	L 7 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/22	UNLV at Notre Dame	+26.0	46.5	L 21 - 44	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	UNLV at San Diego State	+5.0	47.0	L 10 - 14	U	Y
Fri 11/11	UNLV vs Fresno State	+9.0	61.5	L 30 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/19	UNLV at Hawai'i	-11.0	56.5	L 25 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/26	UNLV vs Nevada	-12.5	49.0	W 27 - 22	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV	.04	35%	18.8	37%	2.89	119	33%	186	2.85	.26	43%	30.9	44%	42%	3.97	55.1	1.4	1.7
UNLV	.18	40%	26.3	45%	3.34	137	37%	215	3.57	.2	46%	28.5	51%	41%	3.62	57.3	1.3	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV	#55 (.21)	45% (46)		47% (33)	3.06 (59)	164	42% (65)	213	3.88 (73)	#110 (.24)	46% (117)		49% (121)	43% (92)	4.33 (114)	73.1	1.2	1
UNLV	#56 (.21)	42% (84)		43% (83)	3.36 (16)	248	40% (90)	173	4.26 (33)	#34 (.11)	37% (14)		40% (39)	36% (14)	4.05 (97)	49.2	0.6	1.6

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Offense	12	18.8	18.2	34.8%	2.85	1.4	17	305	119	186	3.3	47%	52%	37%	33%	23%	.04
UNLV Defense	12	28.5	28.2	46%	3.62	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	51%	41%	16%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Defense	12	30.9	30	42.9%	3.97	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	44%	42%	19%	.26
UNLV Offense	12	26.3	34.2	40.4%	3.57	1.3	18	352	137	215	4.1	47%	51%	45%	37%	20%	.18

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nevada	12	28:29	16.9	35%	50%	6	55.1	1.4	1.7	6.3	2.2	1	27.2
UNLV	12	28:49	17.6	33%	53%	5.8	57.3	1.3	2.1	4.6	2.3	2	27.1

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Offense	12	47%	37%	35.6	118.9	3.3	19	.01	2.89	73%	15%	1.08
UNLV Defense	12	53%	51%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.55	77%	10%	0.8

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Defense	12	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.46	90%	13%	0.95
UNLV Offense	12	47%	45%	33.6	137.3	4.1	18	.27	3.34	84%	14%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Offense	12	52%	33%	18.1	33.2	185.6	5.6	10.3	7	8	.1	1.6	38%	27%	.19	8%	2.2
UNLV Defense	12	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.33	1.7	28%	34%	.37	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Defense	12	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.35	1.8	33%	30%	.44	6%	2.4
UNLV Offense	12	51%	37%	18.9	30.1	215	7.2	11.4	15	7	.17	1.5	33%	26%	.25	6%	2.1

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2022 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #127
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9 #121
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #114

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada: UNLV: -3.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -22.4 UNLV: -11.9

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -3.45 NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UNLV's 2022 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #104
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #96
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #99

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Nevada's 2022 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
UNLV 31
Nevada 26

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
UNLV 30
Nevada 27

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
UNLV 31
Nevada 24

Total Points: 55

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.2
Defense: 28.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.2

UNLV's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Nevada	17	UNLV	42	UNLV -7.5	UNLV	53.0	Over
2024	11/30	UNLV	38	Nevada	14	UNLV -17.5	UNLV	54.5	Under
2023	10/14	Nevada	27	UNLV	45	UNLV -7.5	UNLV	51.5	Over
2022	11/26	UNLV	27	Nevada	22	UNLV -12.5	Nevada	49.0	Push
2021	10/29	Nevada	51	UNLV	20	Nevada -19	Nevada	58.0	Over
2020	10/31	UNLV	19	Nevada	37	Nevada -10.5	Nevada	0
2019	11/30	Nevada	30	UNLV	33	Nevada -6.5	UNLV	52.0	Over
2018	11/24	UNLV	34	Nevada	29	Nevada -14	UNLV	60.5	Over
2017	11/25	Nevada	23	UNLV	16	Nevada -3	Nevada	70.0	Under
2016	11/26	UNLV	10	Nevada	45	UNLV -7	Nevada	59.0	Under
2015	10/03	Nevada	17	UNLV	23	Nevada -11.5	UNLV	57.0	Under
2014	11/29	UNLV	27	Nevada	49	Nevada -10	Nevada	0
2013	10/26	Nevada	22	UNLV	27	Nevada -3.5	UNLV	0
2012	10/13	UNLV	37	Nevada	42
2011	10/08	Nevada	37	UNLV	0
2010	10/02	UNLV	26	Nevada	44
2009	10/03	Nevada	63	UNLV	28
2008	09/27	UNLV	27	Nevada	49
2007	09/29	Nevada	27	UNLV	20
2006	09/30	UNLV	3	Nevada	31
2005	09/17	Nevada	22	UNLV	14
2004	10/02	UNLV	48	Nevada	13
2003	10/04	Nevada	12	UNLV	16
2002	10/05	UNLV	21	Nevada	17
2001	10/06	Nevada	12	UNLV	27
2000	10/06	UNLV	38	Nevada	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UNLV	13	7	5 Overs
Nevada	13	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 14	4 - 9	3 - 5	1 - 4
Road Teams	14 - 12	9 - 4	4 - 1	5 - 3

(#) NEV at (#) UNLV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NEV	UNLV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#127	#104
Perf GradeGrade	#130	#71
OffenseOff	#127	#76
DefenseDef	#110	#59
Spec TeamsST	#84	#71
TalentTal	#106	#118
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Nevada Injury Report

UNLV Injury Report

Nevada on Offense


CategoryCat	NEV Off	UNLV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#127	#59
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#121	#99
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nevada Run Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	#133	#52
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#105	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#68

Nevada Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	#106	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#106	#92
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UNLV on Offense


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	NEV Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#76	#110
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#96	#114
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UNLV Run Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	NEV Def
Run GameRun	#81	#119
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#59	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#105

UNLV Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	NEV Def
Pass GamePass	#85	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#57	#118
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

NEV 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
UNLV -12.5 (49.0)
UNLV won vs Nevada this year (27-22)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Nevada last year (38-14)
UNLV beat Nevada in 2023 (45-27)
UNLV beat Nevada in 2022 (27-22)

NEV's OC Derek Sage (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC Kwame Agyeman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNLV's OC Nick Holz (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Keith Heyward (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD