Colorado State at Nevada - 2022 Matchup Preview

Friday, October 7th 2022 (10:30 PM EDT)
Nevada -3.5 (44.0)
Colorado State 17 - Nevada: 14 (Mountain West)

Rams (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 13 - 27 (12 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CSU coming off BYE
NEV coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ CSU -0)
Projected Score: CSU: 22 - NEV: 31 (53)
NEV Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
CSU Travel: 781 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Wolf Pack (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ken Wilson (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (20 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CSU Players
NEV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Colorado State at Michigan	+31.0	60.5	L 7 - 51	U	N
Sat 9/10	Colorado State vs Middle Tennessee	-13.5	58.0	L 19 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/17	Colorado State at Washington State	+17.0	51.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/24	Colorado State vs Sacramento State	+4.5	59.5	L 10 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/7	Colorado State at Nevada	+3.5	44.0	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Colorado State vs Utah State	+14.0	45.5	L 13 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Colorado State vs Hawai'i	-6.0	46.0	W 17 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/29	Colorado State at Boise State	+25.0	42.5	L 10 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/5	Colorado State at San José State	+24.0	44.5	L 16 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Colorado State vs Wyoming	+8.5	42.5	L 13 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Colorado State at Air Force	+22.0	43.0	L 12 - 24	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Colorado State vs New Mexico	-7.5	36.0	W 17 - 0	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

Nevada's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Nevada at New Mexico State	-7.0	48.0	W 23 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/3	Nevada vs Texas State	+2.0	51.5	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Nevada vs Incarnate Word	-4.0	61.5	L 41 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/17	Nevada at Iowa	+24.0	39.0	L 0 - 27	U	N
Fri 9/23	Nevada at Air Force	+24.0	47.0	L 20 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/7	Nevada vs Colorado State	-3.5	44.0	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	Nevada at Hawai'i	-6.5	51.5	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/22	Nevada vs San Diego State	+7.5	36.0	L 7 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/29	Nevada at San José State	+24.5	44.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	Nevada vs Boise State	+21.0	47.0	L 3 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/19	Nevada vs Fresno State	+22.5	54.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/26	Nevada at UNLV	+12.5	49.0	L 22 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU	.05	34%	13.2	36%	2.91	89	32%	197	1.96	.16	43%	26.9	44%	43%	4.24	60.4	1.6	1.7
NEV	.04	35%	18.8	37%	2.89	119	33%	186	2.85	.26	43%	30.9	44%	42%	3.97	55.1	1.4	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU	#90 (.16)	42% (76)		43% (80)	2.88 (96)	162	41% (81)	192	3.56 (98)	#61 (.16)	42% (78)		42% (59)	43% (94)	4 (88)	47.3	1.2	1.5
NEV	#55 (.21)	45% (46)		47% (33)	3.06 (59)	164	42% (65)	213	3.88 (73)	#110 (.24)	46% (117)		49% (121)	43% (92)	4.33 (114)	73.1	1.2	1

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Offense	12	13.2	11.5	33.7%	1.96	1.6	15	286	89	197	2.8	46%	54%	36%	32%	24%	.05
NEV Defense	12	30.9	31.8	42.9%	3.97	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	44%	42%	19%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Defense	12	26.9	34	43.1%	4.24	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	44%	43%	17%	.16
NEV Offense	12	18.8	19.5	34.8%	2.85	1.4	17	305	119	186	3.3	47%	52%	37%	33%	23%	.04

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado State	12	29:28	14.7	23%	39%	6.9	60.4	1.6	1.7	5.4	1.8	2	28.7
Nevada	12	28:29	16.9	35%	50%	6	55.1	1.4	1.7	6.3	2.2	1	27.2

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Offense	12	46%	36%	32.1	89	2.8	4	.04	2.91	61%	18%	1.01
NEV Defense	12	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.46	90%	13%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Defense	12	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.1	77%	10%	1.02
NEV Offense	12	47%	37%	35.6	118.9	3.3	19	.01	2.89	73%	15%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Offense	12	54%	32%	16.9	26.8	196.8	7.3	11.6	12	11	.08	1.8	39%	23%	.21	6%	2.4
NEV Defense	12	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.35	1.8	33%	30%	.44	6%	2.4

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.22	1.4	31%	30%	.25	7%	2
NEV Offense	12	52%	33%	18.1	33.2	185.6	5.6	10.3	7	8	.1	1.6	38%	27%	.19	8%	2.2

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: NR
Colorado State's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Colorado State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Colorado State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.2 #126
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 7.8 #131
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #77

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: Nevada: -8.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -22.2 Nevada: -22.4

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -8.7 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2022 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #127
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9 #121
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #114

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 13.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.5
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Colorado State's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 11
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Nevada 31
Colorado State 22

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Nevada 37
Colorado State 22

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Nevada 25
Colorado State 22

Total Points: 47

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.8

Nevada's 2022 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Nevada	21	Colorado State	38	Colorado State -2	Colorado State	45.5	Over
2023	11/18	Colorado State	30	Nevada	20	Colorado State -12.5	Nevada	45.5	Over
2022	10/07	Nevada	14	Colorado State	17	Nevada -3.5	Colorado State	44.0	Under
2021	11/27	Colorado State	10	Nevada	52	Nevada -3	Nevada	57.5	Over
2018	11/10	Nevada	49	Colorado State	10	Nevada -14	Nevada	61.5	Under
2017	10/14	Colorado State	44	Nevada	42	Colorado State -24.5	Nevada	65.5	Over
2015	12/29	Colorado State	23	Nevada	28	Colorado State -3.5	Nevada	0
2014	10/11	Nevada	24	Colorado State	31	Colorado State -2.5	Colorado State	65.5	Under
2013	11/09	Colorado State	38	Nevada	17	Colorado State -8	Colorado State	0
2010	09/11	Nevada	51	Colorado State	6
2009	09/19	Colorado State	35	Nevada	20
2006	09/16	Nevada	28	Colorado State	10
2005	09/24	Colorado State	42	Nevada	21
2002	09/28	Nevada	28	Colorado State	32
2001	09/08	Colorado State	35	Nevada	18
2000	09/29	Nevada	14	Colorado State	45

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nevada	5	5	4 Overs
Colorado State	11	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 7	2 - 7	2 - 4	0 - 3
Road Teams	7 - 9	7 - 2	3 - 0	4 - 2

(#) CSU at (#) NEV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CSU	NEV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#126	#127
Perf GradeGrade	#117	#130
OffenseOff	#133	#127
DefenseDef	#40	#110
Spec TeamsST	#121	#84
TalentTal	#102	#106
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Colorado State Injury Report

Nevada Injury Report

Colorado State on Offense


CategoryCat	CSU Off	NEV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#133	#110
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#131	#114
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado State Run Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	NEV Def
Run GameRun	#122	#119
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#134	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#105

Colorado State Pass Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	NEV Def
Pass GamePass	#91	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#128	#118
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Nevada on Offense


CategoryCat	NEV Off	CSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#127	#40
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#121	#77
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nevada Run Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	#133	#86
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#105	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#38

Nevada Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	#106	#32
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#106	#19
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

CSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 67°

Rematch from Week 6
Nevada -3.5 (44.0)
Colorado State won at Nevada this year (17-14)

Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat Nevada last year (38-21)
Colorado State beat Nevada in 2023 (30-20)
Colorado State beat Nevada in 2022 (17-14)

CSU's OC Matt Mumme (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Freddie Banks (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NEV's OC Derek Sage (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC Kwame Agyeman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD