New Mexico State at Missouri - 2022 Matchup Preview
New Mexico State logo   New Mexico State Aggies at Missouri Tigers  Missouri logo
Saturday, November 19th 2022 (7:30 PM EST)
Missouri -29 (46.5)
Missouri 45 - New Mexico State: 14

 
Aggies (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jerry Kill (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (20 - 38 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MIZ is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -14.5  (SP+ MIZ -24)
Projected Score: NMSU: 20 - MIZ: 34 (54)
MIZ Win prob: 96% | Cover: 42%
NMSU Travel: 929 miles, 1 hrs behind
Tigers (6 - 7) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (11 - 12)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (40 - 21 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 New Mexico State vs Nevada+7.048.0L 12 - 23UN
Thu 9/1 New Mexico State at Minnesota+36.052.5L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/10 New Mexico State at UTEP+17.046.5L 13 - 20UY
Sat 9/17 New Mexico State at Wisconsin+38.045.5L 7 - 66ON
Sat 9/24 New Mexico State vs Hawai'i-4.553.0W 45 - 26OY
Sat 10/1 New Mexico State vs Florida International-15.054.0L 7 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 New Mexico State vs New Mexico+7.038.5W 21 - 9UY
Sat 10/22 New Mexico State vs San José State+21.043.0
Sat 10/29 New Mexico State at Massachusetts-1.039.0W 23 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 New Mexico State vs Lamar-22.048.5W 51 - 14OY
Sat 11/19 New Mexico State at Missouri+29.046.5L 14 - 45ON
Sat 11/26 New Mexico State at Liberty+24.051.0W 49 - 14OY
Sat 12/3 New Mexico State vs Valparaiso-31.555.0W 65 - 3OY
Mon 12/26 New Mexico State vs Bowling Green+3.051.0W 24 - 19UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Missouri's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Missouri vs Louisiana Tech-20.062.5W 52 - 24OY
Sat 9/10 Missouri at Kansas State+7.052.5L 12 - 40UN
Sat 9/17 Missouri vs Abilene Christian-31.556.5W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/24 Missouri at Auburn+7.551.0L 14 - 17UY
Sat 10/1 Missouri vs Georgia+30.554.0L 22 - 26UY
Sat 10/8 Missouri at Florida+11.053.5L 17 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Missouri vs Vanderbilt-14.049.0W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/29 Missouri at South Carolina+3.545.5W 23 - 10UY
Sat 11/5 Missouri vs Kentucky-1.040.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 11/12 Missouri at Tennessee+18.557.5L 24 - 66ON
Sat 11/19 Missouri vs New Mexico State-29.046.5W 45 - 14OY
Fri 11/25 Missouri vs Arkansas+3.055.5W 29 - 27OY
Fri 12/23 Missouri vs Wake Forest+3.059.0L 17 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU.1242%21.645%3.1410141%2703.11.450%27.651%50%3.9460.21.32
MIZ.2244%30.245%3.1318043%2343.88.2945%18.946%43%4.5659.211.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1221.62041.9%3.111.3223701012703.338%62%45%41%20%.12
MIZ Defense1318.920.644.6%4.561.2 - - - - - 58%42%46%43%17%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1227.637.549.9%3.942 - - - - - 51%48%51%50%17%.4
MIZ Offense1330.239.544.2%3.881224141802345.148%52%45%43%15%.22

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1230:3121.938%45%6.960.21.3261.6026
Missouri1330:1821.744%58%6.459.211.26.42.2227.1
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1238%45%30.8100.63.315.183.1478%12%0.91
MIZ Defense1358%46% - - - - .243.1175%12%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1251%51% - - - - .253.5367%12%1.05
MIZ Offense1348%45%35.7180.25.122.153.1382%10%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1262%41%24.743.2269.76.310.91510.111.435%28%.28%1.9
MIZ Defense1342%43% - - - - - - 11.391.730%32%.396%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1248%50% - - - - - - 10.631.827%40%.755%2.3
MIZ Offense1352%43%23.235233.56.710.11911.281.532%27%.246%1.9

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #140
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2022 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4  #117
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.0  #128
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0  #61

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    Missouri: 6.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -15.4   Missouri: 8.1




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 6.55 NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Missouri's 2022 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1  #44
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0  #67
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.3  #25

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

New Mexico State's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 34
New Mexico State 20

Projected Total Points: 54
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Missouri's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/19Missouri45New Mexico State14Missouri -29Missouri46.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri111 Overs
New Mexico State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) NMSU at (#) MIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNMSUMIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #117 #44
Perf GradeGrade #113 #63
OffenseOff #96 #84
DefenseDef #105 #30
Spec TeamsST #132 #44
TalentTal #140 #31
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
New Mexico State on Offense
CategoryCat
NMSU OffMIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #96 #30
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #128 #25
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico State Run Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffMIZ Def
Run GameRun #20 #35
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #120 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #53
New Mexico State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePass #73 #45
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #94 #23
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Missouri on Offense
CategoryCatMIZ OffNMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #84 #105
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #61
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Missouri Run Game
CategoryCat
MIZ OffNMSU Def
Run GameRun #72 #112
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #86 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #49
Missouri Pass Game
CategoryCatMIZ OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePass #77 #65
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #75 #120
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Missouri -29.0 (46.5)
Missouri won vs New Mexico State this year (45-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NMSU's OC Tim Beck (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC Nate Dreiling (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MIZ's OC Curtis Luper (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Blake Baker (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD