Nevada at San José State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Nevada Wolf Pack at San José State Spartans

Saturday, October 29th 2022 (10:30 PM EDT)
San José State -24.5 (44.5)
San José State 35 - Nevada: 28 (Mountain West)

Wolf Pack (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ken Wilson (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (16 - 30 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SJSU is playing their 6th straight game
NEV is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -11.5 (SP+ SJSU -18)
Projected Score: NEV: 24 - SJSU: 26 (50)
SJSU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
NEV Travel: 190 miles

Spartans (7 - 5) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (20 - 37)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (26 - 30 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NEV Players
SJSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nevada's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Nevada at New Mexico State	-7.0	48.0	W 23 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/3	Nevada vs Texas State	+2.0	51.5	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Nevada vs Incarnate Word	-4.0	61.5	L 41 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/17	Nevada at Iowa	+24.0	39.0	L 0 - 27	U	N
Fri 9/23	Nevada at Air Force	+24.0	47.0	L 20 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/7	Nevada vs Colorado State	-3.5	44.0	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/15	Nevada at Hawai'i	-6.5	51.5	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/22	Nevada vs San Diego State	+7.5	36.0	L 7 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/29	Nevada at San José State	+24.5	44.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	Nevada vs Boise State	+21.0	47.0	L 3 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/19	Nevada vs Fresno State	+22.5	54.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/26	Nevada at UNLV	+12.5	49.0	L 22 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule

San José State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	San José State vs Portland State	-22.0	51.0	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/10	San José State at Auburn	+24.0	48.5	L 16 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	San José State vs Western Michigan	-6.5	49.0	W 34 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/1	San José State at Wyoming	-2.5	42.5	W 33 - 16	O	Y
Fri 10/7	San José State vs UNLV	-6.5	51.5	W 40 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/15	San José State at Fresno State	-7.0	47.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/22	San José State at New Mexico State	-21.0	43.0
Sat 10/29	San José State vs Nevada	-24.5	44.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/5	San José State vs Colorado State	-24.0	44.5	W 28 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/12	San José State at San Diego State	-2.5	41.0	L 27 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/19	San José State at Utah State	+1.0	51.0	L 31 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/26	San José State vs Hawai'i	-15.5	58.5	W 27 - 14	U	N
Tue 12/20	San José State vs Eastern Michigan	-3.5	54.0	L 27 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV	.27	43%	17.6	40%	2.77	77	45%	347	4.01	.21	46%	27.5	52%	41%	3.75	55.1	0.8	2.7
SJSU	.11	40%	21.4	44%	2.88	121	36%	220	3.1	.15	42%	32.5	43%	42%	3.76	65.2	2	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SJSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Offense	13	17.6	15.5	42.9%	4.01	0.8	22	424	77	347	3	32%	67%	40%	45%	16%	.27
SJSU Defense	12	32.5	29.5	42.4%	3.76	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	43%	42%	21%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Defense	13	27.5	29.8	46.2%	3.75	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	52%	41%	18%	.21
SJSU Offense	12	21.4	25.8	39.7%	3.1	2	17	340	121	220	4.1	46%	54%	44%	36%	23%	.11

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nevada	13	28:52	22.2	41%	57%	6.5	55.1	0.8	2.7	6.1	3.2	3	31.2
San José State	12	26:44	16.8	35%	33%	7.3	65.2	2	1.1	6.7	2.3	1	28.2

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Offense	13	32%	40%	25.9	77.4	3	13	.07	2.77	70%	11%	0.96
SJSU Defense	12	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	.07	3.1	73%	13%	0.72

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Defense	13	50%	52%	-	-	-	-	.27	3.56	82%	11%	1.01
SJSU Offense	12	46%	44%	29.3	120.5	4.1	12	.06	2.88	56%	14%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Offense	13	67%	45%	30.4	44	347	7.9	11.4	38	9	.39	1.6	32%	34%	.44	5%	2
SJSU Defense	12	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.24	1.5	31%	27%	.23	9%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.19	1.5	28%	29%	.22	7%	2
SJSU Offense	12	54%	36%	17.3	33.5	219.7	6.6	12.7	15	10	.15	1.6	34%	31%	.28	9%	2.1

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2022 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #127
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9 #121
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #114

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada: San José State: 0.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -22.4 San José State: -4.3

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: 0.35 NR
San José State's Offense Rating: NR
San José State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
San José State's 2022 Expected Record: -
San José State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #84
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #101
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Nevada's 2022 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
San José State 26
Nevada 24

Projected Total Points: 50

San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.8
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

San José State's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Nevada	55	San José State	10	San José State -10	Nevada	49.5	Over
2024	10/05	San José State	35	Nevada	31	San José State -7	Nevada	51.5	Over
2022	10/29	San José State	35	Nevada	28	San José State -24.5	Nevada	44.5	Over
2021	11/06	Nevada	27	San José State	24	Nevada -11.5	San José State	55.5	Under
2020	12/11	San José State	30	Nevada	20	Nevada -1.5	San José State	60.5	Under
2019	10/12	Nevada	41	San José State	38	Nevada -3	Push	60.5	Over
2018	11/17	San José State	12	Nevada	21	Nevada -14.5	San José State	59.5	Under
2017	11/11	Nevada	59	San José State	14	Nevada -17.5	Nevada	67.5	Over
2016	10/15	San José State	14	Nevada	10	San José State -5	Nevada	56.0	Under
2015	11/14	Nevada	37	San José State	34	Nevada -1	Nevada	52.5	Over
2014	09/27	San José State	10	Nevada	21	Nevada -3	Nevada	0
2013	11/16	Nevada	38	San José State	16	San José State -7	Nevada	0
2011	09/17	San José State	14	Nevada	17
2010	10/09	Nevada	35	San José State	13
2009	11/08	San José State	7	Nevada	62
2008	11/15	Nevada	41	San José State	17
2007	11/24	San José State	27	Nevada	24
2006	10/21	Nevada	23	San José State	7
2005	10/01	San José State	23	Nevada	30
2004	11/06	Nevada	42	San José State	24
2003	09/18	San José State	30	Nevada	42
2002	10/19	Nevada	52	San José State	24
2001	11/10	San José State	64	Nevada	45
2000	10/20	Nevada	30	San José State	49

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San José State	7	3	6 Overs
Nevada	17	8	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	17 - 7	6 - 5	2 - 4	4 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 17	5 - 6	1 - 4	4 - 2

(#) NEV at (#) SJSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NEV	SJSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#127	#84
Perf GradeGrade	#130	#69
OffenseOff	#127	#70
DefenseDef	#110	#54
Spec TeamsST	#84	#82
TalentTal	#106	#105
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Nevada Injury Report

San José State Injury Report

Nevada on Offense


CategoryCat	NEV Off	SJSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#127	#54
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#121	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nevada Run Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	#133	#58
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#105	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#84

Nevada Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	#106	#75
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#106	#44
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

San José State on Offense


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	NEV Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#70	#110
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#101	#114
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San José State Run Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	NEV Def
Run GameRun	#53	#119
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#110	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#105

San José State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	NEV Def
Pass GamePass	#46	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#88	#118
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

NEV 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
San José State -24.5 (44.5)
San José State won vs Nevada this year (35-28)

Previous Matchups
Nevada beat San José State last year (55-10)
San José State beat Nevada in 2024 (35-31)

NEV's OC Derek Sage (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC Kwame Agyeman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SJSU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD