Arizona State at USC - 2022 Matchup Preview
Arizona State logo   Arizona State Sun Devils at USC Trojans  USC logo
Saturday, October 1st 2022 (10:30 PM EDT)
USC -24.5 (61.0)
USC 42 - Arizona State: 25  (Pac-12)

 
Sun Devils (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Herm Edwards (25 - 18)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 25 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USC is playing their 5th straight game
ASU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -14  (SP+ USC -23)
Projected Score: ASU: 23 - USC: 32 (55)
USC Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
ASU Travel: 367 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Arizona State vs Northern Arizona-25.552.5W 40 - 3UY
Sat 9/10 Arizona State at Oklahoma State+12.058.5L 17 - 34UN
Sat 9/17 Arizona State vs Eastern Michigan-20.556.5L 21 - 30UN
Sat 9/24 Arizona State vs Utah+16.554.0L 13 - 34UN
Sat 10/1 Arizona State at USC+24.561.0L 25 - 42OY
Sat 10/8 Arizona State vs Washington+13.556.0W 45 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Arizona State at Stanford+3.052.0L 14 - 15UY
Sat 10/29 Arizona State at Colorado-13.049.0W 42 - 34ON
Sat 11/5 Arizona State vs UCLA+11.066.5L 36 - 50ON
Sat 11/12 Arizona State at Washington State+9.559.5L 18 - 28UN
Sat 11/19 Arizona State vs Oregon State+7.553.5L 7 - 31UN
Fri 11/25 Arizona State at Arizona+4.066.5L 35 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
USC's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 USC vs Rice-33.061.5W 66 - 14OY
Sat 9/10 USC at Stanford-9.566.5W 41 - 28OY
Sat 9/17 USC vs Fresno State-11.071.0W 45 - 17UY
Sat 9/24 USC at Oregon State-5.570.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/1 USC vs Arizona State-24.561.0W 42 - 25ON
Sat 10/8 USC vs Washington State-12.564.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/15 USC at Utah+3.565.0L 42 - 43OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 USC at Arizona-14.074.0W 45 - 37ON
Sat 11/5 USC vs California-21.560.5W 41 - 35ON
Fri 11/11 USC vs Colorado-34.066.0W 55 - 17OY
Sat 11/19 USC at UCLA-2.576.5W 48 - 45OY
Sat 11/26 USC vs Notre Dame-4.063.5W 38 - 27OY
Fri 12/2 USC vs Utah-3.067.5L 24 - 47ON
Mon 1/2 USC vs Tulane-1.567.0L 45 - 46ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU.3149%25.855%3.6519342%1954.24.1240%24.541%40%3.4278.11.71.6
USC.1946%35.850%3.1914644%2983.77.3248%2346%51%4.5174.61.71.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Offense1325.824.649.3%4.241.7203881931955.157%43%55%42%14%.31
USC Defense122317.947.8%4.511.6 - - - - - 56%44%46%51%14%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Defense1324.525.240%3.421.6 - - - - - 51%48%41%40%17%.12
USC Offense1235.84346.3%3.771.7264441462984.442%58%50%44%17%.19

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona State1329:252045%64%8.778.11.71.65.82.1228.8
USC1231:2825.845%67%7.974.61.71.64.31.8126.8
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Offense1357%55%38.1193.45.134.363.6588%11%1.06
USC Defense1256%46% - - - - .183.0686%9%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Defense1351%41% - - - - .122.9278%10%0.96
USC Offense1242%50%33.4145.64.416.153.1978%9%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Offense1343%42%15.824.1194.68.112.31210.271.629%33%.453%2.1
USC Defense1244%51% - - - - - - 14.51.629%33%.485%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Defense1348%40% - - - - - - 16.151.532%28%.227%1.8
USC Offense1258%44%26.541.7298.37.211.32113.241.431%33%.249%1.8

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: NR
Arizona State's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arizona State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Arizona State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1  #83
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #56
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7  #108

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State:    USC: 11.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: -4.1   USC: 18.9




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 11.95 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2022 Expected Record: -
USC's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.9  #11
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 46.6  #2
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #64

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Arizona State's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
USC 32
Arizona State 23

Projected Total Points: 55
USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Arizona State28USC42USC -34.5Arizona State62.0Over
202210/01USC42Arizona State25USC -24.5Arizona State61.0Over
202111/06Arizona State31USC16Arizona State -10Arizona State61.0Under
202011/07USC28Arizona State27USC -11.5Arizona State56.5Under
201911/09Arizona State26USC31USC -5NA54.0Over
201810/27USC35Arizona State38USC -3Arizona State52.5Over
201710/28Arizona State17USC48USC -4.5USC58.5Over
201610/01USC41Arizona State20USC -8USC63.5Under
201509/26Arizona State14USC42USC -6USC62.0Under
201410/04USC34Arizona State38USC -10.5Arizona State0
201309/28Arizona State62USC41Arizona State -5Arizona State0
201211/10USC38Arizona State17
201109/24Arizona State43USC22
201011/06USC34Arizona State33
200911/07Arizona State9USC14
200810/11USC28Arizona State0
200711/22Arizona State24USC44
200610/14USC28Arizona State21
200510/01Arizona State28USC38
200410/16USC45Arizona State7
200310/04Arizona State17USC37
200110/13USC48Arizona State17
200011/03Arizona State38USC44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC1835 Overs
Arizona State574 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 114 - 63 - 41 - 2
Road Teams11 - 126 - 42 - 14 - 3

(#) ASU at (#) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatASUUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #83 #11
Perf GradeGrade #96 #14
OffenseOff #65 #5
DefenseDef #124 #70
Spec TeamsST #75 #136
TalentTal #40 #11
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arizona State on Offense
CategoryCat
ASU OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #65 #70
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #64
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona State Run Game
CategoryCat
ASU OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #60 #84
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #79 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #90
Arizona State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ASU OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #61 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #98 #79
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffASU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #5 #124
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #108
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffASU Def
Run GameRun #10 #128
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #11 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #86
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffASU Def
Pass GamePass #5 #112
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #10 #59
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

ASU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
USC -24.5 (61.0)
USC won vs Arizona State this year (42-25)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Arizona State in 2023 (42-28)

  
ASU's OC Glenn Thomas (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Donnie Henderson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USC's OC Josh Henson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Alex Grinch (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD